← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -2.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#218 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳67,828

Net return -32.2% · drawdown 50.3% · 132 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳67,859

Net return -32.1% · drawdown 34.9% · 20 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳86,302

Net return -13.7% · drawdown 33.7% · 16 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 30 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳67,828
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳67,828
Realized P&L৳-32,172
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳87,628
Friction৳41,031

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #218

266 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-22BUY368269.9437.02200.35-99,960.580
2010-12-27SELL368258.4418.4191.4494,481.36-5,479.22
2010-12-30BUY382245.8413.14188.95-94,497.690
2011-01-04SELL382236.5397.51181.7589,763.74-4,733.95
2011-02-02BUY390228.3391.76179.56-89,608.320
2011-02-07SELL390209.7359.85164.7581,258.41-8,349.91
2011-07-04BUY499162.1355.91164.83-81,408.630
2011-07-07SELL499167.9368.64170.583,242.961,834.33
2011-07-12BUY475174363.66167.62-83,181.280
2011-07-17SELL475177.1370.14170.383,582.06400.78
2011-07-25BUY404205.6365.47167.26-83,595.130
2011-08-01SELL404181.6322.81147.4472,896.15-10,698.99
2011-10-27BUY445162.8318.76147.44-72,912.20
2011-11-01SELL445164.5322.09148.772,731.71-180.49
2011-11-13BUY454159.2318.02146.74-72,741.560
2011-11-16SELL454161.7323.01149.0572,939.74198.18
2011-11-21BUY441164.3318.81146.87-72,921.970
2011-11-24SELL441166.3322.69148.3172,867.3-54.67
2011-11-30BUY441164.2318.61146.51-72,877.320
2011-12-05SELL441157.7306140.8469,098.85-3,778.47
2011-12-26BUY427160.8302.11140.36-69,104.070
2011-12-29SELL427163.5307.18143.1469,364.17260.1
2012-01-03BUY396174.1303.35140.65-69,387.60
2012-01-12SELL396174.7304.4140.0268,736.78-650.82
2012-01-18BUY417163.6300.17137.94-68,659.320
2012-01-23SELL417161295.4135.6666,705.93-1,953.38
2012-03-04BUY425156.2292.09134.22-66,811.320
2012-03-07SELL425151.4283.12130.1263,931.76-2,879.55
2012-03-20BUY367172.8279.04128.47-63,825.110
2012-03-27SELL367182.87295.3135.8466,681.422,856.31
2012-04-01BUY338196291.49133.74-66,673.230
2012-04-16SELL338212.1315.44144.271,230.174,556.94
2012-04-19BUY331214311.67142.37-71,288.040
2012-04-25SELL331221.2322.16147.1372,747.921,459.87
2012-06-10BUY353204.4317.47146.88-72,617.560
2012-07-11SELL353188.05292.08135.165,953.77-6,663.79
2012-07-23BUY322203.5288.32132.92-65,948.240
2012-08-07SELL322189.8268.91123.6960,723-5,225.24
2012-11-01BUY347174.2265.97123.96-60,837.330
2012-11-06SELL347168.4257.11119.9658,057.72-2,779.61
2012-11-19BUY335172.1253.68117.92-58,025.090
2012-11-22SELL335169.1249.25115.756,283.55-1,741.54
2012-12-03BUY333168.1246.3114.79-56,338.390
2012-12-06SELL333167.6245.57114.4655,450.77-887.62
2012-12-24BUY321171.5242.23114.32-55,408.050
2012-12-30SELL321175247.17116.1755,811.66403.62
2013-01-03BUY323171.6243.88114.69-55,785.370
2013-01-08SELL323171.4243.59114.5755,004.03-781.33
2013-02-05BUY313174.9240.87113.7-55,098.270
2013-02-10SELL313168.3231.78108.3852,337.73-2,760.54
2013-05-15BUY336154.7228.71110.68-52,318.590
2013-05-20SELL336166.2245.71117.9955,479.53,160.92
2013-05-26BUY337163.7242.73115.09-55,524.720
2013-06-04SELL337175.62260.4121.9358,800.263,275.54
2013-06-09BUY331176.5257.05119.29-58,797.850
2013-06-12SELL331178.1259.38120.0558,571.67-226.18
2013-06-27BUY316184255.83117.83-58,517.660
2013-07-03SELL316180.6251.11115.5256,702.98-1,814.69
2013-07-14BUY266211.5247.54113.33-56,619.870
2013-07-17SELL266232.5272.12124.3761,448.514,828.64
2013-07-22BUY338180.9269.03122.82-61,536.060
2013-07-31SELL338184.2273.94125.0761,860.59324.53
2013-08-21BUY313196.1270.07123.6-61,772.970
2013-08-26SELL313210.5289.913365,463.63,690.64
2013-09-02BUY303214.7286.24131.08-65,471.420
2013-09-12SELL303196.3261.71119.5859,097.62-6,373.81
2013-10-29BUY314187.2258.64121.28-59,160.720
2013-11-05SELL314194.6268.86125.8660,709.681,548.97
2013-11-10BUY306196.8264.97123.37-60,609.140
2013-11-21SELL306209.9282.61130.3163,816.483,207.34
2013-11-26BUY317200278.96128.35-63,807.310
2014-01-13SELL317205.9287.19133.6164,849.51,042.2
2014-01-19BUY310208.3284.12132.03-64,989.150
2014-03-02SELL310219.4299.26137.8567,576.892,587.75
2014-03-05BUY314213.7295.25135.75-67,532.80
2014-04-08SELL157247170.6378.0738,530.34,763.9
2014-04-09SELL157247.9171.2578.2838,670.774,904.37
2014-04-16BUY300255.8337.66154.74-77,232.40
2014-04-21SELL300252.7333.56152.7475,323.7-1,908.7
2014-04-27BUY281265.8328.64150.23-75,168.670
2014-06-03SELL281280.67347.02159.3978,362.423,193.75
2014-06-08BUY274284342.39157.29-78,315.680
2014-06-17SELL274303.7366.14167.9982,679.674,363.99
2014-06-22BUY277296.5361.37165.71-82,657.580
2014-08-07SELL277323.9394.77181.3389,144.26,486.61
2014-08-12BUY268330.9390.2178.9-89,250.30
2014-08-18SELL268335.8395.98181.3889,417.05166.75
2014-08-21BUY269330.3390.94178.94-89,420.580
2014-09-16SELL269343.88407.02186.9591,910.292,489.71
2014-09-23BUY240380.7402.02184.47-91,954.490
2014-09-29SELL240392.2414.16189.9393,523.91,569.42
2014-10-02BUY244380.2408.18186.99-93,363.980
2014-11-09SELL244344.9370.28169.7983,615.52-9,748.46
2014-12-04BUY236352.6366.14169.37-83,749.110
2015-01-21SELL236350.4363.86170.4582,160.09-1,589.02
2015-02-12BUY232352.5359.83167.86-82,307.690
2015-03-30SELL232358.7366.16169.5682,682.68374.99
2015-04-02BUY232353360.34166.22-82,422.560
2015-04-23SELL232324.76331.52152.6274,860.18-7,562.38
2015-06-14BUY222335327.23150.52-74,847.750