← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -5.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#254 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳39,867

Net return -60.1% · drawdown 72.8% · 94 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳124,065

Net return 24.1% · drawdown 20.8% · 13 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳148,240

Net return 48.2% · drawdown 12.6% · 10 closed positions

Variant 2; fixed stop 15.0%; maximum 20 sessions; gate EMA 50; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 8.0%, distance 3.5%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳39,867
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳39,867
Realized P&L৳-60,133
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳38,551
Friction৳17,782

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.18e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #254

188 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-22BUY368269.9437.02200.35-99,960.580
2010-12-27SELL368258.4418.4191.4494,481.36-5,479.22
2010-12-30BUY382245.8413.14188.95-94,497.690
2011-01-20SELL382207.9349.44159.9778,908.39-15,589.3
2011-07-04BUY483162.1344.49159.45-78,798.240
2011-07-17SELL483177.1376.37173.284,989.726,191.48
2011-07-25BUY411205.6371.81170.18-85,043.590
2011-08-07SELL411174314.66143.771,055.64-13,987.95
2011-10-27BUY434162.8310.88143.73-71,109.820
2011-11-24SELL434166.3317.57145.9371,710.7600.89
2011-11-30BUY434164.2313.56144.16-71,720.510
2012-01-01SELL434171.1326.73152.4473,778.222,057.71
2012-01-04BUY413177.3322.19149.34-73,696.430
2012-01-25SELL413150.71273.86125.6761,841.64-11,854.79
2012-03-04BUY394156.2270.79124.33-61,937.920
2012-04-02SELL394192.8334.24153.4775,475.4913,537.57
2012-04-05BUY393190.8329.93151.35-75,465.680
2012-04-16SELL393212.1366.76167.8282,820.727,355.03
2012-04-19BUY384214361.57165.3-82,702.880
2012-05-21SELL384208.1351.61161.1479,397.65-3,305.22
2012-07-03BUY387203.8347.03160.93-79,378.560
2012-07-22SELL387173.23294.98136.1566,608.88-12,769.68
2012-07-25BUY322205.5291.15134.17-66,596.320
2012-08-28SELL322172.7244.68112.3755,252.35-11,343.97
2012-11-01BUY316174.2242.21112.64-55,402.050
2012-12-02SELL316170236.37110.0553,373.58-2,028.46
2012-12-24BUY309171.5233.17109.9-53,336.570
2013-01-23SELL309168.1228.55108.2151,606.15-1,730.42
2013-02-06BUY297172.8225.82105.9-51,653.320
2013-02-27SELL297146.7191.7188.6443,289.55-8,363.77
2013-05-15BUY278154.7189.2390.61-43,286.440
2013-05-26SELL278163.7200.2494.2545,214.111,927.67
2013-05-30BUY258173.7197.1891.99-45,103.780
2013-06-09SELL258176.5200.3692.5645,244.08140.3
2013-06-12BUY253178.1198.2691.37-45,348.930
2013-06-27SELL253184204.8394.0946,253.08904.15
2013-07-14BUY217211.5201.9492.33-46,189.770
2013-07-17SELL217232.5221.99101.3650,129.153,939.38
2013-07-22BUY275180.9218.8999.85-50,066.240
2013-08-21SELL275195.7236.8108.2853,472.973,406.73
2013-08-26BUY253210.5234.33107.31-53,598.140
2013-09-24SELL253190.4211.9596.8147,862.43-5,735.71
2013-10-29BUY254187.2209.2197.53-47,855.550
2013-11-10SELL254196.8219.94101.9949,665.271,809.72
2013-11-13BUY253194.6216.63100.22-49,550.650
2013-11-24SELL253206.6229.99105.6751,934.142,383.49
2013-11-27BUY251205.6227.06104.18-51,936.840
2013-12-29SELL251198.3219101.3449,452.96-2,483.89
2014-01-09BUY236208.7216.71100.23-49,570.140
2014-02-09SELL236207.9215.8899.2248,749.3-820.84
2014-03-03BUY219220.3212.2897.36-48,555.340
2014-04-02SELL219220211.9997.4947,870.52-684.82
2014-04-09BUY192247.9209.4395.85-47,902.080
2014-04-16SELL192255.8216.198.7448,798.76896.68
2014-04-21BUY192252.7213.4897.5-48,829.380
2014-04-27SELL192265.8224.55102.4750,706.591,877.21
2014-04-30BUY187268.9221.25100.93-50,606.480
2014-06-01SELL187275.4226.6103.7751,169.43562.94
2014-06-05BUY178285.9223.92102.45-51,216.570
2014-06-17SELL178301.08235.81107.8353,248.62,032.03
2014-06-22BUY179296.5233.52106.75-53,413.780
2014-07-21SELL179289.4227.93104.5451,470.13-1,943.65
2014-08-12BUY154330.9224.22102.42-51,285.240
2014-09-10SELL154338229.03104.6651,718.31433.06
2014-09-23BUY135380.7226.14103.34-51,723.970
2014-10-28SELL135379.7225.54102.9550,931.01-792.96
2014-12-07BUY145350.3223.49102.72-51,119.710
2015-01-08SELL145365.8233.38108.0752,699.551,579.84
2015-01-13BUY143366230.29106.63-52,674.920
2015-02-10SELL143343215.8299.7248,733.46-3,941.46
2015-02-15BUY138350212.5298.07-48,610.590
2015-03-15SELL138328199.1691.8444,973-3,637.6
2015-03-29BUY128348195.9990.07-44,830.070
2015-04-27SELL128318.5179.3882.1440,506.48-4,323.59
2015-06-14BUY121335178.3581.6-40,794.950
2015-07-13SELL121346.9184.6984.5741,705.64910.68
2015-07-22BUY123335.2181.4183.02-41,494.030
2015-08-19SELL123318.9172.5978.9738,973.14-2,520.89
2015-12-01BUY145267.9170.9279.58-39,0960
2015-12-30SELL145253161.4174.9436,448.64-2,647.35
2016-01-18BUY139259.5158.7174.34-36,303.550
2016-02-15SELL139255155.9672.1835,216.86-1,086.69
2016-04-24BUY141248.6154.2372.6-35,279.440
2016-05-24SELL141256.7159.2674.2835,961.16681.72
2016-05-29BUY140255.2157.273.43-35,958.630
2016-06-26SELL14025015472.3834,773.62-1,185.02
2016-07-13BUY135256.8152.5471.56-34,892.10
2016-07-28SELL135275.99163.9475.4137,019.312,127.21
2016-08-02BUY133275.5161.2274.1-36,876.830
2016-09-01SELL133262.9153.8571.3534,740.5-2,136.32
2016-09-27BUY129269.2152.871.64-34,951.240
2016-10-27SELL129279.9158.8773.5635,874.67923.44
2016-11-01BUY130273156.1672.26-35,718.420
2016-11-29SELL130285.2163.1375.0836,837.781,119.37
2017-01-09BUY126290160.7874.16-36,774.940
2017-02-06SELL126304168.5477.3138,058.151,283.21
2017-02-09BUY123308166.6976.46-38,127.150
2017-03-12SELL123318.7172.4879.2838,948.34821.19
2017-03-30BUY117330169.8878.41-38,858.290
2017-04-27SELL117339.9174.9880.5939,512.73654.44