← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

9,400,320 unique configurations in this batch; 3315 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer, 4 CPU threads.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -5.6%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 51 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Every individual rule family

Which indicators produce the strongest historical settings?

51/51 families complete · 184,320 parameter configurations per family · full declared single-rule grid finished

Grid complete
FamilyMaximum historical NAVClosed positionsSame setting: recent stress NAVProfitable settingsInspect
Flow: Ease of Movement৳450,0338৳127,18330,526 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: NVI৳390,12711৳105,74743,689 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Accumulation persistence৳359,22441৳120,38032,640 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: RVOL percentile৳353,24413৳162,50818,868 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Volume confirmation৳347,78115৳129,3399,274 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Breakout confirmation৳337,45242৳110,70011,997 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Bollinger breakout৳315,96014৳116,34611,999 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: OBV slope৳301,20730৳140,57715,991 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Signed imbalance৳301,20730৳140,57715,991 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Turnover shock৳297,22242৳89,71313,754 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Volume z-score৳292,51834৳95,59614,055 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: VWAP pressure৳291,6579৳101,36469,788 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Price-volume divergence৳289,52628৳113,66818,692 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Support rebound৳283,53522৳80,64542,237 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Force Index৳279,66935৳105,55818,844 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: RVOL৳277,16035৳96,50211,370 / 184,320Rules & fills →
RSI corridor৳275,88338৳133,93625,111 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Traded value৳275,36617৳101,29921,390 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: VPT৳271,29524৳114,09912,350 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Volume Profile POC৳270,86413৳92,24917,592 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Amihud৳268,87743৳69,58638,276 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: OBV৳264,87329৳145,58114,391 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Donchian breakout৳260,34639৳123,36137,063 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: VWAP৳255,90534৳111,0529,010 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Gap pressure৳250,90313৳118,6079,064 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Klinger Oscillator৳244,05835৳101,2024,692 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Accumulation streak৳241,06141৳88,56912,536 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: PVI৳239,64125৳119,99510,240 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: CMF৳239,18643৳150,06410,679 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: OBV divergence৳238,33163৳88,80411,528 / 184,320Rules & fills →
MFI corridor৳234,74053৳106,7794,697 / 184,320Rules & fills →
EMA 50/200৳231,49621৳108,89921,101 / 184,320Rules & fills →
EMA 8/128৳226,69720৳110,1418,947 / 184,320Rules & fills →
MACD৳221,59838৳122,15910,659 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Volume concentration৳213,15317৳77,56512,055 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Anchored VWAP৳210,42944৳114,9925,071 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: VPT acceleration৳210,38542৳96,2666,600 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: ADL slope৳204,89811৳121,8697,206 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Chaikin Oscillator৳202,03057৳99,6888,676 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Pressure regime৳200,55730৳106,8271,588 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: MFI৳199,75130৳62,4787,420 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Compression breakout৳199,4399৳90,49450,276 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Volatility adjusted flow৳198,61366৳84,3153,069 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Custom DMI৳197,47158৳123,08713,788 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Range flow৳192,20145৳105,29419,188 / 184,320Rules & fills →
AO momentum৳188,23226৳125,53811,268 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Kalman milestone৳180,09571৳114,16911,008 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Candle confirmation৳171,37223৳81,2315,016 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Five-year profile POC৳151,2747৳75,61810,384 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: ADL৳143,85424৳85,5512,441 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Confluence৳100,0000৳100,0000 / 184,320Rules & fills →

Each family is ranked using its own maximum full-history NAV. These settings were chosen retrospectively. The count of profitable settings is not a probability of future profit. Combination strategies are a separate search space.

Verification and duplicate signals

9,400,320 stored configurations checked across 51 families. 509 selected configurations were replayed serially; maximum difference: 0. All 3,315 detailed finalist ledgers reconciled. Recorded failures: 0.

The 51 catalog families produced 50 distinct GP signal-mask sets. Flow: OBV slope = Flow: Signed imbalance had identical observed signals. Parameter counts are not counts of independent ideas.

Challenge the profit leader

Flow: Ease of Movement: how concentrated are the gains?

