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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -5.5%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#255 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳38,517

Net return -61.5% · drawdown 62.1% · 104 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳79,572

Net return -20.4% · drawdown 23.6% · 13 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳74,871

Net return -25.1% · drawdown 27.7% · 10 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳38,517
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳38,517
Realized P&L৳-61,483
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳66,415
Friction৳30,940

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.46e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #255

208 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2016-11-06BUY267279.9328.83155.21-75,217.330
2016-11-09SELL267281.3330.47155.4574,621.18-596.16
2016-11-21BUY258287.1325.92152.51-74,550.230
2016-11-28SELL258286324.67151.2673,312.08-1,238.15
2017-07-05BUY205355320.21148.94-73,244.150
2017-07-10SELL205340306.68141.7869,251.54-3,992.62
2017-07-13BUY194354.8302.86139.77-69,273.830
2017-07-18SELL194370.9316.6145.5571,492.452,218.62
2017-07-27BUY189375.5312.27143.37-71,425.140
2017-08-06SELL189373.2310.35142.4270,082.03-1,343.11
2017-08-13BUY183381.6307.26141.15-70,281.210
2017-08-20SELL183391.6315.32145.2471,202.25921.03
2017-09-10BUY173408310.57143.72-71,038.290
2017-09-13SELL173415315.9145.8271,333.28294.99
2017-11-13BUY150472.9312.11144.03-71,391.140
2017-11-16SELL150484319.44146.8672,133.7742.57
2017-11-23BUY148483314.53144.45-71,942.970
2017-11-28SELL148471306.72140.8269,260.46-2,682.51
2018-01-23BUY139496303.35140.04-69,387.40
2018-01-28SELL139510311.92143.4970,434.61,047.2
2018-01-31BUY138506.9307.79141.36-70,401.350
2018-02-05SELL138496301.17138.2768,008.56-2,392.79
2018-04-19BUY137493297.18137.98-67,976.160
2018-04-24SELL137485292.36135.3666,017.29-1,958.87
2018-08-29BUY168391.5289.4134.97-66,196.370
2018-09-06SELL168388.5287.18133.8264,847-1,349.37
2018-09-11BUY169380282.57131.59-64,634.160
2018-09-16SELL169373277.36129.5162,630.12-2,004.04
2018-10-28BUY163383274.69127.86-62,831.550
2018-10-31SELL163380.5272.89126.9761,621.63-1,209.92
2019-01-01BUY165370268.62126.87-61,445.490
2019-01-08SELL165374271.52127.3761,311.11-134.38
2019-01-13BUY156390267.7124.6-61,232.30
2019-01-17SELL156374.4256.99119.1658,030.25-3,202.04
2019-01-23BUY148391254.62117.83-58,240.450
2019-01-28SELL148398259.18119.6858,525.15284.69
2019-01-31BUY140414255.02117.19-58,332.220
2019-02-05SELL140403248.25113.8856,057.87-2,274.35
2019-03-25BUY139401.4245.5113.36-56,153.460
2019-03-31SELL139407248.92114.9656,209.1255.66
2019-09-23BUY155361246.2114.27-56,315.480
2019-09-26SELL155360245.52113.5255,440.96-874.51
2020-07-19BUY227243242.71113.99-55,517.690
2020-07-22SELL227246.31246.02114.7755,552.0434.35
2020-07-27BUY212259.9242.43112.23-55,453.460
2020-08-04SELL212264.8247.01113.8455,776.75323.29
2020-08-09BUY218255244.6112.48-55,947.080
2020-08-13SELL218290278.17127.9262,813.916,866.83
2020-08-18BUY216288273.72125.72-62,607.440
2020-08-24SELL216295280.37128.7363,310.9703.46
2020-08-31BUY200315277.2127.15-63,404.350
2020-09-03SELL200322283.36129.9263,986.72582.37
2020-09-09BUY187339278.93127.9-63,799.830
2020-09-14SELL187354291.27133.7165,773.021,973.19
2020-10-18BUY191342287.42133.83-65,743.250
2020-10-22SELL191331.3278.42130.1962,869.69-2,873.56
2020-12-09BUY187334.1274.9128.68-62,880.270
2020-12-14SELL187345.61284.37132.864,211.711,331.44
2020-12-20BUY184348.5282.15131.07-64,537.210
2020-12-23SELL184337.6273.32127.0161,718.07-2,819.14
2021-01-18BUY162377268.73123.87-61,466.60
2021-01-21SELL162377268.73123.6860,681.6-785
2021-01-31BUY159380265.85122.44-60,808.290
2021-02-03SELL159369.7258.64119.3358,404.33-2,403.96
2021-04-21BUY170340.2254.47119.82-58,208.280
2021-04-28SELL170338.8253.42119.5557,223.03-985.26
2021-05-16BUY164346.6250.11117.59-57,210.090
2021-05-19SELL164344.1248.3116.3556,067.75-1,142.34
2021-05-25BUY164341.1246.14114.94-56,301.480
2021-05-31SELL164345.5249.31116.2956,296.4-5.08
2021-06-06BUY159351.9246.19114.5-56,312.790
2021-06-13SELL159351245.56114.4755,448.97-863.82
2021-11-28BUY153360242.35116.05-55,438.40
2021-12-01SELL153359241.68115.9354,569.39-869.01
2022-01-13BUY152357.1238.83112.67-54,630.70
2022-01-20SELL152359.2240.23113.5654,244.6-386.09
2022-02-09BUY150359.5237.27112.89-54,275.160
2022-02-14SELL150358236.28113.3853,350.34-924.82
2022-04-27BUY162326.4232.66110.71-53,220.170
2022-05-08SELL162320.1228.17107.5751,520.46-1,699.7
2022-08-08BUY169302.9225.24104.76-51,520.10
2022-08-14SELL169288214.1699.4748,358.37-3,161.73
2024-06-27BUY203236.2210.97100.63-48,260.210
2024-07-03SELL203239.9214.28101.5948,383.83123.62
2024-07-08BUY192251212.04100.23-48,504.270
2024-07-14SELL192246207.8297.6846,926.5-1,577.77
2024-07-24BUY188248.2205.3196.33-46,963.240
2024-07-29SELL188255.62211.4599.1547,745.58782.34
2024-08-15BUY124381207.8794.94-47,546.820
2024-08-20SELL124353192.687.8243,491.58-4,055.23
2024-08-25BUY122354190.0386.6-43,464.630
2024-08-29SELL122348.9187.2985.3342,293.18-1,171.44
2025-12-02BUY151279185.3791.38-42,405.750
2025-12-09SELL151278.8185.2391.5841,821.98-583.77
2026-01-21BUY157264.7182.8585.94-41,826.70
2026-01-28SELL157267.7184.9386.3141,757.66-69.04
2026-02-02BUY159261.8183.1685.31-41,894.670
2026-02-08SELL159263.7184.4885.7541,658.07-236.6
2026-02-16BUY149278182.2684.55-41,688.810
2026-02-19SELL149267175.0581.0839,526.88-2,161.94