← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -2.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#230 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳60,277

Net return -39.7% · drawdown 50.0% · 141 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳101,779

Net return 1.8% · drawdown 28.3% · 19 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳75,033

Net return -25.0% · drawdown 42.9% · 17 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 10 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳60,277
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳60,277
Realized P&L৳-39,723
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳87,866
Friction৳40,860

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.82e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #230

282 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2014-12-24BUY231360.2366.11170.29-83,742.60
2015-01-12SELL231355.9361.74169.2581,681.91-2,060.69
2015-02-12BUY230352.5356.73166.38-81,598.110
2015-02-22SELL230333.1337.1156.8176,119.1-5,479.01
2015-03-18BUY223340333.61154.94-76,308.550
2015-03-30SELL223352.8346.17160.1478,168.091,859.54
2015-04-02BUY220353341.7157.5-78,159.210
2015-04-15SELL220346.5335.41154.3975,740.2-2,419.01
2015-06-14BUY225335331.65152.58-75,859.230
2015-06-24SELL225323.8320.56147.3572,387.09-3,472.14
2015-07-02BUY217330.1315.18145.14-72,092.020
2015-07-14SELL217342.8327.31150.7173,910.451,818.43
2015-07-23BUY220334.6323.89149.01-74,084.90
2015-08-02SELL220330319.44146.6872,133.88-1,951.02
2015-12-01BUY268267.9315.91150.04-72,263.150
2015-12-07SELL268257.18303.27143.3668,478.68-3,784.46
2016-01-18BUY262259.5299.15143.8-68,431.960
2016-01-21SELL262269.8311.03147.570,229.081,797.12
2016-01-26BUY262266.5307.22145.15-70,275.370
2016-01-31SELL262255.84294.93138.9466,596.21-3,679.17
2016-04-24BUY266248.6290.96141.15-66,559.710
2016-05-09SELL266249.8292.37139.9566,014.48-545.23
2016-05-12BUY261251.1288.36137.26-65,962.720
2016-05-29SELL261255.2293.07140.0766,174.06211.34
2016-07-12BUY257255.8289.26138.56-66,168.420
2016-07-24SELL257263297.4140.4967,153.11984.69
2016-07-27BUY240278293.57137.21-67,150.770
2016-08-01SELL240276.6292.09135.3565,956.56-1,194.22
2016-08-04BUY238275.1288.08133.58-65,895.460
2016-08-10SELL238267.9280.54129.863,349.86-2,545.6
2016-09-26BUY235268.1277.22133.18-63,413.890
2016-10-10SELL235269.8278.97133.0562,990.98-422.91
2016-10-17BUY231270.4274.83131.16-62,868.390
2016-10-26SELL231279.3283.88133.3764,101.051,232.66
2016-10-31BUY232275280.72131.74-64,212.460
2016-11-03SELL232278.1283.88133.164,102.21-110.25
2016-11-09BUY226281.3279.72130.9-63,984.420
2016-11-14SELL226280278.43130.162,871.47-1,112.96
2016-11-21BUY218287.1275.39128.29-62,991.480
2016-11-30SELL218289.9278.07129.0662,791.07-200.41
2017-01-08BUY216288273.72127.56-62,609.280
2017-01-22SELL216298283.22131.363,953.481,344.21
2017-01-25BUY208306.3280.33129.51-64,120.230
2017-02-08SELL208304.6278.77128.6962,949.34-1,170.89
2017-02-13BUY202309.9275.44127.27-63,002.50
2017-02-27SELL202315.1280.06129.6863,240.46237.95
2017-03-30BUY190330275.88128.53-63,104.410
2017-04-05SELL190345.84289.12133.8165,287.042,182.64
2017-04-10BUY190342.1286132.51-65,417.510
2017-04-17SELL190337281.73130.5463,617.73-1,799.78
2017-06-05BUY188336277.94131.65-63,577.590
2017-06-13SELL188331.1273.89129.1561,843.76-1,733.83
2017-06-21BUY183335.8270.39126.98-61,848.760
2017-07-06SELL183349.57281.47130.5163,558.61,709.84
2017-07-11BUY181348.3277.39127.94-63,447.630
2017-07-18SELL181367.5292.68134.4466,090.392,642.76
2017-07-23BUY179367.9289.76132.97-66,276.830
2017-08-06SELL179373.2293.93134.8266,374.0597.22
2017-08-20BUY168391.6289.47133.19-66,211.460
2017-08-24SELL168388.4287.11132.264,831.9-1,379.56
2017-09-10BUY158408283.64131.06-64,878.70
2017-09-13SELL158415288.5113365,148.49269.79
2017-09-18BUY156414.5284.51131.06-65,077.570
2017-09-21SELL156413.7283.96130.7464,122.5-955.07
2017-10-12BUY148430280.02129.14-64,049.150
2017-10-18SELL148422.1274.87127.0862,068.84-1,980.31
2017-10-25BUY140440271.04124.93-61,995.970
2017-11-05SELL140440.8271.53125.2661,315.21-680.77
2017-11-09BUY134457269.45124.17-61,631.620
2017-11-15SELL134496.76292.89134.666,138.614,507
2017-11-20BUY134489.5288.61132.44-66,014.050
2017-11-26SELL134476.2280.77128.8263,401.22-2,612.84
2018-01-03BUY131481277.25127.8-63,416.050
2018-01-11SELL131472.2272.18125.6261,460.4-1,955.65
2018-01-17BUY128477.2268.76123.82-61,474.180
2018-01-28SELL128501.76282.59129.8563,812.842,338.65
2018-01-31BUY125506.9278.8127.92-63,769.220
2018-02-06SELL125495272.25124.8661,477.89-2,291.33
2018-04-11BUY126483.2267.89124.16-61,275.240
2018-04-25SELL126474.9263.28121.7559,452.37-1,822.88
2018-10-25BUY156381261.52121.76-59,819.280
2018-11-08SELL156376.5258.43120.6958,354.88-1,464.4
2019-01-01BUY156370253.97119.7-58,093.670
2019-01-15SELL156390267.7124.3660,447.942,354.27
2019-01-20BUY160375264122.45-60,386.450
2019-01-30SELL160411.5289.7133.4765,417.165,030.71
2019-02-04BUY165396287.5132.07-65,759.560
2019-02-07SELL165407295.48135.8266,723.69964.13
2019-03-21BUY166399291.43134.68-66,660.110
2019-04-02SELL166411.31300.42139.0167,837.361,177.26
2019-06-12BUY184365295.5140.47-67,595.970
2019-06-26SELL184360291.46137.9965,810.55-1,785.42
2019-07-02BUY179365287.47135.68-65,758.160
2019-07-07SELL179350.4275.98130.1562,315.47-3,442.68
2019-09-23BUY172361273.2127.1-62,492.30
2019-10-02SELL172346.56262.28121.2859,224.76-3,267.54
2019-10-07BUY171345.1259.65120.16-59,391.910
2019-10-13SELL171331.2249.19115.2956,270.72-3,121.19
2019-11-20BUY173323.1245.94114.74-56,256.980
2019-11-25SELL173312237.49110.2853,628.23-2,628.75