Completed positions8
Largest win: share of realized gains34.9%
Top three wins: share of realized gains78.5%

Shares use the sum of realized gains on winning positions; they do not describe the return of a strategy with those trades removed. All diagnostics reuse the exposed historical data.

full normal৳450,033Drawdown 35.9%
full double costs / T+5৳414,663Drawdown 35.9%
full triple costs / T+5৳381,630Drawdown 36.1%
full half participation cap৳386,768Drawdown 35.9%
recent normal৳128,853Drawdown 28.5%
recent double costs / T+5৳127,183Drawdown 28.4%
full extra-session signal delay৳449,962Drawdown 35.9%
What if you started later?

Each row starts a separate ৳100,000 account and ends on 13 October 2026. The rows cannot be added into one portfolio.

Start 2009-11-16৳450,0338 closed positions
Start 2012-01-01৳383,4147 closed positions
Start 2015-01-01৳217,0005 closed positions
Start 2018-01-01৳125,9183 closed positions
Start 2021-01-03৳122,4972 closed positions
Start 2024-01-01৳128,8531 closed positions

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return350.0% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 93 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
427৳787৳25,792Rules & trades →
424৳1,097৳25,792Rules & trades →
421৳1,228৳25,792Rules & trades →
413৳1,783৳23,499Rules & trades →
407৳2,302৳23,499Rules & trades →
406৳2,320৳23,499Rules & trades →
404৳2,549৳23,499Rules & trades →
403৳2,646৳23,499Rules & trades →
401৳2,945৳23,499Rules & trades →
399৳3,250৳23,499Rules & trades →
393৳3,275৳23,499Rules & trades →
381৳3,641৳29,502Rules & trades →
379৳3,718৳27,745Rules & trades →
373৳3,724৳30,351Rules & trades →
371৳3,732৳28,986Rules & trades →
370৳3,748৳28,986Rules & trades →
369৳4,354৳28,986Rules & trades →
368৳4,894৳30,824Rules & trades →
365৳4,990৳32,033Rules & trades →
357৳4,997৳32,033Rules & trades →
356৳5,218৳28,837Rules & trades →
354৳5,221৳25,150Rules & trades →
334৳5,329৳30,036Rules & trades →
333৳5,419৳36,559Rules & trades →
332৳5,784৳36,559Rules & trades →
330৳6,774৳24,060Rules & trades →
322৳8,326৳23,926Rules & trades →
318৳9,371৳58,936Rules & trades →
310৳10,141৳51,727Rules & trades →
307৳10,511৳51,727Rules & trades →
304৳15,178৳58,936Rules & trades →
279৳20,779৳54,998Rules & trades →
278৳21,564৳54,275Rules & trades →
275৳21,636৳63,154Rules & trades →
274৳26,273৳63,206Rules & trades →
273৳29,419৳62,712Rules & trades →
256৳29,590৳55,742Rules & trades →
255৳31,882৳55,742Rules & trades →
254৳33,027৳71,757Rules & trades →
253৳43,846৳60,759Rules & trades →
243৳50,962৳61,920Rules & trades →
222৳51,791৳67,184Rules & trades →
211৳53,155৳38,370Rules & trades →
182৳53,269৳73,871Rules & trades →
180৳57,215৳80,303Rules & trades →
179৳61,425৳67,612Rules & trades →
178৳64,345৳78,839Rules & trades →
174৳71,910৳75,863Rules & trades →
168৳76,436৳74,795Rules & trades →
164৳76,786৳83,870Rules & trades →
151৳78,693৳48,065Rules & trades →
149৳81,870৳48,065Rules & trades →
147৳83,715৳51,784Rules & trades →
146৳84,726৳50,158Rules & trades →
145৳85,728৳51,194Rules & trades →
144৳91,007৳49,551Rules & trades →
143৳96,356৳49,551Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
122৳102,600৳91,283Rules & trades →
120৳105,023৳82,755Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
114৳112,924৳52,842Rules & trades →
113৳126,750৳90,739Rules & trades →
109৳138,974৳102,356Rules & trades →
106৳146,851৳95,338Rules & trades →
105৳153,643৳95,031Rules & trades →
104৳160,541৳98,869Rules & trades →
103৳163,825৳101,081Rules & trades →
100৳171,166৳100,173Rules & trades →
99৳174,900৳102,408Rules & trades →
93৳176,438৳104,720Rules & trades →
91৳185,425৳103,784Rules & trades →
89৳203,081৳106,103Rules & trades →
78৳216,647৳117,604Rules & trades →
72৳219,750৳116,611Rules & trades →
70৳248,900৳121,502Rules & trades →
57৳287,506৳123,512Rules & trades →
47৳307,724৳112,431Rules & trades →
44৳310,063৳67,382Rules & trades →
43৳336,818৳116,030Rules & trades →
42৳337,452৳110,700Rules & trades →
41৳359,224৳120,380Rules & trades →
20৳361,179৳129,192Rules & trades →
18৳364,644৳142,912Rules & trades →
17৳388,758৳142,912Rules & trades →
16৳401,243৳142,912Rules & trades →
8৳450,033৳127,183Rules & trades →

