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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -1.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#204 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳80,347

Net return -19.7% · drawdown 41.8% · 87 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳114,405

Net return 14.4% · drawdown 19.7% · 10 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳106,805

Net return 6.8% · drawdown 22.4% · 9 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 10 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 8.0%, distance 3.5%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳80,347
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳80,347
Realized P&L৳-19,653
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳67,305
Friction৳31,557

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #204

176 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-17SELL577177.1449.62207.41101,529.677,395.29
2011-07-25BUY491205.6444.18203.58-101,597.350
2011-08-01SELL491181.6392.33179.3888,593.89-13,003.46
2011-10-30BUY567155.2387.19179.58-88,565.180
2011-11-17SELL567162.9406.4188.1691,769.743,204.56
2011-11-23BUY557163.7401.2185.05-91,767.150
2011-11-28SELL557162.2397.52183.1589,764.73-2,002.42
2011-12-29BUY546163.5392.79184.29-89,848.080
2012-01-09SELL546175.6421.86195.695,260.145,412.06
2012-03-20BUY547172.8415.9192.68-95,130.180
2012-04-02SELL273198.72238.7109.2953,902.576,424.44
2012-04-03SELL274189227.86104.2751,453.873,801.83
2012-04-09BUY535195.9461.15212.11-105,479.760
2012-04-16SELL535212.1499.28229112,745.227,265.46
2012-04-19BUY523214492.46225.61-112,640.060
2012-04-30SELL523214.7494.07226.23111,567.81-1,072.26
2012-06-10BUY543204.4488.35228.08-111,705.630
2012-06-13SELL543203.3485.72227.1109,679.08-2,026.55
2012-11-01BUY625174.2479.05227.7-109,581.750
2012-11-06SELL625168.4463.1220.54104,566.36-5,015.39
2012-11-19BUY604172.1457.37216.38-104,622.160
2012-11-22SELL604169.1449.4212.08101,474.92-3,147.23
2013-02-06BUY583172.8443.27214.05-101,399.720
2013-02-13SELL583166.6427.36202.9496,497.5-4,902.21
2013-05-15BUY620154.7422.02214.71-96,550.730
2013-05-26SELL620163.7446.57219.08100,828.354,277.62
2013-05-30BUY577173.7440.99212.27-100,878.160
2013-06-09SELL577176.5448.1211.12101,181.28303.12
2013-06-12BUY564178.1441.97207.12-101,097.490
2013-06-17SELL564177.8441.23206.5599,631.42-1,466.08
2013-06-30BUY553178.9435.3202.21-99,569.210
2013-07-07SELL553187.4455.98211.67102,964.553,395.33
2013-07-14BUY484211.5450.41207.42-103,023.830
2013-07-17SELL484232.5495.13227.32111,807.558,783.72
2013-08-22BUY546203.4488.65225.18-111,770.230
2013-08-27SELL546209.8504.02232.74113,814.042,043.81
2013-09-02BUY527214.7497.85229.24-113,873.990
2013-09-08SELL527210.9489.03224.75110,430.52-3,443.47
2013-10-31BUY571192482.38232.74-110,347.120
2013-11-14SELL571195.6491.43232.19110,963.98616.86
2013-11-19BUY534206.5485.19227.87-110,984.070
2013-11-24SELL534206.6485.43225.68109,613.3-1,370.77
2013-11-27BUY530205.6479.46222.25-109,669.710
2013-12-02SELL530201.8470.6218.16106,265.24-3,404.48
2014-01-09BUY506208.7464.65219.12-106,285.970
2014-01-22SELL506208.7464.65218.4104,919.16-1,366.81
2014-01-27BUY488213.4458.21214.27-104,811.680
2014-02-06SELL488210450.91209.76101,819.32-2,992.36
2014-03-03BUY460220.3445.89206.5-101,990.390
2014-03-18SELL460211.3427.67197.9196,572.42-5,417.97
2014-04-09BUY387247.9422.12194.56-96,553.980
2014-04-16SELL387255.8435.58200.0998,358.941,804.95
2014-04-27BUY367265.8429.21196.56-98,174.370
2014-04-30SELL367268.9434.22198.7798,053.31-121.06
2014-05-07BUY353276.4429.3196.49-98,1950
2014-05-12SELL353270.5420.14192.4394,873.93-3,321.07
2014-06-05BUY329285.9413.87190.41-94,665.380
2014-06-10SELL329286.3414.45190.8493,587.41-1,077.97
2014-06-16BUY305305.4409.85188.32-93,745.160
2014-06-19SELL305300.1402.73184.9190,942.85-2,802.31
2014-08-04BUY291310.8397.95183.21-91,023.950
2014-08-12SELL291330.9423.68194.3995,673.824,649.87
2014-08-18BUY283335.8418.14191.61-95,641.150
2014-08-25SELL283326.8406.93186.2791,891.2-3,749.95
2014-09-16BUY264345.7401.57184.42-91,850.780
2014-09-25SELL132398.6231.51105.852,277.896,352.5
2014-09-29SELL132392.2227.79104.0551,438.565,513.17
2014-10-01BUY135384.2228.21104.2-52,199.420
2014-10-13SELL135374.7222.57101.5950,260.34-1,939.08
2015-01-12BUY284355.9444.73209.45-101,729.780
2015-01-15SELL284360449.86212.74101,577.41-152.37
2015-02-12BUY286352.5443.59208.17-101,466.750
2015-02-22SELL286333.1419.17196.0794,651.36-6,815.39
2015-03-29BUY270348413.42192.31-94,565.730
2015-04-02SELL270353419.36193.9194,696.73130.99
2015-12-02BUY348271.1415.11199.85-94,957.760
2015-12-09SELL348257.6394.44187.789,062.66-5,895.1
2016-01-17BUY344257389191.16-88,988.150
2016-01-21SELL344269.8408.37196.1892,206.653,218.5
2016-04-24BUY369248.6403.63200.58-92,337.610
2016-05-02SELL369245397.78194.0689,813.16-2,524.45
2016-05-11BUY354252.1392.67189.97-89,826.040
2016-05-16SELL354252392.52189.6688,625.83-1,200.21
2016-05-24BUY343256.7387.41187.31-88,622.820
2016-05-29SELL343255.2385.15186.9186,961.55-1,661.27
2016-10-25BUY303285379.96180.68-86,915.640
2016-10-30SELL303277369.3175.0483,386.66-3,528.98
2016-11-06BUY296279.9364.54172.76-83,387.70
2016-11-09SELL296281.3366.37172.9782,725.47-662.23
2016-11-21BUY286287.1361.29169.59-82,641.470
2016-12-01SELL286283.9357.26166.7180,671.43-1,970.04
2017-07-05BUY226355353.01164.59-80,747.60
2017-07-10SELL226340338.1156.5876,345.33-4,402.27
2017-07-13BUY214354.8334.08154.42-76,415.70
2017-07-27SELL214375.5353.57162.5579,840.883,425.18
2017-08-06BUY212373.2348.12159.94-79,626.460
2017-08-16SELL212382356.33164.4180,463.26836.8