← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -2.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#218 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳67,828

Net return -32.2% · drawdown 50.3% · 132 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳67,859

Net return -32.1% · drawdown 34.9% · 20 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳86,302

Net return -13.7% · drawdown 33.7% · 16 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 30 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳67,828
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳67,828
Realized P&L৳-32,172
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳87,628
Friction৳41,031

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #218

266 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2015-06-22SELL222328.9321.27147.6872,546.85-2,300.9
2015-07-02BUY219330.1318.08146.49-72,756.480
2015-07-08SELL219328316.06145.5671,370.38-1,386.1
2015-07-13BUY204346.9311.38143.3-71,222.280
2015-08-03SELL204328.5294.86135.2566,583.89-4,638.39
2015-12-01BUY247267.9291.15137.82-66,600.270
2015-12-06SELL247272295.61139.5866,748.81148.54
2016-01-18BUY256259.5292.3140.34-66,864.640
2016-01-21SELL256269.8303.9143.9868,620.911,756.28
2016-01-26BUY256266.5300.19141.71-68,665.890
2016-01-31SELL256262.5295.68139.366,765.02-1,900.88
2016-04-24BUY266248.6290.96141.15-66,559.710
2016-04-27SELL266251293.77141.1766,331.06-228.65
2016-05-02BUY12451.080.49-246.570
2016-05-05SELL12471.090.49245.42-1.15
2016-05-08BUY266247289.09138.42-66,129.50
2016-05-11SELL266252.1295.06140.666,622.94493.44
2016-05-12BUY1251.11.10.5-252.710
2016-05-17SELL1252.21.110.5250.59-2.12
2016-05-18BUY263252.2291.85138.86-66,759.310
2016-05-24SELL263256.7297.05141.6267,073.43314.12
2016-05-25BUY1256.61.130.51-258.240
2016-05-30SELL12571.130.51255.36-2.89
2016-07-12BUY261255.8293.76140.83-67,198.390
2016-07-16SELL261257295.14141.6666,640.2-558.19
2016-07-19BUY255259.4291.05138.7-66,576.750
2016-07-28SELL255280.28314.47146.2271,010.714,433.96
2016-08-02BUY256275.5310.32144.1-70,982.420
2016-09-20SELL256262295.12141.9866,634.9-4,347.52
2016-09-26BUY247268.1291.37140.36-66,652.430
2016-10-26SELL247279.3303.54142.9368,540.631,888.19
2016-10-31BUY248275300.08141.13-68,641.210
2016-11-28SELL248286312.08145.2670,470.661,829.45
2017-01-08BUY243288307.93143.95-70,435.880
2017-01-25SELL243301.84322.73149.4672,874.932,439.06
2017-01-30BUY239303318.63147.18-72,882.820
2017-02-26SELL239315.2331.46153.7974,847.541,964.73
2017-03-30BUY225330326.7152.88-74,729.580
2017-04-05SELL225345.84342.38158.9877,313.082,583.5
2017-04-10BUY225342.1338.68157.47-77,468.650
2017-05-24SELL225331.1327.79155.6774,014.04-3,454.6
2017-06-05BUY219336323.77154.38-74,062.150
2017-07-06SELL219349.57336.84156.7976,061.331,999.18
2017-07-11BUY217348.3332.56153.83-76,067.490
2017-07-18SELL217367.5350.89161.5179,235.13,167.61
2017-07-23BUY214367.9346.41159.26-79,236.280
2017-08-20SELL214386.9364.31168.1582,2653,028.72
2017-08-23BUY209390.5359.1165.92-82,139.530
2017-09-11SELL209426.3392.03181.7788,522.96,383.37
2017-09-14BUY208423.1387.22179.12-88,571.140
2017-10-29SELL208445.3407.54189.2292,025.643,454.5
2017-11-01BUY208439.8402.5187.11-92,068.020
2017-11-14SELL104505.77231.44106.2752,262.376,228.37
2017-11-15SELL104496.76227.32104.2151,331.725,297.71
2017-11-19BUY106489228.07104.45-52,166.520
2018-01-02SELL106472.2220.23101.1949,731.77-2,434.74
2018-01-03BUY106481224.34103.14-51,313.480
2018-01-28SELL106501.76234.02107.3352,845.21,531.73
2018-01-29BUY98505.3217.8999.86-49,837.140
2018-03-13SELL98482.3207.9795.7246,961.71-2,875.43
2018-04-11BUY205483.2435.85204.44-99,696.290
2018-05-17SELL205444.54400.98185.9390,544.61-9,151.67
2018-10-25BUY236381395.63186.44-90,498.070
2018-10-30SELL236383397.7118789,803.29-694.78
2018-11-04BUY234382393.31185.1-89,966.40
2018-11-07SELL234375386.1182.687,181.3-2,785.1
2018-11-12BUY228379380.21180.29-86,972.50
2018-11-15SELL228368369.18174.7983,360.03-3,612.47
2019-01-01BUY224370364.67174.55-83,419.220
2019-01-06SELL224367.7362.41173.3581,829.04-1,590.18
2019-01-09BUY213382358.01169.04-81,893.050
2019-01-14SELL213391366.45171.882,744.76851.7
2019-01-17BUY215382361.37168.9-82,660.270
2019-01-22SELL215384363.26169.6282,027.12-633.15
2019-01-27BUY206397359.84167.34-82,309.180
2019-01-30SELL206411.5372.99172.584,223.931,914.75
2019-02-04BUY211396367.65169.38-84,093.030
2019-02-13SELL211388360.22165.8881,341.9-2,751.13
2019-03-21BUY202399354.63164.47-81,117.10
2019-04-02SELL202411.31365.57169.8182,548.431,431.33
2019-06-12BUY225365361.35173.44-82,659.790
2019-06-17SELL225358.1354.52169.5380,048.45-2,611.34
2019-06-27BUY219363.5350.27166.98-80,123.750
2019-07-03SELL219364.9351.62167.1479,394.34-729.41
2019-09-23BUY219361347.86162.84-79,569.70
2019-09-26SELL219360346.9161.5178,331.6-1,238.1
2019-10-01BUY220352.4341.12158.49-78,027.610
2019-10-06SELL220347335.9156.275,847.9-2,179.71
2019-11-20BUY234323.1332.66156.59-76,094.660
2019-11-25SELL234312321.24150.2772,536.49-3,558.17
2020-02-20BUY257280316.62146.87-72,423.490
2020-02-25SELL257292330.19152.2174,561.592,138.1
2020-07-21BUY301245.9325.67153.48-74,495.050
2020-07-26SELL301251332.42155.3875,063.2568.14
2020-07-29BUY293255328.75152.74-75,196.490
2020-08-04SELL293264.8341.38158.1777,086.851,890.36
2020-08-09BUY300255336.6155.46-76,992.060
2020-08-13SELL300290382.8176.8186,440.399,448.32
2020-08-18BUY298288377.63174.13-86,375.760
2020-09-02SELL298318.6417.75192.3494,332.127,956.36