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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -4.1%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#242 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI

Full-history NAV৳49,555

Net return -50.4% · drawdown 65.3% · 113 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳79,177

Net return -20.8% · drawdown 24.8% · 15 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳71,163

Net return -28.8% · drawdown 31.3% · 12 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳49,555
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳49,555
Realized P&L৳-50,445
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳93,481
Friction৳43,835

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.16e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #242

226 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-11SELL577174.4442.77204.8999,981.145,846.76
2011-07-17BUY561177.1437.15201.57-99,991.830
2011-07-25SELL561205.6507.5232.87114,601.2214,609.4
2011-08-01BUY627181.6501229.44-114,593.630
2011-08-04SELL627178.5492.45225.5111,201.55-3,392.08
2011-10-30BUY712155.2486.21226.66-111,215.270
2011-11-13SELL712159.2498.74232.08112,619.581,404.3
2011-11-20BUY672166.6492.6228.74-112,676.540
2011-11-27SELL672157.7466.29215.26105,292.86-7,383.69
2011-12-27BUY643162.6460.03216.53-105,228.360
2012-01-03SELL643174.1492.56231.17111,222.575,994.21
2012-01-08BUY613180.4486.57226.74-111,298.510
2012-01-12SELL613174.7471.2218.15106,401.74-4,896.77
2012-03-20BUY612172.8465.32216.06-106,434.980
2012-03-28SELL612193.4520.79241.46117,598.5511,163.57
2012-04-02BUY606192.8514.08237.32-117,588.210
2012-04-09SELL606195.9522.35240.63117,952.42364.21
2012-04-15BUY542216.1515.36236.56-117,878.110
2012-04-22SELL542214.9512.49234.84115,728.46-2,149.65
2012-04-25BUY520221.2506.11231.76-115,761.870
2012-05-03SELL520216.5495.35226.81111,857.84-3,904.02
2012-06-10BUY544204.4489.25228.51-111,911.360
2012-06-13SELL544203.3486.62227.53109,881.05-2,030.31
2012-11-01BUY626174.2479.82228.08-109,757.10
2012-11-06SELL626168.4463.84220.91104,733.65-5,023.45
2012-11-19BUY605172.1458.13216.75-104,795.390
2012-11-22SELL605169.1450.14212.44101,642.91-3,152.47
2013-02-06BUY584172.8444.03214.44-101,573.660
2013-02-13SELL584166.6428.1203.396,663.01-4,910.66
2013-05-15BUY621154.7422.7215.09-96,706.490
2013-05-22SELL621167.8458.5226.32103,518.986,812.49
2013-05-28BUY612168.1452.66221.04-103,550.90
2013-06-04SELL612177.7478.51229.54108,044.354,493.45
2013-06-09BUY608176.5472.17222.89-108,007.060
2013-06-16SELL608178.8478.33224.49108,007.580.52
2013-06-26BUY560191.6472.1220.26-107,988.360
2013-07-02SELL560183.9453.13210.59102,320.28-5,668.08
2013-07-14BUY481211.5447.62206.12-102,385.240
2013-07-17SELL481232.5492.06225.89111,114.548,729.31
2013-08-22BUY543203.4485.96223.93-111,156.090
2013-09-01SELL543221.3528.73243.9119,393.278,237.17
2013-09-04BUY552214.6521.22239.78-119,220.20
2013-09-09SELL552201.72489.95225.08110,636.62-8,583.58
2013-09-10BUY1204.50.90.41-205.810
2013-09-15SELL1192.230.850.38191-14.81
2013-10-31BUY573192484.07233.6-110,733.670
2013-11-07SELL573202.4510.29244.62115,220.294,486.62
2013-11-13BUY588194.6503.47238.32-115,166.590
2013-11-20SELL588215.3557.02261.75125,777.6210,611.03
2013-11-26BUY625200550256.01-125,806.010
2013-12-03SELL625204.8563.2262.13127,174.671,368.66
2014-01-09BUY606208.7556.48264.29-127,292.970
2014-01-19SELL606208.3555.41263.46125,410.93-1,882.05
2014-01-22BUY597208.7548.21259.2-125,401.310
2014-01-29SELL597211.5555.57261.03125,448.947.59
2014-02-04BUY593210.1548.19256.87-125,394.360
2014-02-09SELL593207.9542.45253.44122,488.81-2,905.55
2014-03-03BUY552220.3535.06248.72-122,389.380
2014-03-10SELL552214.4520.73241.59117,586.48-4,802.9
2014-04-02BUY531220514.01240.28-117,574.280
2014-04-09SELL531247.9579.19268.32130,787.3813,213.1
2014-04-16BUY508255.8571.76263.51-130,781.670
2014-04-23SELL508265.2592.78272.89133,855.943,074.26
2014-05-07BUY481276.4584.97268.41-133,801.780
2014-05-14SELL481267565.08259.63127,602.29-6,199.49
2014-06-05BUY444285.9558.53258.05-127,756.180
2014-06-10SELL444286.3559.32258.7126,299.18-1,457
2014-06-16BUY411305.4552.29254.71-126,326.40
2014-06-23SELL411304.7551.02253.79124,426.89-1,899.51
2014-07-17BUY433285.1543.17252.11-124,243.580
2014-07-22SELL433293.5559.18259.83126,266.52,022.92
2014-08-04BUY404310.8552.48255.6-126,371.280
2014-08-11SELL404340604.38278.69136,476.9210,105.65
2014-08-18BUY404335.8596.92274.48-136,534.60
2014-08-25SELL404326.8580.92266.7131,179.58-5,355.02
2014-09-02BUY384338.9572.61262.94-130,973.150
2014-09-09SELL384338.9572.61263.58129,301.41-1,671.74
2014-09-16BUY372345.7565.84260.94-129,427.190
2014-09-23SELL372380.7623.13287.4140,709.8711,282.68
2014-09-29BUY356392.2614.34282.94-140,520.480
2014-10-13SELL356374.7586.93269.7132,536.57-7,983.91
2014-10-28BUY347379.7579.73266.33-132,601.960
2014-11-05SELL347358.5547.36251.55123,600.59-9,001.37
2015-01-12BUY345355.9540.26256.34-123,582.090
2015-01-18SELL345357.4542.53258.53122,501.94-1,080.15
2015-02-12BUY346352.5536.65253.49-122,755.140
2015-02-22SELL346333.1507.11238.61114,506.88-8,248.26
2015-03-24BUY338336499.7234.26-114,301.960
2015-04-01SELL338353.2525.28244.05118,612.274,310.31
2015-04-16BUY343343.6518.56240.22-118,613.580
2015-04-21SELL343337508.6235.82114,846.58-3,767
2015-12-02BUY421271.1502.19244.6-114,879.890
2015-12-07SELL421254.83472.05227.91106,585.15-8,294.74
2016-01-17BUY412257465.89232.34-106,582.230
2016-01-21SELL412269.8489.09237.46110,431.053,848.82
2016-04-24BUY442248.6483.48244.32-110,6090
2016-05-02SELL442245476.48235.59107,577.94-3,031.06