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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 3.2%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#125 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI

Full-history NAV৳170,662

Net return 70.7% · drawdown 31.7% · 53 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳131,737

Net return 31.7% · drawdown 13.3% · 5 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳122,642

Net return 22.6% · drawdown 18.5% · 5 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 10.0%; maximum 45 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 0.0%, distance 0.0%; partial sale at 20.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳170,662
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳170,662
Realized P&L৳70,662
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳62,463
Friction৳29,909

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #125

115 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-19SELL288195247.1113.1955,799.78,814.08
2011-08-02SELL289176.7224.69102.4850,739.133,590.36
2011-10-30BUY683155.2466.41217.21-106,685.220
2011-12-05SELL683157.7473.92219.62107,015.56330.34
2011-12-27BUY653162.6467.18220.01-106,8650
2012-01-12SELL653174.7501.95232.67113,344.496,479.49
2012-03-20BUY652172.8495.73230.5-113,391.830
2012-04-11SELL326208.7299.36136.9467,599.910,903.98
2012-05-16SELL326205.8295.2134.9366,660.679,964.75
2012-06-10BUY653204.4587.28275.76-134,336.250
2012-06-13SELL653203.3584.12274.64131,896.13-2,440.11
2012-11-01BUY752174.2576.39276.4-131,851.190
2012-11-06SELL752168.4557.2267.81125,811.79-6,039.4
2012-11-19BUY726172.1549.76262.15-125,756.510
2012-11-22SELL726169.1540.17256.81121,969.62-3,786.89
2013-02-06BUY701172.8532.98260.43-121,926.210
2013-02-13SELL701166.6513.86246.12116,026.62-5,899.6
2013-05-15BUY746154.7507.79263.93-116,177.920
2013-06-05SELL373185.64304.67143.1868,795.8710,706.9
2013-07-22SELL373180.9296.89135.667,043.28,954.24
2013-08-22BUY663203.4593.36274.24-135,721.790
2013-09-19SELL663195.1569.15261.64128,520.52-7,201.28
2013-11-05BUY656194.6561.69271.24-128,490.530
2013-12-23SELL656200.9579.88273.53130,9372,446.46
2014-01-09BUY624208.7573.01272.49-131,074.30
2014-02-09SELL624207.9570.81267.07128,891.72-2,182.57
2014-03-03BUY581220.3563.17262.09-128,819.560
2014-03-25SELL581212541.96252.27122,377.78-6,441.78
2014-04-02BUY553220535.3250.52-122,445.820
2014-04-15SELL276269.2326.92149.973,822.3812,710.18
2014-05-14SELL277267325.42148.8473,484.7412,151.12
2014-06-05BUY512285.9644.08298.31-147,323.180
2014-06-10SELL512286.3644.98299.11145,641.51-1,681.67
2014-06-16BUY473305.4635.6293.78-145,383.570
2014-07-21SELL473289.4602.3280.29136,003.61-9,379.97
2014-08-04BUY435310.8594.87275.58-136,068.450
2014-09-21SELL217377.9360.82165.581,477.9813,600.15
2014-10-14SELL218372.6357.4163.4980,705.9112,515.29
2014-10-15BUY214379.1356.96163.25-81,647.610
2014-11-06SELL214353.3332.67152.3575,121.18-6,526.43
2015-01-12BUY435355.9681.19326.75-155,824.440
2015-01-18SELL435357.4684.06329.89154,455.04-1,369.39
2015-02-12BUY435352.5674.69321.79-154,333.980
2015-02-23SELL435339.6649.99308.71146,767.29-7,566.69
2015-03-29BUY419348641.57302.19-146,755.770
2015-04-02SELL419353650.79303.74146,952.47196.71
2015-12-02BUY539271.1642.94319.02-147,084.860
2015-12-09SELL539257.6610.92297.88137,937.6-9,147.27
2016-01-18BUY528259.5602.87305.81-137,924.680
2016-01-21SELL528269.8626.8309.78141,517.823,593.14
2016-04-24BUY565248.6618.02321.04-141,398.060
2016-05-02SELL565245609.07307.9137,508.03-3,890.04
2016-05-11BUY500252.1554.62275-126,879.620
2016-05-16SELL500252554.4274.43125,171.17-1,708.45
2016-05-24BUY526256.7594.11296.41-135,914.720
2016-05-29SELL526255.2590.63296.31133,348.26-2,566.46
2016-10-25BUY465285583.11283.81-133,391.920
2016-10-30SELL465277566.74274.53127,963.73-5,428.19
2016-11-06BUY454279.9559.13270.75-127,904.470
2016-11-10SELL454279.1557.53268.07125,885.8-2,018.67
2016-11-21BUY435287.1549.51262.19-125,700.20
2016-12-12SELL435284543.58256.85122,739.57-2,960.63
2017-07-05BUY344355537.33253.8-122,911.130
2017-07-10SELL344340514.62240.64116,204.74-6,706.38
2017-07-13BUY325354.8507.36236.55-116,053.910
2017-09-10SELL162425.76303.48140.3868,529.2510,680.84
2017-09-17SELL163418299.79138.1767,696.049,490.54
2017-11-13BUY286472.9595.1278.33-136,122.830
2017-11-16SELL286484609.07282.86137,532.071,409.24
2017-11-23BUY283483601.43278.78-137,569.210
2017-11-28SELL283471586.49271.72132,434.79-5,134.42
2018-01-18BUY273482.5579.58271.71-132,573.790
2018-02-01SELL273504605.4280.77136,705.824,132.03
2018-02-13BUY267507.9596.68276.56-136,482.540
2018-02-25SELL267484.9569.66264.27128,634.37-7,848.17
2018-04-19BUY260493563.99266.79-129,010.780
2018-04-26SELL260476.9545.57255.79123,192.63-5,818.14
2018-10-28BUY319383537.58255.86-122,970.440
2018-10-31SELL319380.5534.07253.97120,591.46-2,378.98
2019-01-01BUY324370527.47258.14-120,665.610
2019-02-19SELL324376536.03248.09121,039.89374.28
2019-03-25BUY300401.4529.85249.1-121,198.950
2019-04-03SELL300407537.24251.76121,311112.05
2019-09-23BUY333361528.94251.34-120,993.280
2019-09-26SELL333360527.47248.61119,103.92-1,889.36
2020-07-21BUY482245.9521.5251.03-119,296.330
2020-08-13SELL241295.08312.9144.1170,657.2711,009.11
2020-09-27SELL241336356.29164.3580,455.3520,807.19
2020-10-18BUY439342660.61317.11-151,115.720
2020-10-22SELL439331.3639.94310.07144,490.69-6,625.03
2020-12-09BUY430334.1632.12307.01-144,602.120
2020-12-21SELL430341.1645.36308.83145,718.81,116.68
2021-01-14BUY391370636.55299-145,605.550
2021-02-08SELL391376.8648.25305.59146,374.97769.42
2021-05-12BUY420346.2639.78317.16-146,360.940
2021-06-15SELL420347.4642311.52144,954.49-1,406.45
2022-01-13BUY403357.1633.21316.71-144,861.220