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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -0.5%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#193 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI

Full-history NAV৳92,467

Net return -7.5% · drawdown 42.7% · 79 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳80,159

Net return -19.8% · drawdown 23.1% · 12 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳64,780

Net return -35.2% · drawdown 37.4% · 11 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 10.0%; maximum 15 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳92,467
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳92,467
Realized P&L৳-7,533
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳74,594
Friction৳35,302

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳4.37e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #193

164 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2018-03-07SELL240487.9515.22240.84116,339.94-6,340.51
2018-04-19BUY234493507.59239.17-116,108.760
2018-05-15SELL234466479.79223.41108,340.8-7,767.96
2018-10-28BUY281383473.54224.18-108,320.720
2018-10-31SELL281380.5470.45222.54106,227.51-2,093.21
2019-01-01BUY285370463.98225.12-106,139.10
2019-01-06SELL285367.7461.1223.55104,109.85-2,029.25
2019-01-09BUY271382455.5217.26-104,194.760
2019-01-14SELL271391466.23220.39105,274.381,079.62
2019-01-23BUY268391461.07216.45-105,465.520
2019-02-13SELL268388457.53211.43103,315.04-2,150.48
2019-03-25BUY255401.4450.37210.68-103,018.050
2019-04-07SELL255385431.97200.897,542.23-5,475.82
2019-09-23BUY269361427.28201.34-97,737.620
2019-09-26SELL269360426.1199.4696,214.45-1,523.17
2020-07-21BUY389245.9420.88200.41-96,276.40
2020-07-26SELL389251429.61202.4297,006.97730.57
2020-07-29BUY378255424.12198.29-97,012.410
2020-08-04SELL378264.8440.42205.1799,448.812,436.4
2020-08-09BUY387255434.21201.47-99,320.690
2020-08-13SELL387290493.81229.14111,507.0512,186.37
2020-08-18BUY385288487.87225.9-111,593.780
2020-09-08SELL192331.2279.8128.363,182.37,530.34
2020-09-09SELL193339287.88132.0465,007.089,065.27
2020-10-18BUY372342559.79266.54-128,050.320
2020-11-09SELL372336.3550.46264.3124,288.85-3,761.48
2020-12-09BUY370334.1543.91261.81-124,422.720
2021-01-03SELL370348566.54267.25127,926.23,503.48
2021-01-14BUY343370558.4261.25-127,729.660
2021-02-04SELL343379.9573.35269.68129,462.671,733.01
2021-05-12BUY372346.2566.66278.24-129,631.30
2021-06-06SELL372351.9575.99276130,054.81423.5
2021-06-10BUY372347.1568.13273.23-129,962.560
2021-07-05SELL372349.4571.9276.37129,128.53-834.03
2022-01-13BUY359357.1564.08279.32-129,042.30
2022-01-30SELL359352556.02274.73125,537.25-3,505.04
2022-02-09BUY347359.5548.88276.46-125,571.840
2022-02-22SELL347355.8543.24273.17122,646.19-2,925.65
2022-08-08BUY403302.9537.1257.68-122,863.480
2022-08-14SELL403288510.68244.23115,309.09-7,554.39
2024-06-27BUY485236.2504.05256.15-115,317.20
2024-07-03SELL485239.9511.95256.64115,582.92265.72
2024-07-08BUY457251504.71251.19-115,462.90
2024-07-11SELL457247496.67244.32112,138.02-3,324.88
2024-07-24BUY449248.2490.34240.03-112,172.170
2024-07-29SELL449257507.73248.31114,636.962,464.78
2024-08-15BUY299381501.24230.48-114,650.720
2024-08-21SELL299342.9451.12206.46101,869.52-12,781.2
2025-09-03BUY325311.5445.45213.79-101,896.740
2025-09-08SELL325308.5441.16213.0899,608.27-2,288.47
2026-01-27BUY371267.1436.01211.47-99,741.590
2026-02-01SELL371267.1436.01210.1998,447.89-1,293.7
2026-02-16BUY351278429.34204.65-98,211.990
2026-02-19SELL351267412.35195.8393,108.81-5,103.18
2026-06-09BUY376246406.98200.68-93,103.660
2026-06-14SELL376248410.29201.8892,635.83-467.83
2026-06-17BUY367250.9405.15198.47-92,683.930
2026-06-22SELL367257.5415.81201.5593,885.141,201.21
2026-06-25BUY363257.5411.28197.37-94,081.150
2026-06-30SELL363260.5416.07198.0293,947.41-133.74
2026-07-12BUY363256.6409.84194.63-93,750.270
2026-07-15SELL363259413.67196.1393,407.19-343.08
2026-07-28BUY357259.8408.09195.29-93,351.990
2026-08-02SELL357260408.41196.7392,214.86-1,137.13