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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 1.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#165 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳133,512

Net return 33.5% · drawdown 35.4% · 80 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳128,140

Net return 28.1% · drawdown 14.4% · 10 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳115,900

Net return 15.9% · drawdown 20.3% · 9 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 15 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 0.0%, distance 0.0%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳133,512
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳133,512
Realized P&L৳33,512
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳85,910
Friction৳40,875

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.16e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #165

168 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-19SELL288195247.1113.1955,799.78,814.08
2011-07-26SELL289205.5261.31119.3359,008.8511,860.09
2011-07-27BUY269206.1243.94111.34-55,796.180
2011-08-01SELL269181.6214.9498.0248,537.44-7,258.73
2011-10-30BUY689155.2470.5219.16-107,622.470
2011-11-15SELL689147.3446.55207.25100,835.89-6,786.57
2011-11-20BUY601166.6440.56204.12-100,771.270
2011-11-27SELL601157.7417.02192.294,168.48-6,602.8
2011-12-29BUY573163.5412.22193.7-94,291.420
2012-01-12SELL573174.7440.45203.6899,458.975,167.55
2012-03-20BUY571172.8434.14201.3-99,304.250
2012-04-02SELL285198.72249.19114.1356,271.886,706.71
2012-04-04SELL286185.5233.43106.8252,712.752,973.67
2012-04-09BUY553195.9476.66219.33-109,028.70
2012-04-24SELL276225.29273.59124.8861,780.27,364.43
2012-04-30SELL277214.7261.68119.4159,090.824,477.89
2012-06-10BUY588204.4528.82247.52-120,963.550
2012-06-13SELL588203.3525.98246.49118,767.93-2,195.61
2012-11-01BUY677174.2518.91247.54-118,699.850
2012-11-06SELL677168.4501.63239.79113,265.38-5,434.47
2012-11-19BUY654172.1495.23235.06-113,283.690
2012-11-22SELL654169.1486.6230.33109,874.46-3,409.23
2013-02-06BUY632172.8480.52233.18-109,923.310
2013-02-11SELL632165.89461.3220.85104,159.07-5,764.24
2013-05-15BUY669154.7455.37233.63-104,183.30
2013-06-03SELL334178.7262.62123.3759,299.827,286.03
2013-06-06SELL335187.8276.82129.2662,506.9210,337.41
2013-06-09BUY333176.5258.61120.03-59,153.140
2013-06-17SELL333177.8260.51120.558,826.38-326.75
2013-06-30BUY674178.9530.55247.62-121,356.770
2013-07-07SELL674187.4555.75259.16125,492.684,135.92
2013-07-14BUY590211.5549.05253.56-125,587.620
2013-07-17SELL590232.5603.57277.7136,293.7310,706.11
2013-08-22BUY665203.4595.15275.08-136,131.220
2013-08-27SELL665209.8613.87284.43138,618.72,487.47
2013-09-02BUY642214.7606.48280.05-138,723.940
2013-09-08SELL642210.9595.75274.44134,527.61-4,196.33
2013-10-31BUY696192587.98287.28-134,507.260
2013-11-20SELL696215.3659.33311.69148,877.7814,370.51
2013-11-26BUY740200651.2304.42-148,955.620
2013-12-01SELL740200.5652.83304.7147,412.47-1,543.15
2014-01-09BUY701208.7643.71307.78-147,250.20
2014-01-22SELL701208.7643.71306.4145,348.59-1,901.61
2014-01-27BUY677213.4635.68300.47-145,407.950
2014-02-06SELL677210625.55293.59141,250.87-4,157.08
2014-03-03BUY637220.3617.46287.99-141,236.550
2014-03-06SELL637214.7601.76279.96135,882.18-5,354.37
2014-04-09BUY545247.9594.46275.54-135,975.50
2014-04-30SELL545268.9644.82296.19145,609.499,633.99
2014-05-07BUY523276.4636.05292.08-145,485.330
2014-05-12SELL523270.5622.47286.14140,562.88-4,922.45
2014-06-05BUY489285.9615.14284.67-140,704.910
2014-06-10SELL489286.3616285.42139,099.28-1,605.63
2014-06-16BUY452305.4607.38280.53-138,928.710
2014-06-19SELL452300.1596.84275.36134,773.01-4,155.7
2014-08-04BUY431310.8589.4273-134,817.20
2014-08-25SELL431326.8619.74284.71139,946.345,129.14
2014-09-16BUY402345.7611.47282.31-139,865.190
2014-09-25SELL201398.6352.52161.5679,604.529,671.93
2014-10-02SELL201380.2336.25153.8375,930.125,997.53
2015-01-12BUY434355.9679.63325.96-155,466.180
2015-01-15SELL434360687.46331.76155,220.78-245.4
2015-02-12BUY438352.5679.34324.12-155,398.460
2015-02-22SELL438333.1641.95304.78144,951.07-10,447.39
2015-03-29BUY414348633.92298.46-145,004.380
2015-04-02SELL414353643.02300.02145,198.96194.58
2015-12-02BUY532271.1634.59314.54-145,174.330
2015-12-07SELL532260.26609.21299.13137,547.85-7,626.47
2016-01-17BUY532257601.59307.75-137,633.340
2016-01-21SELL532269.8631.55312.32142,589.744,956.4
2016-04-24BUY569248.6622.39323.6-142,399.40
2016-05-02SELL569245613.38310.31138,481.31-3,918.08
2016-05-11BUY500252.1554.62275-126,879.620
2016-05-16SELL500252554.4274.43125,171.17-1,708.45
2016-05-24BUY530256.7598.62298.87-136,948.490
2016-05-29SELL530255.2595.13298.78134,362.1-2,586.39
2016-10-25BUY468285586.87285.77-134,252.640
2016-10-30SELL468277570.4276.41128,789.19-5,463.44
2016-11-06BUY457279.9562.82272.65-128,749.770
2016-11-09SELL457281.3565.64272.45127,716.01-1,033.76
2016-11-21BUY442287.1558.35266.61-127,723.160
2016-12-01SELL442283.9552.13261.29124,670.39-3,052.78
2017-07-05BUY349355545.14257.63-124,697.770
2017-07-10SELL349340522.1244.23117,893.66-6,804.1
2017-07-13BUY330354.8515.17240.28-117,839.450
2017-08-06SELL330373.2541.89250.43122,363.694,524.24
2017-08-13BUY319381.6535.61247.97-122,513.990
2017-08-20SELL319391.6549.65255.65124,115.11,601.11
2017-09-10BUY302408542.15254.21-124,012.360
2017-09-13SELL302415551.45257.46124,521.09508.73
2017-11-13BUY261472.9543.08253.38-124,223.360
2017-11-16SELL261484555.83257.66125,510.521,287.16
2017-11-23BUY259483550.43254.72-125,902.140
2017-11-28SELL259471536.75248.28121,203.97-4,698.18
2018-01-23BUY242496528.14246.6-120,806.740
2018-02-01SELL242504536.66248.33121,183.01376.27
2018-04-19BUY245493531.45250.83-121,567.280