← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 2.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#149 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳157,033

Net return 57.0% · drawdown 39.9% · 78 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳134,637

Net return 34.6% · drawdown 19.8% · 9 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳123,502

Net return 23.5% · drawdown 28.7% · 9 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 30 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 6.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳157,033
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳157,033
Realized P&L৳57,033
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳69,805
Friction৳33,031

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #149

157 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2018-04-11BUY262483.2557.03263.53-127,418.960
2018-05-03SELL262463.87534.75249.92120,749.79-6,669.17
2018-10-25BUY315381528.07251.8-120,794.870
2018-11-18SELL315365.76506.94243.58114,463.88-6,330.99
2019-01-01BUY307370499.8243.68-114,333.480
2019-02-12SELL307397536.27248.72121,094.016,760.53
2019-03-21BUY302399530.19248.3-121,276.490
2019-04-07SELL302383.04508.98237.53114,931.57-6,344.93
2019-06-12BUY312365501.07245.43-114,626.50
2019-07-07SELL312350.4481.03232.95108,610.82-6,015.68
2019-09-23BUY299361474.93224.68-108,638.610
2019-10-02SELL299346.56455.93213.48102,952.03-5,686.58
2019-10-07BUY297345.1450.98211.42-103,157.10
2019-10-13SELL297331.2432.81202.8197,730.78-5,426.32
2019-11-20BUY300323.1426.49202.71-97,559.20
2019-11-25SELL300312411.84194.292,993.96-4,565.24
2020-02-20BUY331280407.79190.25-93,278.040
2020-03-01SELL331268.8391.48180.7788,400.55-4,877.48
2020-07-21BUY357245.9386.26183.24-88,355.80
2020-08-18SELL357280.12440.01203.3899,359.4511,003.65
2020-08-23BUY344287434.4200.66-99,363.060
2020-09-21SELL344333.42504.66233.51113,957.6214,594.56
2020-11-10BUY340333498.17238.48-113,956.640
2020-11-23SELL340319.68478.24229.17107,983.79-5,972.85
2020-12-08BUY327327.8471.64225.9-107,888.140
2021-01-21SELL327377542.43252.79122,483.7914,595.64
2021-04-20BUY362336.3535.66260.69-122,536.950
2021-06-06SELL362351.9560.51268.21126,559.084,022.13
2021-06-09BUY362346.9552.54265.77-126,396.120
2021-07-29SELL362375597.3286.58134,866.128,470
2021-08-05BUY364368589.39279.97-134,821.350
2021-09-21SELL364381610.21288.17137,785.622,964.26
2021-12-06BUY378362.8603.41309.25-138,051.050
2021-12-20SELL378348.29579.27295.46130,778.13-7,272.92
2022-01-13BUY363357.1570.36282.69-130,480.350
2022-02-27SELL363345551.03274.5124,409.47-6,070.88
2022-08-03BUY411301.2544.69259.23-124,597.120
2022-08-14SELL411288520.82249.32117,597.86-6,999.26
2024-06-27BUY495236.2514.44262-117,695.440
2024-08-15SELL495381829.82384.42187,380.7669,685.32
2024-08-20BUY527353818.54377.02-187,226.560
2024-08-25SELL527354820.86377.28185,359.86-1,866.69
2024-11-12BUY566325.7811.12388.28-185,545.60
2024-12-12SELL386312.5530.75254.24119,840.01-6,698.16
2024-12-15SELL180315.1249.56116.556,351.94-2,655.49
2024-12-18BUY372320523.78251.9-119,815.680
2025-02-02SELL372336.7551.11262.25124,439.044,623.36
2025-02-04BUY164340.1245.42113.58-56,135.40
2025-03-02SELL164327.4236.25108.5953,348.76-2,786.64
2025-06-29BUY564302.7751.18431.37-171,905.350
2025-08-17SELL564306759.37367.94171,456.69-448.66
2025-09-03BUY566311.5775.76386.94-177,471.70
2025-09-23SELL566299.04744.73392.7168,119.21-9,352.48
2026-01-27BUY625267.1734.53371.58-168,043.610
2026-03-05SELL625245.3674.58327.64152,310.29-15,733.32
2026-06-08BUY613246.8665.67345.34-152,299.410
2026-07-21SELL613257.5694.53339.55156,813.424,514.01