← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 0.6%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#178 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳110,741

Net return 10.7% · drawdown 32.5% · 95 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳83,349

Net return -16.7% · drawdown 22.9% · 12 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳68,295

Net return -31.7% · drawdown 36.4% · 11 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 20 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 6.0%; partial sale at 20.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳110,741
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳110,741
Realized P&L৳10,741
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳92,867
Friction৳44,022

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.60e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #178

199 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-22BUY368269.9437.02200.35-99,960.580
2010-12-27SELL368258.4418.4191.4494,481.36-5,479.22
2010-12-30BUY382245.8413.14188.95-94,497.690
2011-01-05SELL382234.4393.98180.1388,966.69-5,531
2011-01-13BUY376234.8388.45177.48-88,850.730
2011-01-18SELL376228.7378.36172.8985,439.95-3,410.78
2011-02-02BUY372228.3373.68171.21-85,472.490
2011-02-07SELL372209.7343.24157.0977,508.07-7,964.41
2011-07-04BUY475162.1338.79156.76-77,493.050
2011-07-19SELL237195203.3593.0245,918.637,253.68
2011-07-25SELL238205.6215.398.2648,619.249,791.14
2011-07-26BUY222205.5200.7391.57-45,913.30
2011-08-01SELL222181.6177.3980.8440,056.97-5,856.33
2011-10-27BUY541162.8387.53179.92-88,642.250
2011-11-01SELL541164.5391.58181.3888,421.55-220.7
2011-11-13BUY552159.2386.66178.99-88,444.060
2011-11-16SELL552161.7392.74181.888,683.86239.8
2011-11-21BUY537164.3388.21179.35-88,796.660
2011-11-27SELL537157.7372.61171.4884,140.81-4,655.86
2011-12-26BUY520160.8367.91171.74-84,155.650
2012-01-24SELL520157359.22165.3281,115.46-3,040.19
2012-03-04BUY516156.2354.64163.34-81,117.170
2012-03-28SELL258193.4219.55100.6449,577.029,018.43
2012-04-02SELL258192.8218.87100.1549,423.398,864.8
2012-04-03BUY260189216.2298.91-49,455.120
2012-04-24SELL130226.8129.7359.0829,295.194,567.62
2012-04-29SELL130213.2121.9555.5327,538.522,810.95
2012-06-04BUY519203.6464.94215.9-106,349.240
2012-06-25SELL519195.46446.34209.2100,786.12-5,563.12
2012-06-28BUY479208.8440.07205.6-100,660.860
2012-07-04SELL479200.45422.46196.9795,395.16-5,265.71
2012-07-09BUY479197.9417.09194.63-95,405.820
2012-07-12SELL479198.9419.2195.294,658.7-747.12
2012-07-22BUY472199.4414.11192.32-94,723.240
2012-07-25SELL472205.5426.78197.9296,371.31,648.07
2012-07-30BUY467204.8420.82195.32-96,257.740
2012-08-05SELL467189.1388.56179.7587,741.39-8,516.35
2012-11-01BUY501174.2384.01180.94-87,839.150
2012-11-06SELL501168.4371.22175.1983,821.99-4,017.16
2012-11-19BUY484172.1366.5172.04-83,834.950
2012-11-28SELL484165.22351.84165.0479,447.66-4,387.28
2012-12-03BUY470168.1347.63163.66-79,518.290
2013-01-03SELL470171.6354.87169.4380,127.7609.42
2013-02-05BUY455174.9350.15168.06-80,097.710
2013-02-10SELL455167.9336.14159.1675,901.01-4,196.7
2013-05-15BUY487154.7331.49164.79-75,835.180
2013-06-05SELL243185.64198.4992.2144,819.826,980.09
2013-06-09SELL244176.5189.4987.4642,789.054,793.59
2013-06-10BUY245182.2196.4190.6-44,926.010
2013-07-10SELL245220.7237.91109.1953,724.48,798.39
2013-07-14BUY201211.5187.0585.49-42,784.040
2013-07-18SELL201193.1170.7877.8738,564.45-4,219.59
2013-07-21BUY291183234.31106.93-53,594.240
2013-07-24SELL291186.7239.05109.0653,981.58387.35
2013-08-21BUY469196.1404.67185.83-92,561.40
2013-09-19SELL469195.1402.61184.4790,914.82-1,646.58
2013-10-29BUY483187.2397.84189.64-91,005.070
2013-11-26SELL483200425.04196.7995,978.174,973.1
2013-12-10BUY466204.6419.51194.16-95,957.270
2014-01-13SELL466205.9422.18198.5395,328.7-628.58
2014-01-19BUY455208.3417.02195.76-95,389.270
2014-02-11SELL455199.97400.34185.5290,399.59-4,989.68
2014-02-26BUY426210.4394.37182.58-90,207.360
2014-03-30SELL426211.8397183.889,646.01-561.35
2014-04-02BUY405220392.04182.06-89,674.10
2014-04-15SELL202269.2239.26109.4654,029.689,303.34
2014-04-16SELL203255.68228.37104.3851,570.286,622.52
2014-04-20BUY215250.3236.78108.2-54,159.490
2014-05-20SELL215261.3247.19112.9755,819.341,659.85
2014-06-01BUY387275.4468.95216.48-107,265.230
2014-06-29SELL387294.7501.82230.65113,316.436,051.2
2014-08-04BUY362310.8495.04228.61-113,233.250
2014-09-02SELL362338.9539.8247.73121,894.278,661.01
2014-09-07BUY363333.4532.51244.64-121,801.340
2014-09-28SELL181400.08318.62145.8671,95011,217.1
2014-09-30SELL182381.9305.83139.9469,060.037,991.59
2014-10-01BUY186384.2314.43143.81-71,919.440
2014-10-20SELL186368.83301.85137.968,163-3,756.44
2014-10-29BUY364374.6599.96275.76-137,230.120
2014-11-05SELL364358.5574.17264.02129,655.81-7,574.31
2014-12-04BUY366352.6567.83265.18-129,884.610
2015-01-07SELL366364586.19278.45132,359.362,474.75
2015-02-12BUY373352.5578.52274.08-132,335.10
2015-02-22SELL373333.1546.68257.91123,441.71-8,893.4
2015-03-18BUY361340540.06254.14-123,534.190
2015-04-19SELL361342543.23252.13122,666.63-867.56
2015-06-14BUY364335536.54248.68-122,725.210
2015-07-13SELL364346.9555.6258.18125,457.832,732.61
2015-07-22BUY371335.2547.18253.82-125,160.210
2015-08-11SELL371321.79525.29242.7118,616.84-6,543.37
2015-12-01BUY441267.9519.83253.74-118,917.480
2015-12-07SELL441257.18499.04241.75112,677.36-6,240.12
2016-01-18BUY431259.5492.12244.87-112,581.480
2016-02-15SELL431255483.58232.18109,189.23-3,392.25
2016-04-24BUY436248.6476.91240.67-109,107.190
2016-05-24SELL436256.7492.45241.96111,186.792,079.6
2016-06-30BUY439251.7486.18241.87-111,224.350
2016-08-03SELL439276.3533.7251.57120,510.439,286.08
2016-09-06BUY447268527.1257.78-120,580.880
2016-10-10SELL447269.8530.64263.78119,806.18-774.7