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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 2.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#135 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳161,019

Net return 61.0% · drawdown 35.9% · 76 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳139,970

Net return 40.0% · drawdown 10.3% · 9 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳120,816

Net return 20.8% · drawdown 21.0% · 9 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 20 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 6.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳161,019
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳161,019
Realized P&L৳61,019
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳91,902
Friction৳43,989

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #135

153 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2019-01-31BUY300414546.48254.25-125,000.730
2019-02-12SELL300397524.04242.94118,333.02-6,667.72
2019-03-25BUY293401.4517.48243.1-118,370.790
2019-04-03SELL293407524.7245.71118,480.58109.79
2019-09-23BUY326361517.82245.83-118,449.650
2019-09-26SELL326360516.38243.2116,600.41-1,849.24
2020-07-19BUY476243508.94247.45-116,424.390
2020-08-18SELL476288603.19280.51136,204.319,779.91
2020-08-25BUY449301.7596.04276.56-136,335.890
2020-09-20SELL449341673.68313.76152,121.5615,785.66
2020-10-18BUY442342665.12319.4-152,148.520
2020-10-22SELL442331.3644.31312.32145,477.97-6,670.55
2020-12-09BUY432334.1635.06308.53-145,274.780
2020-12-21SELL432341.1648.36310.34146,396.491,121.71
2021-01-18BUY386377640.3300.84-146,463.130
2021-01-21SELL386377640.3299.72144,581.98-1,881.15
2021-01-31BUY378380632.02296.31-144,568.320
2021-02-03SELL378369.7614.89289.47138,842.25-5,726.08
2021-04-21BUY406340.2607.73299.9-139,028.830
2021-05-04SELL406339.5606.48308.81136,921.71-2,107.12
2021-05-16BUY392346.6597.82294.02-136,759.040
2021-05-19SELL392344.1593.5289.69134,004.01-2,755.03
2021-05-25BUY390341.1585.33283.38-133,897.710
2021-06-15SELL390347.4596.14287.96134,601.9704.2
2021-11-28BUY372360589.25302.63-134,811.880
2021-12-01SELL372359587.61303.04132,657.35-2,154.53
2022-01-13BUY369357.1579.79287.76-132,637.450
2022-01-30SELL369352571.51283.01129,033.48-3,603.96
2022-02-09BUY356359.5563.12284.35-128,829.470
2022-02-14SELL356358560.77288.56126,598.67-2,230.8
2022-04-27BUY386326.4554.36280.12-126,824.880
2022-05-08SELL327320.1460.56225.06103,987.08-3,452.65
2022-05-09SELL59321.183.3638.4118,823.14-562.01
2022-08-08BUY403302.9537.1257.68-122,863.480
2022-08-17SELL403287508.91241.97114,910.12-7,953.36
2024-06-27BUY483236.2501.97254.98-114,841.550
2024-07-14SELL483246522.8257.98118,037.223,195.66
2024-07-24BUY472248.2515.46253.25-117,919.110
2024-08-15SELL472381791.26366.24178,674.560,755.39
2024-08-20BUY503353781.26359.64-178,699.90
2024-08-25SELL503354783.47359.92176,918.61-1,781.29
2025-12-02BUY221279271.3138.58-62,068.880
2025-12-10SELL221274.9267.31135.160,350.49-1,718.39
2026-01-21BUY658264.7766.36398.03-175,336.990
2026-02-05SELL658263761.44379.02171,913.54-3,423.45
2026-02-16BUY614278751.04370.44-171,813.480
2026-02-19SELL614267721.33353.57162,863.1-8,950.38
2026-06-09BUY658246712.22371.79-162,952.010
2026-06-14SELL658248718.01373.48162,092.51-859.49
2026-06-17BUY642250.9708.74365.96-162,152.50
2026-07-12SELL642256.6724.84355.55163,656.811,504.31
2026-07-28BUY625259.8714.45354.78-163,444.230
2026-08-06SELL625259712.25358.3160,804.45-2,639.77