#2153 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳37,440

Net return -62.6% · drawdown 63.3% · 165 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳60,834

Net return -39.2% · drawdown 41.0% · 30 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳37,845

Net return -62.2% · drawdown 62.2% · 26 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 10 sessions; gate None; fresh signal only; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳27
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳37,413
NAV৳37,440
Realized P&L৳-61,731
Unrealized P&L৳-829
Fees৳102,261
Friction৳47,844

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #2153

333 fills, including partial sales. Page 3.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2019-08-27SELL167314.5231.09107.7752,182.64-2,425.5
2019-09-11BUY167309.9227.71106.07-52,087.080
2019-09-22SELL83364132.9361.3730,017.74,130.11
2019-09-23SELL84357.31132.0660.7129,821.13,621.61
2019-10-27BUY181327.6260.9121.52-59,678.020
2019-11-03SELL181317252.46118.2557,006.29-2,671.73
2019-11-13BUY180314.6249.16116.75-56,993.910
2019-11-18SELL180310.7246.07115.5655,564.36-1,429.55
2019-11-28BUY173320243.58112.87-55,716.450
2019-12-03SELL173311.4237.04109.7953,525.38-2,191.07
2020-01-01BUY190280234.08110.86-53,544.940
2020-01-06SELL190285.8238.93113.2353,949.85404.91
2020-01-20BUY202265.3235.8110.52-53,936.920
2020-01-23SELL202270.5240.42111.854,288.78351.86
2020-02-04BUY198273237.84109.85-54,401.690
2020-02-10SELL198261.9228.17105.2251,522.81-2,878.87
2020-02-19BUY191266.8224.22103.42-51,286.440
2020-02-24SELL191319.8268.76123.6560,689.399,402.95
2020-08-09BUY237255265.91122.41-60,823.320
2020-08-13SELL237290302.41139.2168,288.377,465.05
2020-08-24BUY230295298.54137.17-68,285.710
2020-09-02SELL230318.6322.42148.0272,807.14,521.4
2020-09-09BUY213339317.71145.86-72,670.570
2020-09-16SELL213345323.33148.6873,012.99342.42
2020-10-14BUY218333319.41148.88-73,062.290
2020-10-21SELL218331.9318.36149.471,886.44-1,175.85
2020-11-08BUY213336.2315.09147.82-72,073.510
2020-11-15SELL213330.2309.46145.4869,877.66-2,195.85
2020-12-07BUY213325.1304.68143.42-69,694.410
2020-12-17SELL213350.74328.72153.4574,225.894,531.48
2020-12-29BUY209353324.62150.95-74,252.570
2021-01-05SELL209368.48338.85157.1276,516.352,263.78
2021-01-19BUY198384.2334.72154.59-76,560.910
2021-01-24SELL198375326.7150.7673,772.54-2,788.36
2021-02-07BUY190385321.86149.03-73,620.890
2021-02-10SELL190377.7315.76146.1471,301.1-2,319.79
2021-03-07BUY209340.3312.94145.19-71,580.830
2021-03-10SELL209351.82323.53150.2173,056.641,475.81
2021-04-08BUY223325318.89149.69-72,943.580
2021-04-20SELL223336.3329.98156.5274,508.41,564.82
2021-05-12BUY214346.2325.98155.01-74,567.80
2021-05-23SELL214342.9322.87152.1272,905.61-1,662.19
