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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -3.1%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#232 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳59,095

Net return -40.9% · drawdown 46.8% · 95 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳79,132

Net return -20.9% · drawdown 24.3% · 12 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳74,848

Net return -25.2% · drawdown 27.7% · 10 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 10.0%; maximum 60 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳59,095
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳59,095
Realized P&L৳-40,905
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳75,574
Friction৳35,461

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #232

190 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-07SELL577167.9426.26197.6896,254.352,119.97
2011-07-12BUY550174421.08194.52-96,315.60
2011-07-17SELL550177.1428.58197.5796,778.85463.26
2011-07-25BUY468205.6423.37193.97-96,838.140
2011-08-01SELL468181.6373.95170.9384,443.92-12,394.22
2011-10-30BUY540155.2368.76170.87-84,347.630
2011-11-02SELL540163387.29179.2787,453.443,105.82
2011-11-20BUY522166.6382.65176.85-87,524.690
2011-11-23SELL522163.7375.99173.2784,902.15-2,622.55
2011-12-29BUY516163.5371.21173.86-84,911.080
2012-01-03SELL516174.1395.28184.3689,255.974,344.89
2012-01-08BUY491180.4389.74180.73-89,146.860
2012-01-12SELL491174.7377.42174.185,226.17-3,920.69
2012-03-20BUY490172.8372.56172.26-85,216.820
2012-03-25SELL490184.3397.35183.6389,726.024,509.2
2012-04-01BUY455196392.39180.61-89,753.010
2012-04-15SELL455215.82432.07198.0297,568.017,815.01
2012-04-18BUY445217.9426.65195.3-97,587.450
2012-04-25SELL445221.2433.11198.1297,802.77215.32
2012-06-10BUY475204.4427.2198.85-97,716.040
2012-06-13SELL475203.3424.9197.9795,944.63-1,771.41
2012-11-01BUY548174.2420.03198.57-96,080.20
2012-11-06SELL548168.4406.05192.2991,684.87-4,395.33
2012-11-19BUY529172.1400.58188.59-91,630.070
2012-11-22SELL529169.1393.6184.988,875.41-2,754.66
2013-02-06BUY511172.8388.52186.25-88,875.580
2013-02-11SELL511165.9373.01176.8584,225.04-4,650.54
2013-05-15BUY541154.7368.25184.8-84,245.750
2013-05-20SELL541166.2395.62196.1689,322.415,076.66
2013-05-26BUY542163.7390.39189.75-89,305.540
2013-05-29SELL542173.9414.72200.8593,638.234,332.7
2013-06-04BUY524177.7409.71195.05-93,719.560
2013-06-09SELL524176.5406.94191.1191,887.95-1,831.61
2013-06-12BUY512178.1401.22187.5-91,775.930
2013-06-17SELL512177.8400.55187.0190,446.04-1,329.88
2013-06-30BUY503178.9395.94183.57-90,566.210
2013-07-04SELL503188.1416.3193.0794,004.933,438.71
2013-07-14BUY441211.5410.39188.77-93,870.670
2013-07-17SELL441232.5451.14206.94101,874.428,003.75
2013-08-22BUY498203.4445.69205.14-101,944.030
2013-08-27SELL498209.8459.71211.99103,808.71,864.67
2013-09-02BUY480214.7453.45208.56-103,718.010
2013-09-05SELL480212447.74205.58101,106.67-2,611.33
2013-10-31BUY524192442.68212.56-101,263.240
2013-11-05SELL524194.6448.67214.1101,307.6344.39
2013-11-10BUY511196.8442.49209.29-101,216.570
2013-11-13SELL511194.6437.54206.0498,797.03-2,419.54
2013-11-18BUY491199.9431.86202.39-98,785.160
2013-11-21SELL491209.9453.47210.89102,396.543,611.38
2013-11-26BUY509200447.92207.58-102,455.50
2013-12-01SELL509200.5449.04207.87101,397.59-1,057.92
2014-01-09BUY483208.7443.53208.81-101,454.440
2014-01-15SELL483204.5434.6204.4498,134.46-3,319.99
2014-01-20BUY470207.1428.28200.97-97,966.250
2014-01-23SELL470210.67435.67204.0598,376.12409.87
2014-02-02BUY463211.4430.66200.45-98,509.320
2014-03-04SELL463214.2436.37201.7898,536.4527.13
2014-03-10BUY456214.4430.17198.87-98,395.440
2014-03-13SELL456214.6430.57199.2797,227.75-1,167.69
2014-04-09BUY390247.9425.4196.09-97,302.480
2014-04-15SELL390259.38445.1204.74100,508.373,205.88
2014-04-27BUY376265.8439.74201.41-100,581.950
2014-05-04SELL376262.9434.94199.0898,216.38-2,365.57
2014-05-07BUY353276.4429.3196.49-98,1950
2014-06-03SELL353283.54440.39202.8399,444.991,249.99
2014-06-08BUY348284434.86200.33-99,467.190
2014-06-11SELL348295.1451.86208.32102,034.622,567.42
2014-06-16BUY332305.4446.13205.18-102,044.110
2014-06-19SELL332300.1438.39201.4698,993.35-3,050.76
2014-08-04BUY316310.8432.14199.16-98,844.10
2014-08-10SELL316327.69455.62209.51102,884.914,040.81
2014-08-13BUY301339.2449.24206.12-102,754.560
2014-08-19SELL301338.2447.91205.33101,144.96-1,609.6
2014-09-16BUY291345.7442.63203.49-101,244.820
2014-09-21SELL291377.9483.86222.63109,262.418,017.59
2014-09-29BUY277392.2478.01219.51-109,336.930
2014-11-06SELL277352.98430.21197.4697,147.79-12,189.14
2015-01-12BUY271355.9424.38199.54-97,072.810
2015-01-15SELL271360429.26202.6496,928.1-144.72
2015-02-12BUY273352.5423.42198.42-96,854.340
2015-03-30SELL273356.4428.11198.8696,670.23-184.11
2015-12-02BUY355271.1423.46204.1-96,868.050
2015-12-07SELL355267.4417.68200.394,309.02-2,559.03
2016-01-17BUY364257411.61203.15-94,162.770
2016-01-20SELL364274438.84212.4599,084.714,921.95
2016-04-24BUY396248.6433.16216.6-99,095.360
2016-04-27SELL396251437.34215.7298,742.94-352.43
2016-05-11BUY390252.1432.6210.57-98,962.170
2016-05-16SELL390252432.43210.2197,637.36-1,324.81
2016-05-24BUY377256.7425.81207.09-97,408.810
2016-05-29SELL377255.2423.33206.7295,580.35-1,828.46
2016-10-25BUY334285418.84200.06-95,808.90
2016-11-21SELL334287.1421.92199.195,270.38-538.52
2016-11-24BUY324292416.28195.66-95,219.930
2017-01-19SELL324296.7422.98198.2995,510.51290.58
2017-07-05BUY267355417.05195.33-95,397.380
2017-07-17SELL267370.9435.73201.2898,393.292,995.91