← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -4.1%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#243 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳49,483

Net return -50.5% · drawdown 66.2% · 94 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳124,065

Net return 24.1% · drawdown 20.8% · 13 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳148,240

Net return 48.2% · drawdown 12.6% · 10 closed positions

Variant 2; fixed stop 18.0%; maximum 20 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 8.0%, distance 3.5%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳49,483
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳49,483
Realized P&L৳-50,517
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳45,500
Friction৳21,054

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #243

188 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-22BUY368269.9437.02200.35-99,960.580
2010-12-27SELL368258.4418.4191.4494,481.36-5,479.22
2010-12-30BUY382245.8413.14188.95-94,497.690
2011-01-31SELL382237.3398.85183.0990,066.66-4,431.04
2011-07-04BUY552162.1393.71182.69-90,055.60
2011-07-17SELL552177.1430.14198.2997,130.777,075.17
2011-07-25BUY469205.6424.28194.38-97,045.060
2011-08-24SELL469177365.26167.3382,480.41-14,564.65
2011-10-27BUY504162.8361.03167.37-82,579.60
2011-11-24SELL504166.3368.79169.7683,276.65697.05
2011-11-30BUY504164.2364.13167.71-83,288.640
2012-01-01SELL504171.1379.43177.7785,677.22,388.56
2012-01-04BUY480177.3374.46174.11-85,652.570
2012-02-02SELL480154325.25149.6473,445.11-12,207.45
2012-03-04BUY467156.2320.96147.64-73,4140
2012-04-02SELL467192.8396.17182.2489,459.1916,045.19
2012-04-05BUY466190.8391.22179.77-89,483.790
2012-04-16SELL466212.1434.89199.2398,204.488,720.69
2012-04-19BUY456214429.37196.51-98,209.880
2012-05-21SELL456208.1417.53191.6594,284.42-3,925.46
2012-07-03BUY459203.8411.59191.57-94,147.370
2012-07-22SELL459167.12337.51156.1376,212.61-17,934.76
2012-07-25BUY369205.5333.65154.06-76,317.210
2012-09-04SELL369176.8287.05132.0864,820.07-11,497.14
2012-11-01BUY370174.2283.6132.39-64,869.990
2012-12-02SELL370170276.76129.3862,493.86-2,376.13
2012-12-24BUY362171.5273.17129.53-62,485.70
2013-01-23SELL362168.1267.75127.6360,456.82-2,028.88
2013-02-06BUY347172.8263.83124.37-60,349.810
2013-03-03SELL347141215.2899.8148,611.91-11,737.89
2013-05-15BUY313154.7213.05102.67-48,736.830
2013-05-26SELL313163.7225.45106.5850,906.082,169.25
2013-05-30BUY291173.7222.41104.1-50,873.210
2013-06-09SELL291176.5225.99104.6251,030.89157.69
2013-06-12BUY284178.1222.55102.74-50,905.690
2013-06-27SELL284184229.93105.7651,920.321,014.62
2013-07-14BUY244211.5227.07103.9-51,936.960
2013-07-17SELL244232.5249.61114.0356,366.354,429.39
2013-07-22BUY310180.9246.75112.61-56,438.360
2013-08-21SELL310195.7266.94122.1660,278.533,840.17
2013-08-26BUY284210.5263.04120.57-60,165.610
2013-09-24SELL284190.4237.92108.7453,726.94-6,438.68
2013-10-29BUY286187.2235.57110.16-53,884.940
2013-11-10SELL286196.8247.65115.1255,922.022,037.09
2013-11-13BUY285194.6244.03113.15-55,818.180
2013-11-24SELL285206.6259.08119.1958,502.732,684.55
2013-11-27BUY283205.6256.01117.6-58,558.410
2013-12-29SELL283198.3246.92114.5255,757.46-2,800.95
2014-01-09BUY265208.7243.34112.78-55,661.630
2014-02-09SELL265207.9242.41111.5654,739.53-922.1
2014-03-03BUY247220.3239.42109.93-54,763.450
2014-04-02SELL247220239.1110.1253,990.79-772.66
2014-04-09BUY217247.9236.69108.43-54,139.430
2014-04-16SELL217255.8244.24111.6855,152.691,013.26
2014-04-21BUY216252.7240.17109.75-54,933.110
2014-04-27SELL216265.8252.62115.3357,044.852,111.74
2014-04-30BUY211268.9249.65113.94-57,101.490
2014-06-01SELL211275.4255.68117.257,736.51635.03
2014-06-05BUY201285.9252.85115.79-57,834.540
2014-06-17SELL201301.08266.28121.8660,128.942,294.41
2014-06-22BUY201296.5262.22119.96-59,978.680
2014-07-21SELL201289.4255.95117.5257,795.94-2,182.74
2014-08-12BUY174330.9253.34115.8-57,945.740
2014-09-10SELL174338258.77118.3458,434.89489.15
2014-09-23BUY152380.7254.61116.43-58,237.440
2014-10-28SELL152379.7253.94115.9757,344.49-892.95
2014-12-07BUY163350.3251.24115.63-57,465.770
2015-01-08SELL163365.8262.35121.7659,241.291,775.53
2015-01-13BUY161366259.27120.33-59,305.610
2015-02-10SELL161343242.98112.5154,867.51-4,438.1
2015-02-15BUY155350238.7110.36-54,599.060
2015-03-15SELL155328223.7103.3450,512.97-4,086.1
2015-03-18BUY13401.50.68-342.180
2015-04-19SELL13421.50.68339.81-2.36
2015-06-14BUY150335221.1101.31-50,572.410
2015-07-13SELL150346.9228.95105.0351,701.021,128.6
2015-07-22BUY154335.2227.13104.12-51,952.050
2015-08-19SELL154318.9216.0999.0448,795.47-3,156.58
2015-12-01BUY181267.9213.3699.92-48,803.180
2015-12-30SELL181253201.4994.0445,497.48-3,305.7
2016-01-18BUY174259.5198.6793.76-45,445.430
2016-02-15SELL174255195.2390.7644,084.02-1,361.42
2016-04-24BUY176248.6192.5291.4-44,037.520
2016-05-24SELL176256.7198.7993.3144,887.1849.59
2016-05-29BUY175255.2196.592.4-44,948.910
2016-06-26SELL175250192.591.2243,466.28-1,482.63
2016-07-13BUY168256.8189.8389.72-43,421.950
2016-07-28SELL168275.99204.0194.1146,068.22,646.25
2016-08-02BUY166275.5201.2392.75-46,026.970
2016-09-01SELL166262.9192.0289.4943,359.89-2,667.08
2016-09-27BUY160269.2189.5289.5-43,351.020
2016-10-27SELL160279.9197.0591.6344,495.321,144.3
2016-11-01BUY162273194.5990.44-44,511.040
2016-11-29SELL162285.2203.2993.8545,905.261,394.23
2017-01-09BUY157290200.3392.74-45,823.070
2017-02-06SELL15730421096.5547,421.451,598.38
2017-02-09BUY153308207.3595.33-47,426.670
2017-03-12SELL153318.7214.5598.8848,447.671,021
2017-03-30BUY146330211.9998.21-48,490.20
2017-04-27SELL146339.9218.35100.8949,306.16815.96