← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -2.6%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#222 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳64,423

Net return -35.6% · drawdown 53.4% · 93 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳125,944

Net return 25.9% · drawdown 20.5% · 12 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳149,510

Net return 49.5% · drawdown 12.6% · 10 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 18.0%; maximum 20 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 8.0%, distance 3.5%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳64,423
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳64,423
Realized P&L৳-35,577
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳55,832
Friction৳25,940

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #222

186 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-22BUY368269.9437.02200.35-99,960.580
2010-12-27SELL368258.4418.4191.4494,481.36-5,479.22
2010-12-30BUY382245.8413.14188.95-94,497.690
2011-01-31SELL382237.3398.85183.0990,066.66-4,431.04
2011-07-04BUY552162.1393.71182.69-90,055.60
2011-07-17SELL552177.1430.14198.2997,130.777,075.17
2011-07-25BUY469205.6424.28194.38-97,045.060
2011-08-24SELL469177365.26167.3382,480.41-14,564.65
2011-10-27BUY504162.8361.03167.37-82,579.60
2011-11-24SELL504166.3368.79169.7683,276.65697.05
2011-11-30BUY504164.2364.13167.71-83,288.640
2012-01-01SELL504171.1379.43177.7785,677.22,388.56
2012-01-04BUY480177.3374.46174.11-85,652.570
2012-02-02SELL480154325.25149.6473,445.11-12,207.45
2012-03-04BUY467156.2320.96147.64-73,4140
2012-04-02SELL467192.8396.17182.2489,459.1916,045.19
2012-04-05BUY466190.8391.22179.77-89,483.790
2012-04-16SELL466212.1434.89199.2398,204.488,720.69
2012-04-19BUY456214429.37196.51-98,209.880
2012-05-21SELL456208.1417.53191.6594,284.42-3,925.46
2012-06-10BUY458204.4411.91191.57-94,218.670
2012-07-09SELL458197.9398.81185.8990,053.51-4,165.17
2012-07-23BUY440203.5393.98182.57-90,116.550
2012-09-02SELL440178.4345.38159.1777,991.45-12,125.1
2012-11-01BUY445174.2341.08160.08-78,020.170
2012-12-02SELL445170332.86156.4875,160.66-2,859.5
2012-12-24BUY435171.5328.25156.95-75,087.70
2013-01-23SELL435168.1321.74154.8172,646.95-2,440.75
2013-02-05BUY413174.9317.83151.8-72,703.330
2013-03-03SELL413141256.23119.2457,857.54-14,845.79
2013-05-15BUY371154.7252.53122.98-57,769.210
2013-05-26SELL371163.7267.22127.2360,338.252,569.04
2013-05-30BUY345173.7263.68124.08-60,314.260
2013-06-09SELL345176.5267.93124.4560,500.13185.87
2013-06-12BUY338178.1264.87122.63-60,585.30
2013-06-27SELL338184273.64126.1561,792.211,206.91
2013-07-14BUY290211.5269.87123.63-61,728.510
2013-07-17SELL290232.5296.67135.6666,992.675,264.16
2013-07-22BUY368180.9292.91133.78-66,997.890
2013-08-21SELL368195.7316.88145.1971,556.264,558.37
2013-08-26BUY338210.5313.06143.72-71,605.780
2013-09-24SELL338190.4283.16129.5563,942.49-7,663.29
2013-10-29BUY339187.2279.23131.26-63,871.280
2013-11-10SELL339196.8293.55137.0266,284.632,413.35
2013-11-13BUY339194.6290.27135.09-66,394.750
2013-11-24SELL339206.6308.16142.169,587.133,192.38
2013-11-27BUY336205.6303.96139.9-69,525.460
2013-12-29SELL336198.3293.17136.4766,199.16-3,326.29
2014-01-07BUY317207.7289.7134.84-66,265.440
2014-02-05SELL317205.4286.49132.2564,693.06-1,572.38
2014-02-27BUY300214282.48130.08-64,612.560
2014-03-31SELL300213.8282.22130.0363,727.76-884.8
2014-04-09BUY255247.9278.14127.59-63,620.240
2014-04-16SELL255255.8287.01131.3764,810.621,190.38
2014-04-21BUY255252.7283.53129.69-64,851.720
2014-04-27SELL255265.8298.23136.2667,344.512,492.8
2014-04-30BUY249268.9294.61134.56-67,385.260
2014-06-01SELL249275.4301.73138.5268,134.35749.09
2014-06-05BUY237285.9298.14136.71-68,193.140
2014-06-17SELL237301.08313.97143.8670,898.132,704.99
2014-06-22BUY237296.5309.19141.6-70,721.290
2014-07-21SELL237289.4301.79138.8168,147.2-2,574.09
2014-08-04BUY218310.8298.12136.81-68,189.330
2014-08-12SELL218330.9317.4145.2971,673.513,484.18
2014-08-18BUY212335.8313.23143.25-71,646.080
2014-09-15SELL212344.2321.07147.1672,502.17856.09
2014-09-23BUY189380.7316.59144.98-72,413.870
2014-10-28SELL189379.7315.76144.3671,303.18-1,110.69
2014-12-04BUY201352.6311.84143.88-71,328.320
2015-01-07SELL201364321.92149.9572,692.131,363.81
2015-01-12BUY203355.9317.89148.22-72,713.810
2015-02-09SELL203340303.69141.2568,575.06-4,138.75
2015-02-12BUY194352.5300.89139.78-68,825.670
2015-03-12SELL194326278.27129.0262,836.71-5,988.96
2015-03-18BUY183340273.77126.66-62,620.430
2015-04-19SELL183342275.38126.5162,184.11-436.32
2015-06-14BUY185335272.69125.19-62,372.880
2015-07-13SELL185346.9282.38129.8163,764.311,391.44
2015-07-22BUY189335.2278.75128.03-63,759.580
2015-08-19SELL189318.9265.2121.7859,885.13-3,874.46
2015-12-01BUY222267.9261.68123.37-59,858.860
2015-12-30SELL222253247.13116.0255,802.85-4,056
2016-01-18BUY213259.5243.2115.72-55,632.420
2016-02-15SELL213255238.99111.6553,964.36-1,668.06
2016-04-24BUY216248.6236.27113.26-54,047.130
2016-05-24SELL216256.7243.97115.3455,087.891,040.76
2016-07-12BUY214255.8240.86114.39-55,096.450
2016-07-28SELL214275.99259.87120.3658,681.633,585.18
2016-08-02BUY212275.5256.99118.9-58,781.890
2016-09-01SELL212262.9245.23115.0755,374.5-3,407.39
2016-09-26BUY205268.1241.83115.38-55,317.70
2016-10-26SELL205280252.56118.2357,029.211,711.51
2016-10-31BUY206275249.26116.56-57,015.820
2016-11-28SELL206286259.23120.1858,536.591,520.77
2017-01-08BUY202288255.97119.1-58,551.080
2017-02-05SELL202306.5272.42125.6561,514.932,963.85
2017-02-08BUY201304.6269.39124.3-61,618.280
2017-03-09SELL201316.9280.27129.8263,286.821,668.53
2017-03-30BUY190330275.88128.53-63,104.410
2017-04-27SELL190339.9284.16131.9364,164.911,060.5