← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -7.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#270 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳27,822

Net return -72.2% · drawdown 73.4% · 176 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳80,944

Net return -19.1% · drawdown 38.5% · 30 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳59,756

Net return -40.2% · drawdown 52.1% · 24 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 10.0%; maximum 20 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳179
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳27,643
NAV৳27,822
Realized P&L৳-71,754
Unrealized P&L৳-424
Fees৳71,060
Friction৳32,838

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳4.73e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #270

353 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2014-06-22BUY182296.5237.44108.55-54,308.990
2014-06-26SELL182297.1237.92108.7353,725.55-583.43
2014-08-04BUY172310.8235.21107.73-53,800.540
2014-08-11SELL172330.06249.79114.2256,406.992,606.46
2014-08-14BUY163344.2246.86112.78-56,464.240
2014-08-26SELL163317.4227.64103.8851,404.68-5,059.56
2014-09-23BUY134380.7224.46102.57-51,340.830
2014-09-29SELL134392.2231.24105.6352,217.93877.1
2014-10-02BUY136380.2227.51103.87-52,038.580
2014-10-14SELL136372.6222.96101.7550,348.89-1,689.69
2014-12-04BUY142352.6220.3101.2-50,390.710
2015-01-07SELL142364227.43105.1851,355.39964.68
2015-01-12BUY143355.9223.93103.64-51,221.270
2015-01-15SELL143360226.51105.0551,148.43-72.83
2015-02-09BUY150340224.4103.75-51,328.150
2015-03-01SELL150336.1221.83102.4450,090.73-1,237.42
2015-03-18BUY146340218.42100.7-49,959.110
2015-03-30SELL146352.8226.64104.2151,177.951,218.84
2015-04-02BUY144353223.66102.6-51,158.260
2015-04-15SELL144346.5219.54100.6249,575.84-1,582.42
2015-05-13BUY152326218.03100.46-49,870.490
2015-05-18SELL152326218.03100.5749,233.4-637.09
2015-05-21BUY147332214.7498.95-49,117.690
2015-06-21SELL147330213.4497.7448,198.82-918.87
2015-07-02BUY145330.1210.696.57-48,171.670
2015-07-14SELL145342.8218.71100.2849,387.591,215.92
2015-07-23BUY147334.6216.4299.17-49,501.790
2015-08-02SELL147330213.4497.6848,198.87-1,302.91
2015-08-27BUY149321.5210.7896.93-48,211.20
2015-09-10SELL149309.1202.6593.5845,759.68-2,451.52
2015-10-26BUY179253199.2691.64-45,577.90
2015-11-23SELL179254.8200.6893.4845,315.04-262.86
2015-11-26BUY178253.1198.2392.47-45,342.50
2015-12-02SELL178268.91210.6198.6147,557.122,214.62
2015-12-07BUY177267.4208.2597.26-47,635.310
2015-12-13SELL177256.3199.6192.7545,072.74-2,562.57
2016-01-04BUY176254.5197.0892.52-45,081.60
2016-01-07SELL176253.119692.744,256.9-824.7
2016-01-12BUY170258.5193.3691.52-44,229.870
2016-01-20SELL170268.52200.8594.0145,353.531,123.66
2016-01-25BUY169266.2197.9592.28-45,278.030
2016-02-01SELL169257191.1188.8743,153.03-2,125
2016-04-06BUY185232.5189.2690.02-43,291.770
2016-04-24SELL185246.96201.0395.6245,390.952,099.18
2016-04-27BUY179251197.6993.32-45,2200
2016-05-29SELL179255.220194.5945,385.22165.21
2016-07-12BUY177255.8199.2293.91-45,569.730
2016-07-24SELL177263204.8295.6246,250.55680.83
2016-07-27BUY165278201.8393.52-46,165.350
2016-08-10SELL165267.9194.589.543,919.5-2,245.85
2016-09-26BUY163268.1192.2890.85-43,983.430
2016-10-26SELL163280200.8293.4545,345.741,362.3
2016-10-31BUY164275198.4492.27-45,390.710
2016-11-03SELL164278.1200.6893.2545,314.47-76.23
2016-11-09BUY160281.3198.0491.9-45,297.930
2016-11-14SELL160280197.1291.3744,511.51-786.43
2016-11-21BUY154287.1194.5489.98-44,497.920
2016-11-30SELL154289.9196.4490.6244,357.55-140.37
2017-01-08BUY153288193.8889.71-44,347.590
2017-01-25SELL153301.84203.293.4645,884.861,537.27
2017-01-30BUY150303199.9891.83-45,741.810
2017-02-26SELL150315.2208.0395.7946,976.181,234.37
2017-03-30BUY142330206.1895.47-47,161.650
2017-04-05SELL142345.84216.0899.5648,793.931,632.28
2017-04-10BUY141342.1212.2497.86-48,546.190
2017-04-17SELL141337209.0796.447,211.53-1,334.67
2017-06-05BUY140336206.9897.03-47,3440
2017-06-13SELL140331.1203.9695.2946,054.75-1,289.25
2017-06-21BUY136335.8200.9493.59-45,963.330
2017-07-06SELL136349.57209.1896.547,235.31,271.97
2017-07-11BUY135348.3206.8995.07-47,322.460
2017-07-18SELL135367.5218.310049,294.21,971.74
2017-07-23BUY133367.9215.398.56-49,244.550
2017-08-08SELL133377220.62101.0449,819.34574.79
2017-08-20BUY126391.6217.199.59-49,658.290
2017-08-24SELL126388.4215.3398.8348,624.24-1,034.05
2017-09-10BUY119408213.6398.31-48,863.940
2017-09-13SELL119415217.2999.8349,067.88203.94
2017-09-18BUY117414.5213.3897.97-48,807.850
2017-09-21SELL117413.7212.9797.7448,092.19-715.67
2017-10-12BUY112430211.997.38-48,469.290
2017-10-18SELL112422.1208.0195.7846,971.41-1,497.88
2017-10-25BUY106440205.2294.27-46,939.490
2017-11-05SELL106440.8205.5994.546,424.71-514.78
2017-11-09BUY101457203.0993.28-46,453.370
2017-11-15SELL101496.76220.76101.1849,851.023,397.65
2017-11-20BUY101489.5217.5399.59-49,756.630
2017-11-26SELL101476.2211.6296.8747,787.71-1,968.92
2018-01-03BUY98481207.4195.27-47,440.680
2018-01-11SELL98472.2203.6193.6245,978.37-1,462.31
2018-01-17BUY96477.2201.5792.56-46,105.320
2018-01-28SELL96501.76211.9497.1347,859.891,754.57
2018-01-31BUY94506.9209.6595.97-47,954.230
2018-02-06SELL94495204.7393.6946,231.58-1,722.65
2018-04-04BUY96478201.9193.16-46,183.060
2018-04-26SELL96476.9201.4492.6345,488.33-694.73
2018-06-24BUY112405199.5891.49-45,651.070
2018-07-23SELL112396.9195.5989.7244,167.49-1,483.58
2018-07-26BUY112391192.6888.54-44,073.220
2018-08-07SELL112376185.2985.2241,841.48-2,231.74