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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -2.0%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#214 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳71,367

Net return -28.6% · drawdown 52.6% · 91 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳107,893

Net return 7.9% · drawdown 19.8% · 11 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳105,431

Net return 5.4% · drawdown 22.4% · 9 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 10 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳71,367
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳71,367
Realized P&L৳-28,633
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳77,623
Friction৳36,433

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #214

182 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-12SELL577173.56440.63203.799,498.645,364.26
2011-07-17BUY559177.1435.6200.84-99,635.340
2011-07-21SELL559215.8530.78244.36119,857.0620,221.72
2011-07-26BUY579205.5523.53240.19-119,748.220
2011-08-01SELL579181.6462.64211.75104,472.01-15,276.22
2011-10-30BUY669155.2456.85212.65-104,498.30
2011-11-02SELL669163479.81223.05108,344.143,845.84
2011-11-20BUY646166.6473.54219.71-108,316.860
2011-11-24SELL646166.3472.69218.36106,738.74-1,578.11
2011-12-29BUY649163.5466.89220.34-106,798.730
2012-01-09SELL649175.6501.44233.36113,229.66,430.87
2012-03-20BUY651172.8494.97230.14-113,217.910
2012-03-27SELL651182.87523.81243.17118,280.15,062.19
2012-04-01BUY599196516.58238.71-118,159.290
2012-04-04SELL599185.5488.9225.36110,400.24-7,759.06
2012-04-09BUY560195.9482.7222.14-110,408.840
2012-04-16SELL560212.1522.61239.8118,013.587,604.74
2012-04-19BUY548214516236.48-118,024.480
2012-04-25SELL548221.2533.36244.34120,439.912,415.43
2012-06-10BUY586204.4527.02246.66-120,552.080
2012-06-13SELL586203.3524.19245.62118,363.99-2,188.1
2012-11-01BUY675174.2517.37246.77-118,349.150
2012-11-06SELL675168.4500.15239.05112,930.8-5,418.35
2012-11-19BUY652172.1493.72234.31-112,937.230
2012-11-22SELL652169.1485.11229.6109,538.48-3,398.74
2013-02-06BUY630172.8479232.4-109,575.40
2013-02-13SELL630166.6461.82220.05104,276.13-5,299.27
2013-05-15BUY669154.7455.37233.63-104,183.30
2013-05-26SELL669163.7481.87237.76108,795.674,612.37
2013-05-30BUY622173.7475.38229.82-108,746.60
2013-06-09SELL622176.5483.05228.21109,071.74325.14
2013-06-12BUY609178.1477.24224.18-109,164.320
2013-06-17SELL609177.8476.43223.55107,580.22-1,584.1
2013-06-30BUY597178.9469.93218.68-107,491.910
2013-07-07SELL597187.4492.26228.89111,156.643,664.73
2013-07-14BUY523211.5486.7224.37-111,325.570
2013-07-17SELL523232.5535.03245.83120,816.649,491.07
2013-08-22BUY590203.4528.03243.6-120,777.620
2013-08-27SELL590209.8544.64251.81122,985.552,207.92
2013-09-02BUY569214.7537.52247.77-122,949.590
2013-09-08SELL569210.9528.01242.87119,231.22-3,718.37
2013-10-31BUY617192521.24252.66-119,237.90
2013-11-10SELL617196.8534.27254.74120,636.591,398.68
2013-11-13BUY616194.6527.44250.14-120,651.190
2013-11-20SELL616215.3583.55274.64131,766.6111,115.42
2013-11-26BUY654200575.52268.18-131,643.70
2013-12-01SELL654200.5576.96268.47130,281.57-1,362.13
2014-01-09BUY621208.7570.25271.12-130,444.070
2014-01-22SELL621208.7570.25270.04128,762.41-1,681.66
2014-01-27BUY599213.4562.44264.68-128,653.720
2014-02-06SELL599210553.48258.82124,977.71-3,676.01
2014-03-03BUY564220.3546.7254.24-125,050.140
2014-03-18SELL564211.3524.36243.63118,405.21-6,644.93
2014-04-09BUY474247.9517.02239.04-118,260.660
2014-04-15SELL474256.76535.5246.91120,921.832,661.17
2014-04-27BUY452265.8528.62242.5-120,912.720
2014-04-30SELL452268.9534.79245.21120,762.8-149.92
2014-05-07BUY434276.4527.81241.96-120,727.370
2014-05-12SELL434270.5516.55237116,643.46-4,083.92
2014-06-05BUY406285.9510.73235.64-116,821.770
2014-06-10SELL406286.3511.45236.21115,490.14-1,331.63
2014-06-16BUY375305.4503.91232.11-115,261.020
2014-06-19SELL375300.1495.17227.87111,814.46-3,446.56
2014-08-04BUY358310.8489.57226.05-111,982.020
2014-08-11SELL358330.06519.92239.27117,403.735,421.71
2014-08-18BUY347335.8512.7235.37-117,270.670
2014-08-25SELL347326.8498.96228.75112,671.89-4,598.78
2014-09-16BUY324345.7492.83226.85-112,726.480
2014-09-23SELL324380.7542.73249.85122,554.229,827.74
2014-09-29BUY310392.2534.96245.96-122,362.920
2014-10-02SELL310380.2518.59238.08117,105.33-5,257.59
2015-01-12BUY328355.9513.63243.2-117,492.030
2015-01-15SELL328360519.55247.17117,313.27-178.76
2015-02-12BUY330352.5511.83241.35-117,078.180
2015-02-22SELL330333.1483.66227.22109,212.12-7,866.06
2015-03-29BUY312348477.73223.01-109,276.750
2015-04-02SELL312353484.6224.66109,426.74149.99
2015-12-02BUY401271.1478.33232.24-109,421.670
2015-12-09SELL401257.6454.51217.77102,625.32-6,796.35
2016-01-17BUY397257448.93223.16-102,701.090
2016-01-20SELL397268.52469.05228.03105,905.363,204.27
2016-04-24BUY423248.6462.69232.81-105,853.30
2016-05-02SELL423245455.99224.68102,954.33-2,898.97
2016-05-11BUY406252.1450.35219.8-103,022.750
2016-05-16SELL406252450.17219.41101,642.42-1,380.34
2016-05-24BUY393256.7443.89216.48-101,543.470
2016-05-29SELL393255.2441.29216.1399,636.18-1,907.29
2016-10-25BUY348285436.39208.87-99,825.260
2016-10-30SELL348277424.14202.2795,769.59-4,055.67
2016-11-06BUY339279.9417.5199.03-95,502.620
2016-11-09SELL339281.3419.59199.1694,741.95-760.68
2016-11-21BUY328287.1414.34195.39-94,778.540
2016-12-01SELL328283.9409.72191.9292,517.56-2,260.98
2017-07-05BUY259355404.56189.31-92,538.870
2017-07-10SELL259340387.46179.9387,492.61-5,046.26
2017-07-13BUY245354.8382.47177.22-87,485.690
2017-07-18SELL245367.5396.17182.6489,458.691,973