← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -2.0%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#217 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI

Full-history NAV৳70,522

Net return -29.5% · drawdown 46.7% · 94 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳105,662

Net return 5.7% · drawdown 25.2% · 12 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳101,100

Net return 1.1% · drawdown 26.6% · 10 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 10 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 8.0%, distance 3.5%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳70,522
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳70,522
Realized P&L৳-29,478
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳75,863
Friction৳35,569

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #217

191 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2017-07-10SELL238340356.05165.0580,398.9-4,636.41
2017-07-13BUY226354.8352.81163.23-80,700.850
2017-07-27SELL226375.5373.4171.7784,317.833,616.98
2017-08-06BUY224373.2367.83169.09-84,133.720
2017-08-22SELL224391.1385.47178.2687,042.682,908.96
2017-09-06BUY215401.7380.01176.84-86,922.350
2017-09-11SELL215419.78397.11184.1889,670.342,747.99
2017-09-14BUY211423.1392.81181.75-89,848.660
2017-09-19SELL211411381.57176.4686,162.97-3,685.69
2017-11-13BUY181472.9376.62174.33-86,145.850
2017-11-16SELL181484385.46177.6287,040.92895.08
2017-11-23BUY179483380.41175.07-87,012.490
2017-11-28SELL179471370.96170.6783,767.37-3,245.12
2018-01-18BUY172482.5365.16169.26-83,524.420
2018-02-01SELL172504381.43175.686,130.982,606.56
2018-02-13BUY169507.9377.67173.81-86,386.580
2018-02-25SELL169484.9360.57166.0381,421.5-4,965.09
2018-04-19BUY164493355.75165.85-81,373.60
2018-04-26SELL164476.9344.13159.5377,707.94-3,665.66
2018-08-29BUY197391.5339.35158.97-77,623.820
2018-09-13SELL197378327.65153.3773,984.98-3,638.84
2018-10-28BUY192383323.56151.24-74,010.80
2018-10-31SELL192380.5321.45150.1772,584.38-1,426.42
2019-01-01BUY195370317.46150.96-72,618.420
2019-01-15SELL195390334.62156.2975,559.092,940.67
2019-01-23BUY192391330.32153.67-75,555.990
2019-02-06SELL192403.6340.96156.9876,993.261,437.27
2019-02-13BUY197388336.32154.74-76,927.060
2019-02-19SELL197376325.92149.7973,596.3-3,330.76
2019-03-25BUY182401.4321.44149.15-73,525.390
2019-04-03SELL182407325.93150.9373,597.1471.75
2019-09-23BUY203361322.45150.62-73,756.070
2019-09-26SELL203360321.55149.4572,609-1,147.07
2020-07-19BUY297243317.55150.61-72,639.170
2020-08-03SELL297259338.46156.9676,427.583,788.42
2020-08-09BUY298255334.36154.41-76,478.770
2020-08-13SELL298290380.25175.6185,864.149,385.37
2020-08-18BUY296288375.09172.95-85,796.040
2020-09-02SELL296322419.37193.194,699.538,903.49
2020-09-09BUY278339414.66190.95-94,847.610
2020-09-23SELL278329402.43185.790,873.87-3,973.74
2020-10-18BUY264342397.27186.67-90,871.930
2020-10-22SELL264331.3384.84181.8786,896.5-3,975.44
2020-12-09BUY258334.1379.27179.48-86,756.550
2020-12-21SELL258341.1387.22181.5887,435678.45
2021-01-14BUY235370382.58177.39-87,509.970
2021-01-28SELL235384.4397.47184.389,752.232,242.26
2021-02-07BUY231385391.31181.91-89,508.220
2021-02-10SELL231377.7383.89178.3786,686.44-2,821.78
2021-04-21BUY254340.2380.21182.08-86,973.090
2021-05-05SELL254337376.63184.2685,037.11-1,935.98
2021-05-12BUY244346.2371.68177.84-85,022.320
2021-05-30SELL244348.4374.04176.7484,458.82-563.5
2021-06-02BUY242346.5368.95173.81-84,395.770
2021-06-15SELL242347.4369.91174.6883,526.21-869.56
2021-11-28BUY230360364.32178.9-83,343.220
2021-12-01SELL230359363.31178.8882,027.81-1,315.41
2021-12-13BUY228358359.15176.52-82,159.660
2021-12-19SELL228352.8353.93173.179,911.37-2,248.29
2022-01-13BUY222357.1348.82167.32-79,792.330
2022-01-27SELL222351.4343.25164.8577,502.7-2,289.64
2022-02-08BUY216357.4339.67164.52-77,702.60
2022-02-27SELL216345327.89157.5574,034.57-3,668.03
2022-04-27BUY225326.4323.14156.44-73,919.580
2022-05-08SELL225320.1316.9151.4871,554.12-2,365.46
2022-08-08BUY235302.9313.2146.97-71,641.670
2022-08-17SELL235287296.76138.5167,009.73-4,631.94
2024-06-27BUY282236.2293.08142.36-67,043.830
2024-07-14SELL282246305.24145.6868,921.081,877.25
2024-07-24BUY276248.2301.41143.49-68,948.10
2024-08-11SELL276345.6419.7201.0594,764.8525,816.75
2024-08-15BUY247381414.07190.01-94,711.090
2024-08-20SELL247350.52380.95174.2386,023.26-8,687.82
2024-08-25BUY241354375.38171.5-85,860.880
2024-08-29SELL241348.9369.97168.9483,545.99-2,314.89
2025-09-03BUY267311.5365.95173.98-83,710.430
2025-09-10SELL267301353.61168.8879,844.5-3,865.92
2025-12-02BUY221279271.3138.58-62,068.880
2025-12-10SELL221274.9267.31135.160,350.49-1,718.39
2026-01-21BUY293264.7341.25164.97-78,063.320
2026-02-05SELL293263339.06160.6476,559.3-1,504.02
2026-02-16BUY274278335.16158.13-76,665.290
2026-02-23SELL274266.9321.77151.8972,656.93-4,008.36
2026-06-09BUY293246317.14153.68-72,548.830
2026-06-14SELL293248319.72154.6772,189.61-359.22
2026-06-17BUY286250.9315.73152.21-72,225.340
2026-07-02SELL286259.6326.68153.6873,765.241,539.9
2026-07-12BUY286256.6322.91151.95-73,862.460
2026-07-26SELL286258.9325.8153.973,565.7-296.76
2026-07-30BUY282259.3321.74152.95-73,597.290
2026-08-16SELL282251.5312.06147.5670,463.38-3,133.92