← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -7.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#270 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳27,822

Net return -72.2% · drawdown 73.4% · 176 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳80,944

Net return -19.1% · drawdown 38.5% · 30 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳59,756

Net return -40.2% · drawdown 52.1% · 24 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 10.0%; maximum 20 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳179
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳27,643
NAV৳27,822
Realized P&L৳-71,754
Unrealized P&L৳-424
Fees৳71,060
Friction৳32,838

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳4.73e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #270

353 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-02BUY429231.4436.79200.74-99,908.140
2010-12-08SELL429222.7420.37193.3394,924.6-4,983.53
2010-12-22BUY349269.9414.46189.93-94,799.480
2010-12-27SELL349258.4396.8181.589,603.31-5,196.18
2010-12-30BUY363245.8392.59179.5-89,797.490
2011-01-05SELL363234.4374.38171.1284,541.7-5,255.8
2011-02-02BUY368228.3369.66169.35-84,553.410
2011-02-07SELL368209.7339.55155.3976,674.66-7,878.75
2011-03-13BUY442172.1334.7153.64-76,556.540
2011-03-16SELL442178.1346.37159.1378,214.71,658.16
2011-03-22BUY453171.7342.23157.29-78,279.630
2011-04-20SELL453162.9324.69149.9973,319.02-4,960.61
2011-04-25BUY476153.1320.65148.16-73,344.420
2011-04-28SELL476157.2329.24152.274,345.761,001.34
2011-05-18BUY487151.6324.85151.76-74,305.810
2011-05-25SELL487139.1298.06139.5667,304.08-7,001.73
2011-05-31BUY450148.5294.03138.12-67,257.150
2011-06-21SELL450140.6278.39130.0362,861.58-4,395.57
2011-06-28BUY405154.5275.32127.74-62,975.560
2011-07-04SELL405162.1288.86133.3165,228.332,252.77
2011-07-07BUY386167.9285.16131.38-65,225.940
2011-07-12SELL386173.56294.77135.5166,563.11,337.17
2011-07-17BUY373177.1290.66133.38-66,482.340
2011-07-21SELL373215.8354.17162.3679,976.8613,494.52
2011-07-26BUY387205.5349.93160.05-80,038.470
2011-08-01SELL387181.6309.23141.2169,828.76-10,209.71
2011-10-03BUY434159.8305.15141.65-69,800.010
2011-10-09SELL434147.7282.05130.663,689.15-6,110.86
2011-10-27BUY389162.8278.65128.61-63,736.450
2011-11-15SELL389146.52250.78115.3456,630.16-7,106.3
2011-11-20BUY337166.6247.03113.5-56,504.740
2011-11-24SELL337166.3246.59113.0455,683.47-821.27
2011-11-29BUY346160243.58111.66-55,715.240
2011-12-04SELL346160243.58111.7955,004.62-710.62
2011-12-26BUY340160.8240.56111.27-55,023.830
2012-01-09SELL340175.6262.7120.959,320.44,296.58
2012-01-12BUY337174.7259.05118.95-59,251.890
2012-01-19SELL337168.1249.26114.3256,286.12-2,965.77
2012-02-27BUY363154.4246.61113.18-56,406.990
2012-03-19SELL363168.46269.07123.8560,758.794,351.8
2012-03-27BUY327184.3265.17121.83-60,653.10
2012-04-01SELL327196282129.3563,680.653,027.54
2012-04-04BUY341185.5278.32127.53-63,661.350
2012-04-09SELL341191.49287.31131.5764,879.891,218.54
2012-04-15BUY299216.1284.3129.93-65,028.130
2012-04-25SELL299221.2291.01132.8465,714.95686.81
2012-06-10BUY319204.4286.9132.51-65,623.010
2012-06-13SELL319203.3285.35131.8964,435.46-1,187.54
2012-07-02BUY313204.4281.5130.04-64,388.740
2012-07-11SELL313194.6268123.7960,518.01-3,870.73
2012-07-23BUY296203.5265.04122.05-60,623.090
2012-08-06SELL296189.2246.41113.2555,643.54-4,979.55
2012-09-19BUY315175.5243.24111.73-55,637.480
2012-10-15SELL315162.5225.23103.9550,858.33-4,779.15
2012-10-31BUY289174.8222.28103.29-50,842.770
2012-11-28SELL289165.8210.8397.6747,607.7-3,235.07
2012-12-03BUY281168.1207.8496.49-47,540.430
2012-12-06SELL281167.6207.2296.2146,792.17-748.26
2012-12-23BUY274169.9204.8396.12-46,853.550
2013-01-13SELL274170204.9595.9546,279.09-574.45
2013-02-05BUY263174.9202.3994.97-46,296.070
2013-02-13SELL263166.6192.7989.443,533.61-2,762.45
2013-03-20BUY297145.6190.2789.92-43,523.40
2013-04-22SELL297144.4188.790.242,607.9-915.5
2013-04-25BUY292145.2186.5589.22-42,674.180
2013-05-14SELL292156.6201.296.945,430.272,756.09
2013-05-20BUY271166.2198.1894.18-45,332.560
2013-06-04SELL271175.62209.497.4947,285.041,952.49
2013-06-09BUY266176.5206.5895.48-47,251.060
2013-06-12SELL266178.1208.4596.1347,070.02-181.04
2013-06-27BUY254184205.6494.47-47,036.110
2013-07-03SELL254180.6201.8492.6445,577.93-1,458.18
2013-07-14BUY214211.5199.1591.05-45,551.20
2013-07-17SELL214232.5218.9299.9549,436.133,884.93
2013-07-21BUY11830.810.37-184.170
2013-07-24SELL1186.70.820.37185.511.33
2013-08-21BUY251196.1216.5798.98-49,536.650
2013-08-26SELL251210.5232.48106.4652,496.572,959.91
2013-09-02BUY243214.7229.56104.97-52,506.630
2013-09-12SELL243196.3209.8895.847,395.22-5,111.41
2013-10-28BUY249189.3207.496.59-47,439.690
2013-11-05SELL249194.6213.299.248,142.99703.3
2013-11-10BUY243196.8210.4297.49-48,130.310
2013-11-21SELL243209.9224.43103.1850,678.092,547.79
2013-11-26BUY252200221.76101.78-50,723.540
2013-12-02SELL252201.8223.76102.6750,527.17-196.36
2014-01-07BUY241207.7220.25101.94-50,377.880
2014-01-27SELL241213.4226.29104.3251,098.79720.91
2014-01-30BUY239212.3223.25102.8-51,065.760
2014-02-04SELL239210.1220.94101.6849,891.28-1,174.48
2014-02-27BUY232214218.45100.3-49,966.750
2014-03-19SELL232211.3215.798.9348,706.97-1,259.78
2014-04-09BUY195247.9212.797.36-48,650.560
2014-04-15SELL195256.76220.3100.7349,747.171,096.61
2014-04-20BUY198250.3218.0699.61-49,877.070
2014-04-27SELL198265.8231.56105.6852,291.152,414.09
2014-04-30BUY193268.9228.35104.18-52,230.230
2014-05-06SELL193270.3229.54104.7351,833.63-396.6
2014-06-05BUY180285.9226.43103.61-51,792.040
2014-06-17SELL180303.7240.53110.0154,315.462,523.42