← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -4.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#249 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳44,043

Net return -56.0% · drawdown 58.5% · 158 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳93,217

Net return -6.8% · drawdown 28.7% · 20 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳78,126

Net return -21.9% · drawdown 40.3% · 16 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 15 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳44,043
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳44,043
Realized P&L৳-55,957
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳82,899
Friction৳38,411

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #249

316 fills, including partial sales. Page 3.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2018-01-03BUY120481253.97116.93-58,090.90
2018-01-11SELL120472.2249.32114.9356,299.75-1,791.15
2018-01-17BUY117477.2245.66113.05-56,191.110
2018-01-25SELL117504.9259.92119.4158,693.962,502.85
2018-01-30BUY114511256.32117.59-58,627.90
2018-02-05SELL114490.56246.06112.7655,565.01-3,062.89
2018-04-11BUY114483.2242.37112.13-55,439.30
2018-04-22SELL114490245.78113.7355,500.4961.19
2018-10-25BUY145381243.08112.98-55,601.060
2018-11-08SELL145376.5240.21111.9754,240.32-1,360.74
2019-01-01BUY146370237.69111.77-54,369.460
2019-01-14SELL146391251.18116.6356,718.192,348.73
2019-01-17BUY147382247.08114.48-56,515.550
2019-01-22SELL147384248.3711556,084.63-430.92
2019-01-27BUY141397246.3113.72-56,337.020
2019-01-30SELL141414.4257.09118.2758,055.041,718.02
2019-02-04BUY145396252.65115.91-57,788.560
2019-02-07SELL145407259.67119.258,636.13847.57
2019-03-21BUY146399256.32118.22-58,628.530
2019-03-27SELL146406.4261.07120.5158,952.09323.56
2019-04-01BUY143409.2257.47119.06-58,892.130
2019-04-04SELL143399251.05115.7156,690.24-2,201.89
2019-06-12BUY155365248.93117.51-56,941.440
2019-07-04SELL155364248.25116.656,055.15-886.29
2019-09-23BUY154361244.61113.52-55,952.140
2019-10-02SELL154346.56234.83108.3953,027.02-2,925.12
2019-10-07BUY153345.1232.32107.31-53,139.930
2019-10-13SELL153331.2222.96102.9650,347.68-2,792.25
2019-11-20BUY155323.1220.35102.52-50,403.380
2019-11-25SELL155312212.7898.5948,048.63-2,354.75
2020-02-20BUY170280209.4496.49-47,905.930
2020-02-25SELL170292218.42100.2149,321.371,415.45
2020-07-21BUY200245.9216.39100.77-49,497.160
2020-07-27SELL200256.31225.55104.2850,932.361,435.2
2020-07-30BUY198255222.16102.43-50,814.580
2020-08-09SELL198255222.16102.0550,165.79-648.79
2020-08-13BUY172290219.47100.68-50,200.160
2020-08-18SELL172288217.9699.949,218.14-982.01
2020-08-23BUY170287214.6898.36-49,103.040
2020-08-26SELL170315235.62107.9653,206.424,103.38
2020-09-01BUY165320.4232.61106.52-53,205.130
2020-09-09SELL165339246.11112.7455,576.152,371.02
2020-09-14BUY156354242.99111.36-55,578.350
2020-09-20SELL156341234.06107.352,854.63-2,723.72
2020-11-10BUY158333231.5107.83-52,953.330
2020-11-15SELL158330.2229.56106.9951,835.05-1,118.28
2020-12-08BUY157327.8226.44105.59-51,796.630
2020-12-14SELL157345.61238.75111.0253,910.852,114.22
2020-12-20BUY154348.5236.14109.31-54,014.460
2020-12-23SELL154334.56226.7104.9551,190.59-2,823.86
2020-12-28BUY145350.5223.62103.44-51,149.560
2021-01-04SELL145360.1229.74105.9351,878.83729.27
2021-01-07BUY137376226.65104.25-51,842.910
2021-01-19SELL137384.2231.6106.4452,297.36454.45
2021-04-20BUY154336.3227.88106.69-52,124.770
2021-05-09SELL154335227106.951,256.1-868.67
2021-05-16BUY147346.6224.18105.03-51,279.420
2021-06-06SELL147351.45227.32105.5451,330.350.88
2021-06-09BUY147346.9224.37104.4-51,323.070
2021-06-16SELL147348225.09104.7350,826.19-496.89
2021-07-05BUY145349.4222.92103.82-50,989.740
2021-07-14SELL145358.2228.53106.4351,604.04614.3
2021-07-19BUY141364225.83105.07-51,654.90
2021-08-02SELL141376.2233.39108.2352,702.571,047.68
2021-09-07BUY140372.5229.46106.06-52,485.520
2021-09-12SELL140386237.78109.9753,692.251,206.73
2021-09-15BUY141379235.13108.62-53,782.750
2021-09-23SELL141383.9238.17109.8353,781.9-0.85
2021-12-06BUY147362.8234.66111.95-53,678.210
2021-12-15SELL147357.3231.1110.3452,181.66-1,496.55
2022-01-13BUY146357.1229.4108.06-52,474.070
2022-01-30SELL146352226.12106.4251,059.45-1,414.61
2022-02-09BUY141359.5223.03105.83-51,018.370
2022-02-22SELL141355.8220.74104.6749,842.39-1,175.97
2022-08-03BUY164301.2217.35100.65-49,714.790
2022-08-14SELL164288207.8296.4746,927.71-2,787.08
2024-06-27BUY198236.2205.7898.04-47,071.420
2024-07-03SELL198239.920998.9947,192.21120.79
2024-07-08BUY187251206.5297.52-47,241.040
2024-07-24SELL187248.2204.2295.846,113.38-1,127.66
2024-07-29BUY178257201.2894.25-46,041.530
2024-08-11SELL178345.6270.67127.3161,118.8215,077.29
2024-08-15BUY159381266.55121.9-60,967.450
2024-08-20SELL159353246.96112.7155,767.34-5,200.12
2024-08-25BUY157354244.54111.53-55,934.070
2024-08-29SELL157348.9241.02109.8854,426.4-1,507.67
2024-11-12BUY166325.7237.89109.82-54,413.910
2024-11-17SELL166327238.84110.1753,932.99-480.92
2024-11-21BUY166322.9235.85108.77-53,946.020
2024-12-11SELL166318232.27108.0352,447.71-1,498.32
2024-12-18BUY163320229.5106.97-52,496.480
2025-01-08SELL163325.31233.32109.2152,683.66187.18
2025-01-13BUY156334.2229.39106.83-52,471.420
2025-01-27SELL156331227.2105.351,303.5-1,167.92
2025-02-04BUY150340.1224.47103.73-51,343.190
2025-02-11SELL150338223.08103.5550,373.37-969.82
2025-02-18BUY144347.9220.43101.71-50,419.740
2025-03-02SELL144327.4207.4495.2246,842.94-3,576.79
2025-06-29BUY154302.7205.1199.94-46,920.850
2025-07-17SELL154298.9202.5396.4845,731.59-1,189.26