← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 0.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#183 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI

Full-history NAV৳104,855

Net return 4.9% · drawdown 32.2% · 77 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳80,292

Net return -19.7% · drawdown 22.9% · 13 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳64,790

Net return -35.2% · drawdown 37.4% · 11 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 120 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳104,855
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳104,855
Realized P&L৳4,855
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳71,679
Friction৳33,939

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #183

165 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-07SELL577167.9426.26197.6896,254.352,119.97
2011-07-12BUY550174421.08194.52-96,315.60
2011-07-17SELL550177.1428.58197.5796,778.85463.26
2011-07-25BUY468205.6423.37193.97-96,838.140
2011-08-01SELL468181.6373.95170.9384,443.92-12,394.22
2011-10-30BUY540155.2368.76170.87-84,347.630
2011-11-02SELL540163387.29179.2787,453.443,105.82
2011-11-20BUY522166.6382.65176.85-87,524.690
2011-11-23SELL522163.7375.99173.2784,902.15-2,622.55
2011-12-27BUY519162.6371.31173.62-84,934.330
2012-01-01SELL519171.1390.72183.2288,226.963,292.63
2012-01-04BUY494177.3385.38179.3-88,150.880
2012-01-12SELL494174.7379.73175.1885,746.89-2,403.99
2012-03-20BUY493172.8374.84173.34-85,738.570
2012-04-02SELL246198.72215.0998.4148,571.625,789.28
2012-04-03SELL247189205.4193.9346,383.663,427.42
2012-04-09BUY482195.9415.46190.87-95,030.140
2012-04-16SELL482211.53448.62205.57101,304.476,274.33
2012-04-19BUY470214442.55202.58-101,225.140
2012-05-09SELL470200.4414.43189.5293,584.05-7,641.09
2012-06-10BUY455204.4409.21190.29-93,601.490
2012-06-25SELL455196.22392.84183.4688,705.62-4,895.87
2012-11-01BUY506174.2387.84182.81-88,715.850
2012-11-06SELL506168.4374.9317784,658.47-4,057.38
2012-11-19BUY489172.1370.29173.88-84,701.070
2012-11-22SELL489169.1363.84170.582,155.57-2,545.5
2013-02-06BUY472172.8358.87171.36-82,091.830
2013-02-11SELL472165.9344.54162.8477,797.42-4,294.41
2013-05-15BUY500154.7340.34169.58-77,859.920
2013-05-20SELL500166.2365.64180.1582,554.214,694.29
2013-05-26BUY501163.7360.86174.53-82,549.090
2013-06-06SELL250188.25207.0896.0546,760.625,568.46
2013-06-09SELL251176.5194.9390.0144,016.562,659.63
2013-06-11BUY254182.5203.9694.08-46,653.040
2013-06-18SELL254175.2195.890.1744,214.82-2,438.22
2013-06-26BUY458191.6386.11179.29-88,318.210
2013-07-02SELL458183.9370.6171.5483,684.06-4,634.15
2013-07-14BUY393211.5365.73168.01-83,653.240
2013-07-17SELL393232.5402.04184.2390,786.237,132.99
2013-08-22BUY443203.4396.47182.23-90,684.90
2013-08-27SELL443209.8408.94188.2892,344.181,659.28
2013-09-02BUY428214.7404.32185.73-92,481.650
2013-09-09SELL428204.3384.74176.3586,879.32-5,602.33
2013-11-05BUY443194.6379.31179.68-86,766.790
2013-11-24SELL443206.6402.7186.5190,934.594,167.8
2013-11-27BUY440205.6398.04183.9-91,045.950
2014-04-07SELL220240.7233107.0552,613.957,090.98
2014-04-09SELL220242.76234.99107.6553,064.787,541.81
2014-04-16BUY410255.8461.46212.11-105,551.570
2014-06-04SELL205295.9266.9122.2460,270.357,494.57
2014-06-08SELL205284256.17117.3757,846.475,070.68
2014-06-16BUY384305.4516237.76-118,027.360
2014-07-06SELL384291.9493.19227.22111,369.19-6,658.17
2014-07-17BUY389285.1487.98226.01-111,617.890
2014-08-07SELL194327.87279.87128.1663,197.787,532.3
2014-08-12SELL195330.9283.91129.8664,111.728,159.31
2014-08-13BUY185339.2276.11126.23-63,154.340
2014-08-24SELL185325.3264.79120.9159,794.8-3,359.54
2014-09-02BUY363338.9541.29248.42-123,810.420
2014-09-22SELL181389.73310.38142.1770,089.488,354.81
2014-09-29SELL182390.59312.79143.1370,632.378,556.62
2014-10-01BUY181384.2305.98139.93-69,986.10
2014-10-20SELL181368.83293.74134.1766,330.68-3,655.42
2014-10-28BUY359379.7599.77275.64-137,187.720
2014-11-03SELL359361.6571.18262.61128,980.61-8,207.11
2015-01-12BUY360355.9563.75267.97-128,955.710
2015-01-25SELL360341.66541.2256.91122,200.93-6,754.78
2015-02-12BUY344352.5533.54251.97-122,045.520
2015-02-22SELL344333.1504.18237.18113,845.04-8,200.48
2015-03-29BUY325348497.64232.56-113,830.20
2015-04-20SELL325334.08477.73221.29107,876.98-5,953.22
2015-12-02BUY396271.1472.36229.16-108,057.130
2015-12-07SELL396267.4465.92224.78105,199.71-2,857.42
2016-01-18BUY402259.5459227.06-105,005.060
2016-01-21SELL402269.8477.22231.34107,751.042,745.98
2016-04-24BUY431248.6471.45237.64-107,855.690
2016-04-27SELL431251476236.42107,468.59-387.1
2016-05-11BUY424252.1470.32230.25-107,590.970
2016-05-16SELL424252470.13229.82106,148.04-1,442.92
2016-05-24BUY410256.7463.09226.51-105,936.60
2016-05-29SELL410255.2460.38226.18103,945.44-1,991.16
2016-10-25BUY363285455.2218.34-104,128.550
2016-10-31SELL363273.6436.99208.6698,671.15-5,457.4
2016-11-06BUY350279.9431.05205.79-98,601.840
2017-03-29SELL175321.88247.85115.3455,966.696,665.77
2017-04-12SELL175337.02259.51120.0758,598.849,297.92
2017-07-05BUY321355501.4236.23-114,692.630
2017-07-10SELL321340480.22224.13108,435.66-6,256.98
2017-07-13BUY303354.8473.02220.16-108,197.580
2017-09-10SELL151408.02271.09125.1761,214.767,294.52
2017-09-12SELL152415.42277.84128.0362,738.738,461.4
2017-09-13BUY147415268.42123.62-61,397.040
2017-11-13SELL73477.25153.2970.234,615.764,126.07
2017-11-16SELL74484157.5972.0335,586.374,679.02
2017-11-23BUY273483580.18268.74-132,707.920
2017-11-28SELL273463.68556.97257.8125,769.86-6,938.06
2018-01-18BUY259482.5549.86257.38-125,774.730