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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -3.4%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#237 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI

Full-history NAV৳55,661

Net return -44.3% · drawdown 47.3% · 103 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳80,292

Net return -19.7% · drawdown 22.9% · 13 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳64,790

Net return -35.2% · drawdown 37.4% · 11 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳55,661
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳55,661
Realized P&L৳-44,339
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳70,074
Friction৳32,650

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #237

207 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-07SELL577167.9426.26197.6896,254.352,119.97
2011-07-12BUY550174421.08194.52-96,315.60
2011-07-17SELL550177.1428.58197.5796,778.85463.26
2011-07-25BUY468205.6423.37193.97-96,838.140
2011-08-01SELL468181.6373.95170.9384,443.92-12,394.22
2011-10-30BUY540155.2368.76170.87-84,347.630
2011-11-02SELL540163387.29179.2787,453.443,105.82
2011-11-20BUY522166.6382.65176.85-87,524.690
2011-11-23SELL522163.7375.99173.2784,902.15-2,622.55
2011-12-27BUY519162.6371.31173.62-84,934.330
2012-01-01SELL519171.1390.72183.2288,226.963,292.63
2012-01-04BUY494177.3385.38179.3-88,150.880
2012-01-11SELL494176.5383.64177.1286,630.24-1,520.64
2012-03-20BUY498172.8378.64175.12-86,608.160
2012-03-27SELL498182.87400.7185.190,482.463,874.3
2012-04-01BUY459196395.84182.22-90,542.060
2012-04-04SELL459185.5374.64172.1384,597.74-5,944.33
2012-04-09BUY429195.9369.78169.69-84,580.570
2012-04-16SELL429212.1400.36183.390,407.245,826.67
2012-04-19BUY420214395.47180.9-90,456.370
2012-04-25SELL420221.2408.78186.9392,308.31,851.93
2012-06-10BUY448204.4402.91187.29-92,161.410
2012-06-17SELL448200.1394.44183.6289,066.75-3,094.66
2012-11-01BUY508174.2389.37183.56-89,066.530
2012-11-06SELL508168.4376.41177.7384,993.06-4,073.47
2012-11-19BUY491172.1371.8174.61-85,047.510
2012-11-22SELL491169.1365.32171.2182,491.56-2,555.95
2013-02-06BUY474172.8360.39172.12-82,439.710
2013-02-11SELL474165.9346163.5578,127.05-4,312.67
2013-05-15BUY502154.7341.7170.32-78,171.420
2013-05-20SELL502166.2367.1180.9382,884.374,712.95
2013-05-26BUY503163.7362.3175.27-82,878.670
2013-06-02SELL503173.9384.88183.6786,903.154,024.48
2013-06-09BUY489176.5379.76177.96-86,866.220
2013-06-12SELL489178.1383.2178.8686,528.84-337.38
2013-06-26BUY449191.6378.52175.7-86,582.620
2013-07-02SELL449183.9363.31168.1182,039.67-4,542.95
2013-07-14BUY385211.5358.28164.56-81,950.340
2013-07-17SELL385232.5393.86180.4588,938.196,987.86
2013-07-18BUY1193.10.850.39-194.340
2013-07-23SELL11750.770.35173.88-20.46
2013-08-22BUY435203.4389.31178.91-89,047.210
2013-08-27SELL435209.8401.56184.8390,676.611,629.39
2013-09-02BUY419214.7395.82181.78-90,536.90
2013-09-09SELL419204.3376.65172.6185,052.45-5,484.46
2013-09-10BUY1204.50.90.41-205.810
2013-09-15SELL1204.30.90.41202.99-2.82
2013-11-05BUY435194.6372.46176.3-85,199.770
2013-11-10SELL435196.8376.68177.1385,054.2-145.57
2013-11-13BUY434194.6371.61174.07-85,002.080
2013-11-20SELL434215.3411.14191.5492,837.527,835.44
2013-11-26BUY461200405.68187.67-92,793.350
2013-12-03SELL461204.8415.42192.1693,805.221,011.87
2014-01-09BUY447208.7410.47192.75-93,892.120
2014-01-19SELL447208.3409.68192.2192,508.21-1,383.92
2014-01-22BUY440208.7404.04189.09-92,421.140
2014-01-29SELL440211.5409.46190.7492,459.838.66
2014-02-04BUY438210.1404.9188.24-92,616.950
2014-02-11SELL438209.3403.36186.9491,083.09-1,533.85
2014-03-03BUY410220.3397.42183.68-90,904.10
2014-03-06SELL410214.7387.32178.7287,460.96-3,443.14
2014-04-02BUY395220382.36177.47-87,459.830
2014-04-08SELL197253219.3100.5249,521.185,901.97
2014-04-09SELL198247.9215.9798.8748,769.364,928.73
2014-04-16BUY382255.8429.95197.48-98,343.020
2014-04-21SELL382252.7424.74194.8895,911.78-2,431.24
2014-04-27BUY359265.8419.86192.24-96,034.30
2014-05-05SELL359267.9423.17193.6695,559.26-475.04
2014-05-08BUY348272.6417.41191.04-95,473.240
2014-05-18SELL348262.2401.48184.0190,660.11-4,813.13
2014-06-05BUY315285.9396.26182.22-90,636.970
2014-06-12SELL315299.3414.83190.9293,673.753,036.77
2014-06-24BUY309300.9409.1187.73-93,574.930
2014-07-02SELL309296.1402.58184.890,907.53-2,667.4
2014-07-17BUY317285.1397.66183.55-90,957.90
2014-07-24SELL317307.5428.9198.0496,850.565,892.65
2014-08-12BUY291330.9423.68194.39-96,909.980
2014-08-18SELL291335.8429.96197.0797,090.77180.79
2014-09-02BUY284338.9423.49193.95-96,865.040
2014-09-09SELL284338.9423.49194.395,629.81-1,235.24
2014-09-16BUY275345.7418.3192.18-95,677.980
2014-09-23SELL275380.7460.65211.66104,020.198,342.22
2014-09-29BUY264392.2455.58209.11-104,205.490
2014-10-13SELL264374.7435.25199.4498,286.11-5,919.38
2014-10-28BUY257379.7429.36196.71-98,208.980
2014-11-03SELL257361.6408.9187.3992,334.91-5,874.07
2015-01-12BUY258355.9404.02189.66-92,415.880
2015-01-19SELL258355.5403.56190.0391,125.41-1,290.47
2015-02-12BUY257352.5398.61186.46-91,177.570
2015-02-22SELL257333.1376.67175.6885,054.35-6,123.22
2015-03-29BUY242348370.55171.96-84,758.510
2015-04-05SELL242348370.55170.8983,674.56-1,083.95
2015-12-02BUY307271.1366.2175.14-83,769.040
2015-12-07SELL307267.4361.2171.9981,558.6-2,210.44
2016-01-18BUY313259.5357.38173.62-81,754.50
2016-01-21SELL313269.8371.57177.6383,898.22,143.7
2016-04-24BUY335248.6366.44180.67-83,828.10