← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -4.1%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#244 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳48,899

Net return -51.1% · drawdown 63.5% · 94 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳125,944

Net return 25.9% · drawdown 20.5% · 12 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳149,510

Net return 49.5% · drawdown 12.6% · 10 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 12.0%; maximum 20 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 8.0%, distance 3.5%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳48,899
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳48,899
Realized P&L৳-51,101
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳44,860
Friction৳20,739

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #244

188 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-22BUY368269.9437.02200.35-99,960.580
2010-12-27SELL368258.4418.4191.4494,481.36-5,479.22
2010-12-30BUY382245.8413.14188.95-94,497.690
2011-01-10SELL382215.2361.71165.2681,679.43-12,818.26
2011-02-02BUY355228.3356.6163.32-81,566.430
2011-02-13SELL355190.1296.94135.8367,052.74-14,513.69
2011-07-04BUY411162.1293.14135.32-67,051.560
2011-07-17SELL411177.1320.27147.1272,320.725,269.16
2011-07-25BUY350205.6316.62144.77-72,421.40
2011-08-01SELL350180.93278.63127.1862,918.99-9,502.4
2011-10-27BUY384162.8275.07126.93-62,917.190
2011-11-24SELL384166.3280.98128.9663,449.26532.07
2011-11-30BUY384164.2277.43127.38-63,457.610
2012-01-01SELL384171.1289.09134.4865,278.831,821.22
2012-01-04BUY365177.3284.74131.68-65,130.930
2012-01-25SELL365156.02250.57114.8956,583.3-8,547.63
2012-03-04BUY361156.2248.11113.82-56,750.130
2012-04-02SELL361192.8306.24140.569,154.0612,403.93
2012-04-05BUY360190.8302.23138.54-69,128.760
2012-04-16SELL360212.1335.97153.6475,866.396,737.63
2012-04-19BUY352214331.44151.45-75,810.90
2012-05-21SELL352208.1322.31147.6172,781.28-3,029.62
2012-06-10BUY354204.4318.37147.31-72,823.280
2012-07-09SELL354197.9308.25142.8769,605.48-3,217.8
2012-07-23BUY340203.5304.44140.46-69,634.90
2012-08-28SELL340172.7258.36118.7258,340.92-11,293.98
2012-11-01BUY332174.2254.47118.48-58,207.350
2012-12-02SELL332170248.34115.7656,075.9-2,131.45
2012-12-24BUY325171.5245.25115.8-56,098.540
2013-01-23SELL325168.1240.38114.0454,278.07-1,820.47
2013-02-05BUY309174.9237.79112.2-54,394.090
2013-02-25SELL309150.6204.7694.7846,235.86-8,158.22
2013-05-15BUY297154.7202.1697.14-46,245.20
2013-05-26SELL297163.7213.92100.9348,304.052,058.84
2013-05-30BUY276173.7210.9498.59-48,250.730
2013-06-09SELL276176.5214.3499.1348,400.53149.8
2013-06-12BUY270178.1211.5897.6-48,396.180
2013-06-27SELL270184218.59100.4949,360.92964.74
2013-07-14BUY232211.5215.998.75-49,382.650
2013-07-17SELL232232.5237.34108.453,594.274,211.61
2013-07-22BUY294180.9234.01106.77-53,525.390
2013-08-21SELL294195.7253.16115.8157,167.423,642.03
2013-08-26BUY270210.5250.07114.58-57,199.650
2013-09-24SELL270190.4226.2103.3551,078.45-6,121.2
2013-10-29BUY271187.2223.22104.23-51,058.650
2013-11-10SELL271196.8234.66108.9652,989.181,930.53
2013-11-13BUY271194.6232.04107.49-53,076.130
2013-11-24SELL271206.6246.35113.2755,628.982,552.85
2013-11-27BUY268205.6242.44111.31-55,454.550
2013-12-29SELL268198.3233.84108.3352,802.23-2,652.32
2014-01-07BUY253207.7231.21107.11-52,886.420
2014-02-05SELL253205.4228.65105.2251,632.32-1,254.1
2014-02-27BUY240214225.98103.79-51,689.780
2014-03-31SELL240213.8225.77103.7450,982.48-707.29
2014-04-09BUY204247.9222.52101.89-50,8960
2014-04-16SELL204255.8229.61104.9551,848.64952.64
2014-04-21BUY204252.7226.82103.62-51,881.240
2014-04-27SELL204265.8238.58108.953,875.721,994.48
2014-04-30BUY199268.9235.45107.43-53,853.980
2014-06-01SELL199275.4241.14110.4954,452.97598.99
2014-06-05BUY189285.9237.75108.83-54,381.680
2014-06-17SELL189301.08250.38114.5456,539.22,157.52
2014-06-22BUY190296.5247.87113.35-56,696.230
2014-07-21SELL190289.4241.94111.0254,633.04-2,063.19
2014-08-04BUY174310.8237.95108.99-54,426.140
2014-08-12SELL174330.9253.34115.857,207.462,781.33
2014-08-18BUY169335.8249.7114.05-57,113.950
2014-09-15SELL169344.2255.95117.1257,796.74682.78
2014-09-23BUY151380.7252.94115.66-57,854.290
2014-10-28SELL151379.7252.27115.256,967.22-887.07
2014-12-04BUY161352.6249.78114.91-57,133.290
2015-01-07SELL161364257.86119.5358,226.611,093.32
2015-01-12BUY162355.9253.69117.69-58,027.170
2015-02-09SELL162340242.35112.254,725.44-3,301.73
2015-02-12BUY155352.5240.41111.19-54,989.10
2015-03-12SELL155326222.33102.6850,204.99-4,784.11
2015-03-18BUY146340218.42100.7-49,959.110
2015-04-19SELL146342219.7100.7249,611.58-347.53
2015-06-14BUY148335218.1599.95-49,898.110
2015-07-13SELL148346.9225.9103.6151,011.681,113.58
2015-07-22BUY151335.2222.71102.08-50,939.980
2015-08-19SELL151318.9211.8897.0947,844.93-3,095.05
2015-12-01BUY177267.9208.6497.65-47,724.590
2015-12-30SELL177253197.0491.944,492.06-3,232.53
2016-01-18BUY171259.5195.2592.08-44,661.830
2016-02-15SELL171255191.8689.1643,323.98-1,337.85
2016-04-24BUY173248.6189.2389.78-43,286.810
2016-05-24SELL173256.7195.491.6744,122.03835.22
2016-07-12BUY171255.8192.4690.62-44,024.880
2016-07-28SELL171275.99207.6595.8246,890.822,865.94
2016-08-02BUY169275.5204.8694.45-46,858.810
2016-09-01SELL169262.9195.4991.1544,143.46-2,715.35
2016-09-26BUY164268.1193.4691.43-44,253.290
2016-10-26SELL164280202.0594.0445,623.921,370.63
2016-10-31BUY165275199.6592.84-45,667.490
2016-11-28SELL165286207.6495.8946,886.481,218.99
2017-01-08BUY161288204.0294.48-46,666.50
2017-02-05SELL161306.5217.1299.8549,029.522,363.02
2017-02-08BUY160304.6214.4498.64-49,049.080
2017-03-09SELL160316.9223.1102.9450,377.961,328.88