2021-05-30BUY208348.4318.86149.82-72,935.870
2021-06-09SELL208346.9317.48149.1471,688.58-1,247.29
2021-06-29BUY205346.2312.27146.94-71,430.220
2021-07-18SELL205358322.92151.872,915.291,485.07
2021-08-25BUY196369.9319147.98-72,967.390
2021-08-31SELL196360.5310.9144.2970,202.81-2,764.57
2021-09-06BUY189369.9307.61142.85-70,361.560
2021-09-13SELL189388.86323.38150.5273,021.42,659.84
2021-11-03BUY203356.6318.52148.84-72,857.150
2021-11-17SELL203361322.45153.7272,806.83-50.32
2021-12-06BUY200362.8319.26154.91-73,034.170
2021-12-14SELL200358315.04153.1771,131.79-1,902.39
2022-01-02BUY201350309.54149.79-70,809.330
2022-01-16SELL201359.9318.3151.7571,869.851,060.52
2022-02-07BUY201355.3314.23151.51-71,881.040
2022-02-20SELL201358.8317.32153.4671,648.01-233.03
2022-03-14BUY216329.9313.54148.52-71,720.460
2022-03-29SELL216330.9314.49150.2271,009.69-710.76
2022-04-18BUY219323.1311.34153.06-71,223.30
2022-05-05SELL219320.1308.45147.269,646.25-1,577.05
2022-05-30BUY223310304.17143.61-69,577.780
2022-06-13SELL223307301.23143.7268,016.05-1,561.73
2022-06-27BUY221305.5297.07143.06-67,955.620
2022-06-30SELL221294.9286.76136.1864,749.96-3,205.66
2022-07-18BUY222289.8283.08132.21-64,750.880
2022-08-01SELL222294.1287.28133.964,869.02118.14
2022-08-30BUY218295.2283.16131.9-64,768.650
2022-09-07SELL218288.5276.73128.962,487.37-2,281.28
2022-09-15BUY217287274.03128.34-62,681.370
2022-10-02SELL217286.6273.65129.5661,788.99-892.38
2024-03-21BUY255241270.4126.31-61,851.710
2024-04-08SELL255242.4271.97127.7561,412.28-439.43
2024-05-30BUY267228267.85128.49-61,272.350
2024-06-04SELL267228267.85129.0660,479.08-793.27
2024-06-23BUY263228.8264.77128.71-60,567.880
2024-06-30SELL263237.16274.44132.4661,966.181,398.3
2024-07-24BUY248248.2270.84128.34-61,952.770
2024-07-29SELL248257280.44132.8263,322.741,369.97
2024-08-15BUY165381276.61126.53-63,268.140
2024-08-20SELL165353256.28116.9857,871.75-5,396.39
2024-09-25BUY166347.1253.52115.95-57,988.070
2024-10-03SELL166344251.26114.956,737.85-1,250.22
2024-11-05BUY178316.6247.96114.54-56,717.30
2024-11-13SELL178326.34255.59118.0357,714.9997.6
2024-11-28BUY177322.9251.47116.4-57,521.170
2024-12-09SELL177318.2247.81115.0255,958.57-1,562.61
2024-12-18BUY174320244.99114.38-56,039.380
2025-01-05SELL174321.5246.14115.1555,579.71-459.67
2025-01-22BUY164336.9243.11112.88-55,607.580
2025-01-27SELL164331238.85110.8153,934.34-1,673.24
2025-02-03BUY161332235.19108.95-53,796.140
2025-02-10SELL161339.5240.5111.2754,307.73511.59
2025-02-17BUY159341238.56110.7-54,568.260
2025-03-02SELL159327.4229.05105.2451,722.31-2,845.95
2025-03-17BUY158324.9225.87104.06-51,664.130
2025-03-20SELL158319.6222.19102.950,171.71-1,492.42
2025-03-27BUY155320.5218.58102.28-49,998.360
2025-04-20SELL155319.4217.83103.6349,185.54-812.83