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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -6.5%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#266 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI + Flow: Signed imbalance

Full-history NAV৳31,896

Net return -68.1% · drawdown 68.8% · 105 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳77,620

Net return -22.4% · drawdown 25.7% · 13 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳74,871

Net return -25.1% · drawdown 27.7% · 10 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳31,896
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳31,896
Realized P&L৳-68,104
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳58,002
Friction৳26,935

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳4.37e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #266

210 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-07SELL577167.9426.26197.6896,254.352,119.97
2011-07-12BUY550174421.08194.52-96,315.60
2011-07-17SELL550177.1428.58197.5796,778.85463.26
2011-07-25BUY468205.6423.37193.97-96,838.140
2011-08-01SELL468181.6373.95170.9384,443.92-12,394.22
2011-10-30BUY540155.2368.76170.87-84,347.630
2011-11-02SELL540163387.29179.2787,453.443,105.82
2011-11-20BUY522166.6382.65176.85-87,524.690
2011-11-23SELL522163.7375.99173.2784,902.15-2,622.55
2011-12-29BUY516163.5371.21173.86-84,911.080
2012-01-03SELL516174.1395.28184.3689,255.974,344.89
2012-01-08BUY491180.4389.74180.73-89,146.860
2012-01-12SELL491174.7377.42174.185,226.17-3,920.69
2012-03-20BUY490172.8372.56172.26-85,216.820
2012-03-25SELL490184.3397.35183.6389,726.024,509.2
2012-04-01BUY455196392.39180.61-89,753.010
2012-04-08SELL455194.2388.79178.5787,793.64-1,959.37
2012-04-15BUY404216.1384.14175.89-87,864.430
2012-04-18SELL404217.9387.34177.287,467.07-397.36
2012-04-25BUY393221.2382.5174.84-87,488.940
2012-04-30SELL393214.7371.26169.6983,836.15-3,652.79
2012-06-10BUY407204.4366.04169.81-83,726.650
2012-06-13SELL407203.3364.07169.0382,210-1,516.65
2012-11-01BUY469174.2359.48169-82,228.280
2012-11-06SELL469168.4347.51163.6178,468.48-3,759.8
2012-11-19BUY453172.1343.03160.7-78,465.030
2012-11-22SELL453169.1337.05157.676,107.65-2,357.37
2013-02-06BUY438172.8333.02158.46-76,177.880
2013-02-11SELL438165.9319.72150.6972,193.79-3,984.1
2013-05-15BUY464154.7315.84156.38-72,253.010
2013-05-20SELL464166.2339.31166.2576,611.244,358.23
2013-05-26BUY465163.7334.93161.29-76,616.720
2013-05-29SELL465173.9355.8170.8180,336.893,720.17
2013-06-04BUY449177.7351.06166.05-80,304.420
2013-06-09SELL449176.5348.6916378,736.8-1,567.62
2013-06-12BUY439178.1344.02160.14-78,690.060
2013-06-17SELL439177.8343.44159.7477,551.02-1,139.04
2013-06-30BUY431178.9339.27156.85-77,602.020
2013-07-04SELL431188.1356.71164.9680,549.432,947.4
2013-07-14BUY378211.5351.77161.53-80,460.30
2013-07-17SELL378232.5386.69177.1587,321.166,860.86
2013-08-22BUY427203.4382.15175.58-87,409.530
2013-08-27SELL427209.8394.17181.3989,009.031,599.5
2013-09-02BUY412214.7389.21178.72-89,024.320
2013-09-05SELL412212384.31176.2186,783.48-2,240.85
2013-10-31BUY449192379.32180.75-86,768.060
2013-11-05SELL449194.6384.45182.2186,808.7440.67
2013-11-10BUY438196.8379.27178.39-86,756.060
2013-11-13SELL438194.6375.03175.7384,684.04-2,072.02
2013-11-18BUY421199.9370.29172.79-84,700.990
2013-11-21SELL421209.9388.82180.2487,798.843,097.85
2013-11-26BUY436200383.68177.32-87,7610
2013-12-01SELL436200.5384.64177.686,855.76-905.24
2014-01-09BUY413208.7379.25177.66-86,750.010
2014-01-15SELL413204.5371.62173.9683,912.93-2,837.08
2014-01-16BUY12060.910.41-207.320
2014-01-21SELL1207.50.910.42206.17-1.15
2014-01-23BUY393212.1366.76170.97-83,893.040
2014-01-28SELL393210.9364.69169.582,349.51-1,543.53
2014-02-02BUY388211.4360.9167.34-82,551.450
2014-02-09SELL388207.9354.93164.2780,146-2,405.45
2014-03-03BUY361220.3349.92161.41-80,039.640
2014-03-10SELL361214.4340.55156.8976,900.96-3,138.68
2014-04-09BUY308247.9335.95154.41-76,843.560
2014-04-15SELL308259.38351.51161.2979,376.242,532.68
2014-04-27BUY297265.8347.35158.84-79,448.790
2014-05-04SELL297262.9343.56157.0277,580.72-1,868.07
2014-05-07BUY279276.4339.31155.08-77,609.980
2014-05-15SELL279264.5324.7148.5173,322.29-4,287.7
2014-06-05BUY255285.9320.78147.18-73,372.460
2014-06-10SELL255286.3321.23147.4972,537.79-834.68
2014-06-16BUY236305.4317.13145.36-72,536.890
2014-06-19SELL236300.1311.62142.7670,369.22-2,167.67
2014-08-04BUY225310.8307.69141.25-70,378.940
2014-08-10SELL225327.69324.41148.6873,257.162,878.22
2014-08-13BUY214339.2319.39146.15-73,054.340
2014-08-19SELL214338.2318.45145.6371,910.72-1,143.62
2014-09-16BUY207345.7314.86144.28-72,019.040
2014-09-21SELL207377.9344.19157.8177,723.35,704.25
2014-09-29BUY197392.2339.96155.66-77,759.020
2014-10-13SELL197374.7324.79148.5273,342.59-4,416.43
2015-01-12BUY205355.9321.02149.72-73,430.240
2015-01-15SELL205360324.72151.973,323.38-106.86
2015-02-12BUY206352.5319.51148.62-73,083.130
2015-02-22SELL206333.1301.92140.1168,176.57-4,906.56
2015-03-29BUY195348298.58138.01-68,296.590
2015-04-01SELL195353.2303.05139.5168,431.45134.85
2015-12-02BUY251271.1299.4141.9-68,487.40
2015-12-07SELL251267.4295.32139.4666,682.63-1,804.77
2016-01-17BUY258257291.75140.68-66,738.430
2016-01-20SELL258274311.04147.970,233.053,494.63
2016-04-24BUY280248.6306.28149.07-70,063.350
2016-04-27SELL280251309.23149.0269,821.74-241.6
2016-05-11BUY275252.1305.04145.58-69,778.120
2016-05-16SELL275252304.92145.3868,849.7-928.43
2016-05-24BUY267256.7301.57143.87-68,984.340
2016-05-29SELL267255.2299.81143.4567,695.14-1,289.2