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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 2.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#135 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳161,019

Net return 61.0% · drawdown 35.9% · 76 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳139,970

Net return 40.0% · drawdown 10.3% · 9 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳120,816

Net return 20.8% · drawdown 21.0% · 9 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 20 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 6.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳161,019
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳161,019
Realized P&L৳61,019
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳91,902
Friction৳43,989

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #135

153 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-25SELL577205.6521.98239.58117,869.6423,735.26
2011-08-01BUY645181.6515.38236.07-117,883.450
2011-08-04SELL645178.5506.58232.03114,393.89-3,489.56
2011-10-30BUY733155.2500.55233.52-114,495.670
2011-11-17SELL733162.9525.39244.55118,635.774,140.1
2011-11-23BUY720163.7518.6240.23-118,622.830
2011-12-05SELL720157.7499.59231.76112,812.65-5,810.18
2011-12-29BUY685163.5492.79233.04-112,723.330
2012-01-12SELL685174.7526.55244.3118,898.656,175.32
2012-03-20BUY684172.8520.06242.08-118,957.340
2012-04-04SELL684185.5558.28257.85126,065.877,108.53
2012-04-09BUY639195.9550.79253.92-125,984.810
2012-04-30SELL639214.7603.65276.85136,312.810,327.99
2012-06-10BUY663204.4596.28280.12-136,393.60
2012-06-13SELL663203.3593.07278.99133,915.84-2,477.76
2012-11-01BUY764174.2585.59281.04-133,955.430
2012-11-06SELL764168.4566.09272.32127,819.19-6,136.25
2012-11-19BUY738172.1558.84266.69-127,835.330
2012-11-22SELL738169.1549.1261.25123,985.45-3,849.88
2013-02-06BUY712172.8541.35264.81-123,839.750
2013-02-13SELL712166.6521.92250.18117,847.09-5,992.66
2013-05-15BUY757154.7515.27268.32-117,891.50
2013-06-09SELL757176.5587.89280.03132,742.5814,851.09
2013-06-12BUY741178.1580.68274.69-132,827.460
2013-06-17SELL741177.8579.7273.85130,896.25-1,931.21
2013-06-30BUY727178.9572.27267.64-130,900.210
2013-07-07SELL727187.4599.46280.1135,360.254,460.04
2013-07-14BUY636211.5591.86273.67-135,379.530
2013-07-17SELL636232.5650.63299.64146,919.7411,540.21
2013-08-22BUY717203.4641.69296.97-146,776.460
2013-09-08SELL717210.9665.35306.98150,242.973,466.52
2013-10-31BUY778192657.25323.77-150,357.020
2013-11-20SELL778215.3737.01349.99166,416.416,059.37
2013-11-26BUY826200726.88340.89-166,267.770
2013-12-01SELL826200.5728.7341.14164,543.16-1,724.61
2014-01-09BUY784208.7719.93346.24-164,686.970
2014-01-22SELL784208.7719.93344.5162,556.36-2,130.6
2014-01-27BUY757213.4710.79337.5-162,592.10
2014-02-06SELL757210699.47329.5157,941.03-4,651.06
2014-03-03BUY712220.3690.16322.87-157,866.620
2014-03-19SELL712211.3661.96309.26149,474.38-8,392.25
2014-04-09BUY599247.9653.37303.42-149,448.880
2014-04-30SELL599268.9708.71325.87160,036.5110,587.63
2014-05-07BUY575276.4699.29321.45-159,950.740
2014-05-12SELL575270.5684.37314.94154,538.19-5,412.55
2014-06-05BUY537285.9675.52313.16-154,516.980
2014-06-10SELL537286.3676.47314.02152,752.61-1,764.37
2014-06-16BUY497305.4667.85308.94-152,760.590
2014-06-19SELL497300.1656.26303.21148,190.23-4,570.36
2014-08-04BUY474310.8648.2300.8-148,268.20
2014-08-25SELL474326.8681.57313.45153,908.185,639.98
2014-09-16BUY442345.7672.32310.88-153,782.60
2014-09-30SELL442381.9742.72343.1167,713.9813,931.38
2015-01-12BUY468355.9732.87352.93-167,6470
2015-01-15SELL468360741.31359.38167,379.31-267.69
2015-02-12BUY472352.5732.07350.56-167,462.630
2015-02-22SELL472333.1691.78329.53156,201.89-11,260.74
2015-03-29BUY446348682.92322.39-156,213.310
2015-04-02SELL446353692.73323.85156,421.42208.11
2015-12-02BUY574271.1684.69341.59-156,637.680
2015-12-09SELL574257.6650.59318.62146,893.19-9,744.49
2016-01-17BUY567257641.16330.4-146,690.570
2016-01-21SELL567269.8673.1334.63151,968.875,278.3
2016-04-24BUY608248.6665.05348.76-152,162.620
2016-05-02SELL608245655.42333.88147,970.7-4,191.92
2016-05-11BUY500252.1554.62275-126,879.620
2016-05-16SELL500252554.4274.43125,171.17-1,708.45
2016-05-24BUY566256.7639.29321.11-146,252.60
2016-05-29SELL566255.2635.55321.12143,486.53-2,766.07
2016-10-25BUY500285627306.69-143,433.690
2016-10-30SELL500277609.4296.56137,594.04-5,839.65
2016-11-06BUY457279.9562.82272.65-128,749.770
2016-11-09SELL457281.3565.64272.45127,716.01-1,033.76
2016-11-21BUY472287.1596.25285.63-136,393.080
2016-12-01SELL472283.9589.6279.77133,131.43-3,261.65
2017-07-05BUY373355582.63276.07-133,273.690
2017-07-10SELL373340558.01261.54126,000.46-7,273.24
2017-07-13BUY353354.8551.08257.48-126,052.950
2017-08-10SELL353376.2584.31271.02131,943.265,890.31
2017-08-17BUY338388577.03268.72-131,989.750
2017-09-04SELL338392582.98273.48131,639.53-350.22
2017-09-10BUY320408574.46269.85-131,404.320
2017-09-13SELL320415584.32273.24131,942.44538.13
2017-11-13BUY277472.9576.37269.34-131,839.010
2017-11-16SELL277484589.9273.78133,204.321,365.31
2017-11-23BUY274483582.3269.75-133,194.050
2017-11-28SELL274471567.84262.92128,223.24-4,970.81
2018-01-23BUY257496560.88262.31-128,295.190
2018-02-01SELL257504569.92264.01128,694.07398.88
2018-04-19BUY259493561.82265.72-128,514.540
2018-04-24SELL259485552.71260.04124,802.25-3,712.29
2018-08-29BUY317391.5546.06260.43-124,911.990
2018-09-12SELL317380.2530.3252.24119,740.86-5,171.13
2018-10-28BUY311383524.1249.17-119,886.260
2018-10-31SELL311380.5520.68247.33117,567.5-2,318.77
2019-01-01BUY316370514.45251.32-117,685.770
2019-01-28SELL316398553.38260.05124,954.577,268.8