← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -0.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#201 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳85,222

Net return -14.8% · drawdown 43.3% · 117 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳67,462

Net return -32.5% · drawdown 35.3% · 18 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳51,911

Net return -48.1% · drawdown 49.9% · 15 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 10.0%; maximum 30 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 8.0%, distance 3.5%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳85,222
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳85,222
Realized P&L৳-14,778
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳99,594
Friction৳47,148

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #201

242 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2016-01-21SELL381269.8452.29218.54102,122.972,604.16
2016-01-26BUY380266.5445.59214.12-101,929.710
2016-01-31SELL380262.5438.9210.3199,100.79-2,828.92
2016-04-24BUY397248.6434.25217.2-99,345.650
2016-04-27SELL397251438.45216.3198,992.24-353.41
2016-05-03BUY398247432.55213.6-98,952.150
2016-05-08SELL398247432.55212.3197,661.14-1,291
2016-05-11BUY385252.1427.06207.69-97,693.250
2016-05-16SELL385252426.89207.3496,385.77-1,307.48
2016-05-24BUY373256.7421.3204.76-96,375.150
2016-05-29SELL373255.2418.83204.3894,566.39-1,808.76
2016-06-30BUY373251.7413.09202.84-94,500.030
2016-07-12SELL373255.8419.82205.7494,787.84287.81
2016-07-16BUY366257413.87202.88-94,678.750
2016-07-19SELL366259.4417.74203.0994,319.58-359.18
2016-07-24BUY357263413.12198.03-94,502.150
2016-07-28SELL357275.99433.53203.2897,891.633,389.48
2016-08-02BUY353275.5427.91200.29-97,879.70
2016-09-20SELL353262406.94199.8791,879.19-6,000.5
2016-09-25BUY341267.1400.76197.53-91,679.390
2016-11-08SELL341279.1418.76199.4194,554.932,875.54
2016-11-20BUY333282.5413.92195.33-94,681.750
2017-01-03SELL333284416.12197.5893,958.31-723.44
2017-01-08BUY324288410.57193.7-93,916.270
2017-02-19SELL324320456.19212.8103,011.019,094.74
2017-03-09BUY323316.9450.38210.98-103,020.050
2017-04-12SELL323340.55483.99227.33109,285.856,265.79
2017-05-28BUY213334313.02149.32-71,604.340
2017-07-12SELL213348.5326.61151.0373,752.852,148.51
2017-07-16BUY102365.1163.8674.97-37,479.020
2017-08-29SELL102388.9174.5480.0239,413.241,934.22
2017-09-07BUY284396.9495.97232.38-113,447.950
2017-09-12SELL284420524.83244.78118,510.385,062.44
2017-09-17BUY281418516.82240.58-118,215.390
2017-10-30SELL281442546.49255.63123,399.885,184.49
2017-11-09BUY269457540.91252.69-123,726.590
2017-11-15SELL269489.16578.97268.92130,735.757,009.16
2017-11-20BUY265489.5570.76264.36-130,552.610
2018-01-03SELL265481560.85262.22126,641.93-3,910.68
2018-01-08BUY263478.4553.6259.52-126,632.320
2018-02-22SELL263494.9572.7265.26129,320.742,688.42
2018-03-07BUY263487.9564.6264.62-129,146.920
2018-04-19SELL263493570.5269.99128,818.51-328.41
2018-10-25BUY336381563.27269.43-128,848.70
2018-10-30SELL336383566.23270127,851.77-996.93
2018-11-04BUY333382559.71267.21-128,032.920
2018-11-07SELL333375549.45264.13124,061.42-3,971.5
2019-01-01BUY333370542.12265.84-124,017.960
2019-01-06SELL333367.7538.75263.95121,641.4-2,376.56
2019-01-09BUY316382531.13255.32-121,498.450
2019-01-14SELL316391543.65258.63122,753.721,255.27
2019-01-17BUY320382537.86254.76-123,032.610
2019-01-22SELL320384540.67255.72122,083.61-949
2019-01-27BUY305397532.77250.45-121,868.220
2019-02-13SELL305388520.7241.17117,578.14-4,290.08
2019-02-27BUY296394.5513.8237.27-117,523.060
2019-03-05SELL296394513.15237.91115,872.95-1,650.11
2019-03-13BUY294391.7506.7236.24-115,902.750
2019-03-19SELL294389503.21235.34113,627.45-2,275.3
2019-03-24BUY284398497.34232.92-113,762.260
2019-04-07SELL284385481.1224.19108,634.71-5,127.55
2019-06-12BUY296365475.38231.98-108,747.360
2019-06-17SELL296358.1466.39226.51105,304.7-3,442.66
2019-06-27BUY288363.5460.63222.81-105,371.440
2019-07-03SELL288364.9462.4222.83104,405.97-965.47
2019-09-23BUY287361455.87215.32-104,278.190
2019-09-26SELL287360454.61213.22102,652.18-1,626.02
2019-10-01BUY289352.4448.11209.61-102,501.320
2019-10-06SELL279347425.98199.2996,187.73-2,766.83
2019-10-07SELL10345.115.186.913,428.91-117.85
2019-11-20BUY307323.1436.44207.65-99,835.790
2019-11-25SELL307312421.45198.995,163.65-4,672.14
2020-02-20BUY337280415.18193.78-94,968.970
2020-02-25SELL337292432.98200.4697,770.562,801.59
2020-07-21BUY396245.9428.46204.19-98,009.040
2020-07-26SELL396251437.34206.298,752.46743.42
2020-07-29BUY384255430.85201.53-98,552.370
2020-08-04SELL384264.8447.41208.51101,027.282,474.91
2020-08-09BUY394255442.07205.19-101,117.260
2020-08-13SELL394290502.74233.37113,523.8912,406.63
2020-08-18BUY392288496.74230.09-113,622.830
2020-09-08SELL196331.2285.6313164,498.577,687.16
2020-09-16SELL196342.29295.19135.666,657.179,845.76
2020-10-14BUY391333572.89272.27-131,048.160
2020-11-26SELL391319548.81266.99123,913.2-7,134.96
2020-12-07BUY379325.1542.14262.04-124,017.080
2020-12-17SELL379345.37575.94274.16130,046.456,029.37
2020-12-29BUY366353568.47268.82-130,035.290
2021-01-06SELL366374.42602.97283.28136,151.476,116.19
2021-01-11BUY362373.6595.07278.94-136,117.210
2021-02-23SELL362349555.89261.6125,520.51-10,596.7
2021-04-20BUY371336.3548.98267.61-125,583.890
2021-06-06SELL371351.9574.44275.22129,705.244,121.35
2021-06-13BUY367351566.79272.84-129,656.640
2021-08-03SELL367372600.71285.95135,637.345,980.71
2021-08-25BUY364369.9592.43279.58-135,515.610
2021-10-07SELL364376.8603.48284.58136,267.13751.53
2021-12-06BUY373362.8595.43304.7-136,224.530
2021-12-15SELL373357.3586.4300.61132,385.89-3,838.64
2022-01-13BUY368357.1578.22286.91-132,277.930