← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -5.5%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#255 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳38,517

Net return -61.5% · drawdown 62.1% · 104 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳79,572

Net return -20.4% · drawdown 23.6% · 13 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳74,871

Net return -25.1% · drawdown 27.7% · 10 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳38,517
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳38,517
Realized P&L৳-61,483
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳66,415
Friction৳30,940

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.46e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #255

208 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-07SELL577167.9426.26197.6896,254.352,119.97
2011-07-12BUY550174421.08194.52-96,315.60
2011-07-17SELL550177.1428.58197.5796,778.85463.26
2011-07-25BUY468205.6423.37193.97-96,838.140
2011-08-01SELL468181.6373.95170.9384,443.92-12,394.22
2011-10-30BUY540155.2368.76170.87-84,347.630
2011-11-02SELL540163387.29179.2787,453.443,105.82
2011-11-20BUY522166.6382.65176.85-87,524.690
2011-11-23SELL522163.7375.99173.2784,902.15-2,622.55
2011-12-29BUY516163.5371.21173.86-84,911.080
2012-01-03SELL516174.1395.28184.3689,255.974,344.89
2012-01-08BUY491180.4389.74180.73-89,146.860
2012-01-11SELL491176.5381.31176.0386,104.16-3,042.7
2012-03-20BUY495172.8376.36174.05-86,086.410
2012-03-25SELL495184.3401.41185.5490,641.564,555.15
2012-04-01BUY460196396.7182.62-90,739.330
2012-04-04SELL460185.5375.45172.5184,782.04-5,957.29
2012-04-09BUY430195.9370.64170.09-84,777.730
2012-04-15SELL430215.82408.33187.0592,207.227,429.49
2012-04-18BUY420217.9402.68184.26-92,104.940
2012-04-25SELL420221.2408.78186.9392,308.3203.36
2012-06-10BUY449204.4403.81187.72-92,367.130
2012-06-13SELL449203.3401.64186.8890,693.18-1,673.95
2012-11-01BUY517174.2396.27186.93-90,644.60
2012-11-06SELL517168.4383.0818186,498.73-4,145.87
2012-11-19BUY500172.1378.62177.92-86,606.540
2012-11-22SELL500169.1372.02174.4584,003.53-2,603
2013-02-06BUY483172.8367.23175.55-84,005.180
2013-02-11SELL483165.89352.55166.7779,604.59-4,400.59
2013-05-15BUY511154.7347.83173.64-79,573.170
2013-05-20SELL511166.2373.68184.4384,370.094,796.91
2013-05-26BUY512163.7368.78178.6-84,361.780
2013-05-29SELL512173.9391.76189.0988,455.954,094.17
2013-06-04BUY495177.7387.03183.8-88,532.330
2013-06-09SELL495176.5384.42180.2186,802.87-1,729.46
2013-06-12BUY484178.1379.28176.98-86,756.670
2013-06-17SELL484177.8378.64176.5385,500.03-1,256.63
2013-06-30BUY475178.9373.9173.17-85,524.570
2013-07-04SELL475188.1393.13182.1288,772.253,247.69
2013-07-14BUY417211.5388.06178.39-88,761.950
2013-07-17SELL417232.5426.59195.5896,330.337,568.38
2013-08-22BUY470203.4420.63193.47-96,212.10
2013-08-27SELL470209.8433.87199.9197,972.231,760.12
2013-09-02BUY454214.7428.88197.14-98,099.820
2013-09-05SELL454212423.49194.3495,630.17-2,469.65
2013-10-31BUY495192418.18200.21-95,658.380
2013-11-05SELL495194.6423.84201.7295,701.4443.06
2013-11-10BUY483196.8418.24197.39-95,670.030
2013-11-13SELL483194.6413.56194.3893,383.86-2,286.17
2013-11-18BUY464199.9408.12190.95-93,352.660
2013-11-21SELL464209.9428.53199.0596,766.023,413.36
2013-11-26BUY481200423.28195.96-96,819.240
2013-12-01SELL481200.5424.34196.2495,819.92-999.32
2014-01-09BUY456208.7418.74196.76-95,782.70
2014-01-15SELL456204.5410.31192.6592,649.04-3,133.65
2014-01-20BUY444207.1404.59189.52-92,546.510
2014-01-23SELL444212.1414.36193.7993,564.261,017.74
2014-02-02BUY440211.4409.27190.27-93,615.540
2014-02-06SELL440210406.56188.7191,804.73-1,810.81
2014-03-03BUY414220.3401.3185.5-91,7910
2014-03-06SELL414214.7391.1180.4988,314.21-3,476.79
2014-04-09BUY354247.9386.13177.76-88,320.490
2014-04-15SELL354259.38404.01185.6391,230.882,910.39
2014-04-27BUY341265.8398.81182.53-91,219.140
2014-04-30SELL341268.9403.46184.691,106.84-112.3
2014-05-07BUY328276.4398.9182.49-91,240.590
2014-05-12SELL328270.5390.39178.7188,154.91-3,085.68
2014-06-05BUY306285.9384.94176.95-88,047.290
2014-06-10SELL306286.3385.47177.3487,044.99-1,002.3
2014-06-16BUY283305.4380.28174.6-86,983.080
2014-06-19SELL283300.1373.68171.4584,383.17-2,599.92
2014-08-04BUY270310.8369.23169.83-84,455.060
2014-08-10SELL270327.69389.3178.7187,908.293,453.23
2014-08-13BUY257339.2383.57175.75-87,733.720
2014-08-19SELL257338.2382.44175.186,359.86-1,373.86
2014-09-16BUY249345.7378.75173.84-86,631.880
2014-09-21SELL249377.9414.03190.1693,492.916,861.02
2014-09-29BUY236392.2407.26186.74-93,153.20
2014-10-02SELL236380.2394.8180.8289,151.58-4,001.62
2015-01-12BUY249355.9389.92182.85-89,191.870
2015-01-15SELL249360394.42185.6389,059.96-131.91
2015-02-12BUY251352.5389.3181.99-89,048.790
2015-02-22SELL251333.1367.88171.4883,068.74-5,980.05
2015-03-29BUY238348364.43169.06-83,357.480
2015-04-01SELL238353.2369.87170.7583,520.98163.5
2015-12-02BUY306271.1365.01174.54-83,496.150
2015-12-07SELL306260.26350.41166.6379,121.3-4,374.85
2016-01-17BUY306257346.02168.63-79,156.660
2016-01-20SELL306274368.91176.8683,298.234,141.57
2016-04-24BUY332248.6363.15178.92-83,077.280
2016-05-02SELL332245357.9173.480,808.7-2,268.58
2016-05-11BUY319252.1353.85170.16-80,943.910
2016-05-16SELL319252353.71169.9179,864.39-1,079.52
2016-05-24BUY309256.7349.01167.74-79,837.050
2016-05-29SELL309255.2346.97167.3278,342.51-1,494.54
2016-10-25BUY273285342.34162.08-78,309.420
2016-10-30SELL273277332.73157.0775,131.19-3,178.22