← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -2.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#224 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳63,471

Net return -36.5% · drawdown 48.5% · 134 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳100,985

Net return 1.0% · drawdown 28.8% · 19 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳75,033

Net return -25.0% · drawdown 42.9% · 17 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 12.0%; maximum 10 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳63,471
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳63,471
Realized P&L৳-36,529
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳88,062
Friction৳41,014

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳4.37e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #224

268 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2015-06-14BUY228335336.07154.64-76,870.710
2015-06-24SELL228323.8324.84149.3373,352.23-3,518.48
2015-07-02BUY221330.1320.99147.85-73,420.940
2015-07-14SELL221342.8333.34153.5375,272.811,851.88
2015-07-23BUY224334.6329.78151.75-75,431.930
2015-08-02SELL224330325.25149.3873,445.37-1,986.56
2015-12-01BUY272267.9320.62152.38-73,341.80
2015-12-13SELL272256.3306.74144.2169,262.65-4,079.15
2016-01-18BUY265259.5302.58145.54-69,215.620
2016-01-21SELL265269.8314.59149.2671,033.151,817.54
2016-01-26BUY265266.5310.74146.88-71,080.120
2016-02-01SELL265257299.66141.1467,664.2-3,415.92
2016-04-24BUY271248.6296.43143.97-67,8110
2016-05-09SELL271249.8297.86142.7267,255.22-555.78
2016-05-12BUY266251.1293.89140.01-67,226.490
2016-05-29SELL266255.2298.69142.8967,441.63215.13
2016-07-12BUY262255.8294.89141.4-67,455.880
2016-07-24SELL262263303.19143.3368,459.481,003.6
2016-07-27BUY244278298.46139.56-68,270.020
2016-08-10SELL244267.9287.62133.1364,946.85-3,323.17
2016-09-26BUY241268.1284.29136.77-65,033.160
2016-10-10SELL241269.8286.1136.6164,599.1-434.06
2016-10-17BUY237270.4281.97134.73-64,501.510
2016-10-26SELL237279.3291.25136.9565,765.91,264.39
2016-10-31BUY238275287.98135.25-65,873.230
2016-11-03SELL238278.1291.23136.6565,759.92-113.31
2016-11-09BUY232281.3287.15134.48-65,683.230
2016-11-14SELL232280285.82133.6564,540.52-1,142.7
2016-11-21BUY224287.1282.97131.91-64,725.280
2016-11-30SELL224289.9285.73132.6864,519.19-206.09
2017-01-08BUY222288281.32131.19-64,348.510
2017-01-22SELL222298291.09135.0265,729.891,381.38
2017-01-25BUY213306.3287.06132.67-65,661.640
2017-02-08SELL213304.6285.47131.8364,462.5-1,199.14
2017-02-13BUY207309.9282.26130.47-64,562.020
2017-02-27SELL207315.1286.99132.9564,805.76243.73
2017-03-30BUY195330283.14131.99-64,765.130
2017-04-05SELL195345.84296.73137.467,005.062,239.93
2017-04-10BUY195342.1293.52136.06-67,139.090
2017-04-17SELL195337289.15134.0465,291.81-1,847.27
2017-06-05BUY193336285.33135.29-65,268.620
2017-06-13SELL193331.1281.17132.7263,488.41-1,780.21
2017-06-21BUY188335.8277.77130.56-63,538.730
2017-07-06SELL188349.57289.16134.1565,295.11,756.37
2017-07-11BUY186348.3285.05131.53-65,200.380
2017-07-18SELL186367.5300.76138.1967,916.052,715.67
2017-07-23BUY183367.9296.23135.97-67,757.90
2017-08-06SELL183373.2300.5137.8667,857.2499.34
2017-08-20BUY173391.6298.09137.2-68,182.090
2017-08-24SELL173388.4295.65136.1866,761.37-1,420.72
2017-09-10BUY162408290.82134.43-66,521.250
2017-09-13SELL162415295.81136.4266,797.77276.52
2017-09-18BUY160414.5291.81134.47-66,746.280
2017-09-21SELL160413.7291.24134.1365,766.62-979.65
2017-10-12BUY152430287.58132.68-65,780.260
2017-10-18SELL152422.1282.3130.5863,746.32-2,033.94
2017-10-25BUY144440278.78128.56-63,767.340
2017-11-05SELL144440.8279.29128.8963,067.02-700.32
2017-11-09BUY137457275.48126.99-63,011.470
2017-11-15SELL137496.76299.45137.6567,619.294,607.83
2017-11-20BUY137489.5295.07135.44-67,492.010
2017-11-26SELL137476.2287.05131.7364,820.62-2,671.39
2018-01-03BUY134481283.6130.77-64,868.370
2018-01-11SELL134472.2278.41128.5562,867.85-2,000.52
2018-01-17BUY131477.2275.06126.76-62,915.020
2018-01-28SELL131501.76289.21132.9365,308.422,393.39
2018-01-31BUY128506.9285.49131.02-65,299.710
2018-02-06SELL128495278.78127.8862,953.33-2,346.37
2018-04-11BUY130483.2276.39128.18-63,220.570
2018-04-25SELL130474.9271.64125.6861,339.67-1,880.89
2018-10-25BUY160381268.22124.96-61,353.180
2018-11-08SELL160376.5265.06123.8759,851.07-1,502.11
2019-01-01BUY160370260.48122.88-59,583.360
2019-01-15SELL160390274.56127.6261,997.822,414.46
2019-01-20BUY165375272.25126.35-62,273.60
2019-01-30SELL165411.5298.75137.767,461.385,187.78
2019-02-04BUY169396294.47135.31-67,353.770
2019-02-07SELL169407302.65139.1668,341.2987.43
2019-03-21BUY170399298.45137.98-68,266.430
2019-04-02SELL170411.31307.66142.4369,471.941,205.51
2019-06-12BUY189365303.53144.45-69,432.990
2019-06-26SELL189360299.38141.8967,598.73-1,834.26
2019-07-02BUY184365295.5139.62-67,595.120
2019-07-08SELL184351.7284.74134.6464,293.42-3,301.7
2019-09-23BUY177361281.15130.88-64,309.020
2019-10-07SELL177345.1268.76124.4560,689.49-3,619.54
2019-11-20BUY187323.1265.85124.28-60,809.820
2019-11-27SELL187306.5252.19117.0256,946.29-3,863.53
2020-02-20BUY202280248.86114.94-56,923.80
2020-02-25SELL202292259.53119.2858,605.191,681.39
2020-07-21BUY237245.9256.42119.94-58,654.660
2020-07-27SELL237253.72264.58122.6959,744.851,090.19
2020-07-30BUY233255261.43120.83-59,797.260
2020-08-09SELL233255261.43120.3259,033.26-764
2020-08-13BUY202290257.75118.43-58,956.190
2020-08-27SELL202317281.75129.363,622.964,666.77
2020-09-02BUY196322277.69127.31-63,5170
2020-09-09SELL196337.12290.73133.3665,651.432,134.43
2020-09-14BUY185354288.16132.27-65,910.430
2020-09-20SELL185341277.57127.4562,679.97-3,230.45