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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 2.8%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#145 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳159,180

Net return 59.2% · drawdown 39.6% · 78 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳141,385

Net return 41.4% · drawdown 10.0% · 9 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳120,816

Net return 20.8% · drawdown 21.0% · 9 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 15 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 6.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳159,180
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳159,180
Realized P&L৳59,180
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳94,332
Friction৳45,146

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #145

157 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2019-01-01BUY327370532.36260.7-121,783.060
2019-01-22SELL327384552.5261.54124,753.972,970.91
2019-01-27BUY312397545256.39-124,665.390
2019-01-30SELL312414.4568.89265.47128,458.443,793.05
2019-02-04BUY322396561.05260.31-128,333.370
2019-02-12SELL322397562.47261.13127,010.4-1,322.97
2019-03-25BUY315401.4556.34261.99-127,259.330
2019-04-03SELL315407564.1264.75127,376.15116.82
2019-09-23BUY350361555.94264.76-127,170.70
2019-09-26SELL350360554.4261.78125,183.82-1,986.88
2020-07-19BUY513243548.5268.03-125,475.530
2020-08-10SELL513271.5612.83286.13138,380.5412,905.01
2020-08-16BUY467294604.11281.33-138,183.440
2020-09-07SELL467320.6658.77305.5148,755.9310,572.49
2020-10-18BUY432342650.07311.79-148,705.870
2020-10-22SELL432331.3629.74304.82142,187.04-6,518.83
2020-12-09BUY423334.1621.83301.69-142,247.820
2020-12-21SELL423341.1634.86303.56143,346.891,099.06
2021-01-18BUY378377627.03294.4-143,427.430
2021-01-21SELL378377627.03293.34141,585.64-1,841.79
2021-01-31BUY370380618.64289.85-141,508.490
2021-02-03SELL370369.7601.87283.14135,903.99-5,604.5
2021-04-21BUY397340.2594.26292.74-135,946.40
2021-05-04SELL397339.5593.04301.24133,887.22-2,059.18
2021-05-16BUY384346.6585.62287.58-133,967.590
2021-05-19SELL384344.1581.39283.38131,269.63-2,697.96
2021-05-25BUY382341.1573.32277.22-131,150.740
2021-06-15SELL382347.4583.91281.71131,841.18690.44
2021-11-28BUY364360576.58295.39-131,911.970
2021-12-01SELL364359574.97295.77129,805.26-2,106.71
2022-01-13BUY361357.1567.22281.01-129,761.320
2022-01-30SELL361352559.12276.38126,236.5-3,524.82
2022-02-09BUY349359.5552.05278.21-126,295.760
2022-02-14SELL349358549.74282.24124,110.02-2,185.74
2022-04-27BUY378326.4542.87273.75-124,195.820
2022-05-08SELL327320.1460.56225.06103,987.08-3,452.15
2022-05-09SELL51321.172.0533.1416,270.91-485.67
2022-08-08BUY394302.9525.11251.63-120,119.340
2022-08-17SELL394287497.54236.34112,344.12-7,775.22
2024-06-27BUY473236.2491.58249.16-112,463.340
2024-07-14SELL473246511.98252.23115,593.793,130.46
2024-07-24BUY462248.2504.54247.49-115,420.430
2024-08-15SELL462381774.5358.34174,889.1659,468.73
2024-08-20BUY492353764.17351.67-174,791.850
2024-08-25SELL492354766.34351.97173,049.69-1,742.15
2025-12-02BUY221279271.3138.58-62,068.880
2025-12-10SELL221274.9267.31135.160,350.49-1,718.39
2026-01-21BUY644264.7750.05388.53-171,605.380
2026-02-05SELL644263745.24370.28168,256.49-3,348.89
2026-02-16BUY601278735.14361.99-168,175.130
2026-02-19SELL601267706.05345.55159,415.39-8,759.74
2026-06-09BUY644246697.07362.88-159,483.940
2026-06-14SELL644248702.73364.55158,644.72-839.23
2026-06-17BUY628250.9693.29357.04-158,615.530
2026-07-09SELL628259.2716.22351.7161,709.673,094.14
2026-07-28BUY618259.8706.45350.47-161,613.320
2026-08-06SELL618259704.27353.9159,003.83-2,609.49