← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -0.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#196 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳88,537

Net return -11.5% · drawdown 44.9% · 116 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳77,216

Net return -22.8% · drawdown 26.0% · 17 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳62,803

Net return -37.2% · drawdown 39.3% · 15 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 18.0%; maximum 30 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 8.0%, distance 3.5%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳88,537
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳88,537
Realized P&L৳-11,463
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳92,272
Friction৳43,580

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.46e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #196

239 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-22BUY368269.9437.02200.35-99,960.580
2010-12-27SELL368258.4418.4191.4494,481.36-5,479.22
2010-12-30BUY382245.8413.14188.95-94,497.690
2011-01-04SELL382236.5397.51181.7589,763.74-4,733.95
2011-01-13BUY379234.8391.55178.9-89,559.650
2011-01-18SELL379228.7381.38174.2886,121.64-3,438.01
2011-02-02BUY375228.3376.7172.6-86,161.790
2011-02-07SELL375209.7346.01158.3778,133.13-8,028.66
2011-07-04BUY480162.1342.36158.44-78,308.790
2011-07-07SELL480167.9354.6163.980,073.491,764.7
2011-07-12BUY457174349.88161.19-80,029.070
2011-07-17SELL457177.1356.11163.7780,414.82385.75
2011-07-25BUY388205.6351160.59-80,284.390
2011-08-02SELL388176.7301.66137.7568,120.19-12,164.2
2011-10-27BUY416162.8297.99137.68-68,160.470
2011-11-01SELL416164.5301.1138.8767,992.03-168.43
2011-11-13BUY425159.2297.7137.24-68,094.940
2011-11-16SELL425161.7302.38139.3968,280.73185.79
2011-11-21BUY413164.3298.57137.43-68,291.890
2011-11-24SELL413166.3302.2138.868,240.9-50.99
2011-12-26BUY421160.8297.87138.35-68,133.010
2011-12-29SELL421163.5302.87141.0868,389.55256.53
2012-01-03BUY391174.1299.52138.84-68,511.460
2012-01-12SELL391174.7300.55138.2367,868.91-642.54
2012-03-04BUY431156.2296.22136.14-67,754.560
2012-03-07SELL431151.4287.11131.9864,834.31-2,920.25
2012-03-20BUY373172.8283.6130.6-64,868.60
2012-04-02SELL186198.72162.6374.2936,7254,377.65
2012-04-03SELL187189155.5171.0135,116.482,595.22
2012-04-05BUY191190.8160.3573.21-36,676.360
2012-04-15SELL95219.4291.7241.7620,711.422,469.25
2012-04-16SELL96212.189.5940.7920,231.221,797.03
2012-04-17BUY165211.3153.469.91-35,087.820
2012-05-31SELL165206.4149.8568.5433,837.61-1,250.21
2012-06-04BUY200203.6179.1782.12-40,981.290
2012-07-17SELL200194.4171.0778.538,630.42-2,350.86
2012-07-22BUY361199.4316.73146.36-72,446.490
2012-07-25SELL361205.5326.42150.6773,708.421,261.93
2012-07-30BUY358204.8322.6149.01-73,790.010
2012-08-07SELL358189.8298.97137.767,511.72-6,278.29
2012-11-01BUY385174.2295.09137.91-67,5000
2012-11-06SELL385168.4285.27133.4864,415.25-3,084.75
2012-11-19BUY372172.1281.69131.26-64,434.150
2012-11-22SELL372169.1276.78128.7762,499.65-1,934.51
2012-12-03BUY369168.1272.93127.54-62,429.360
2012-12-06SELL369167.6272.12127.1861,445.11-984.25
2012-12-24BUY356171.5268.64127.3-61,449.930
2012-12-30SELL356175274.12129.2961,896.59446.65
2013-01-03BUY359171.6271.06127.95-62,003.410
2013-01-08SELL359171.4270.74127.8261,134.04-869.37
2013-02-05BUY347174.9267.04126.56-61,083.90
2013-02-10SELL347168.3256.96120.5258,022.62-3,061.28
2013-05-15BUY373154.7253.89123.69-58,080.680
2013-05-20SELL373166.2272.77131.7561,588.083,507.4
2013-05-26BUY373163.7268.66127.94-61,456.710
2013-06-06SELL186188.25154.0771.0934,790.274,144.3
2013-06-09SELL187176.5145.2266.7932,793.481,982.75
2013-06-12BUY377178.1295.43137.07-67,576.20
2013-06-27SELL377184305.22140.9368,921.851,345.65
2013-07-14BUY324211.5301.51138.26-68,965.770
2013-07-17SELL324232.5331.45151.6774,846.885,881.11
2013-08-21BUY379196.1327.02149.87-74,798.790
2013-08-26SELL379210.5351.03161.3579,267.124,468.33
2013-09-02BUY367214.7346.7159.02-79,300.620
2013-10-10SELL367181.4292.92135.9366,144.95-13,155.67
2013-10-29BUY351187.2289.11136.06-66,132.370
2013-11-10SELL351196.8303.9414268,630.862,498.49
2013-11-13BUY351194.6300.54139.98-68,745.130
2013-11-24SELL351206.6319.07147.2172,050.323,305.2
2013-12-10BUY350204.6315.08145.18-72,070.260
2014-01-28SELL350210.9324.79150.5973,339.621,269.36
2014-02-26BUY346210.4320.31147.79-73,266.50
2014-04-07SELL173241.96184.1884.4341,590.474,957.22
2014-04-09SELL173245.3186.7285.442,165.295,532.04
2014-04-16BUY325255.8365.79167.75-83,668.540
2014-05-11SELL325268.27383.63175.5586,628.572,960.03
2014-06-01BUY313275.4379.28174.57-86,754.050
2014-06-17SELL313301.08414.65190.4893,632.916,878.86
2014-06-22BUY313296.5408.34187.46-93,400.30
2014-08-11SELL313340468.25215.22105,736.5312,336.23
2014-08-14BUY306344.2463.43212.66-106,001.290
2014-09-25SELL153398.6268.34122.7460,594.737,594.08
2014-09-28SELL153397.5267.6122.3660,427.547,426.89
2014-09-30BUY157381.9263.82120.61-60,342.730
2014-11-19SELL157339234.18107.2652,881.56-7,461.17
2014-12-04BUY320352.6496.46231.07-113,559.530
2015-01-21SELL320350.4493.36233.56111,401.08-2,158.46
2015-02-12BUY314352.5487.01229.25-111,401.260
2015-03-30SELL314358.7495.58230.98111,905.24503.97
2015-04-02BUY315353489.26226.87-111,911.130
2015-04-26SELL315324.1449.2207.73101,434.56-10,476.56
2015-06-14BUY300335442.2204.26-101,146.460
2015-06-22SELL300328.9434.15200.3598,035.5-3,110.96
2015-07-02BUY295330.1428.47198.22-98,006.190
2015-07-08SELL295328425.74196.9696,137.29-1,868.9
2015-07-13BUY276346.9421.28194.73-96,360.40
2015-08-03SELL276328.5398.93183.5690,083.51-6,276.9
2015-12-01BUY334267.9393.71188.97-90,061.280
2015-12-06SELL334272399.73191.2290,257.05195.77
2016-01-18BUY346259.5395.06193.22-90,375.280