← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -7.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#270 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳27,822

Net return -72.2% · drawdown 73.4% · 176 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳80,944

Net return -19.1% · drawdown 38.5% · 30 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳59,756

Net return -40.2% · drawdown 52.1% · 24 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 10.0%; maximum 20 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳179
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳27,643
NAV৳27,822
Realized P&L৳-71,754
Unrealized P&L৳-424
Fees৳71,060
Friction৳32,838

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳4.73e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #270

353 fills, including partial sales. Page 3.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2018-08-27BUY110377.7182.8184.44-41,814.240
2018-09-16SELL110373180.5383.5240,765.95-1,048.29
2018-10-01BUY109372.4178.682.56-40,852.760
2018-10-09SELL109359.6172.4679.5338,944.41-1,908.36
2018-10-14BUY106365.5170.4778.57-38,992.030
2018-10-30SELL106379.26176.8981.6439,943.04951
2018-11-04BUY104382174.880.7-39,983.510
2018-11-13SELL104377.5172.7480.0739,007.19-976.32
2018-12-24BUY107360169.4979.14-38,768.630
2019-01-01SELL107370174.281.1839,334.62565.99
2019-01-06BUY107367.7173.1180.66-39,597.670
2019-01-15SELL107387.1182.2584.0841,153.371,555.7
2019-01-20BUY109375179.8582.88-41,137.730
2019-01-30SELL109411.5197.3690.5444,565.833,428.09
2019-02-04BUY111396193.4188.54-44,237.950
2019-02-07SELL111407198.7891.0444,887.18649.23
2019-03-21BUY112399196.6390.38-44,975.010
2019-04-02SELL112411.31202.6993.2545,770.33795.32
2019-05-21BUY131347.1200.0793.48-45,763.650
2019-05-26SELL131340195.9891.4944,252.53-1,511.11
2019-05-29BUY126350194.0490.59-44,384.630
2019-07-04SELL126364201.894.2145,567.991,183.36
2019-07-31BUY139325.1198.8392.21-45,479.940
2019-08-19SELL139318194.4990.1543,917.36-1,562.58
2019-08-22BUY135324192.4689.31-44,021.770
2019-09-02SELL135312.1185.3986.1241,861.99-2,159.78
2019-09-15BUY136305182.5184.6-41,747.110
2019-09-23SELL136357.31213.8198.9748,281.16,533.99
2019-09-26BUY134360212.2697.91-48,550.170
2019-10-09SELL134341201.0592.6645,400.29-3,149.88
2019-11-20BUY139323.1197.6191.72-45,200.230
2019-11-27SELL139306.5187.4686.5342,329.52-2,870.71
2019-12-02BUY136310.1185.5685.6-42,444.760
2019-12-05SELL136306183.1184.4241,348.47-1,096.29
2020-01-21BUY147279.9181.0483.85-41,410.180
2020-02-19SELL147266.8172.5779.3338,967.7-2,442.48
2020-02-24BUY121319.8170.2677.99-38,944.050
2020-02-27SELL121288.1153.3870.1634,636.56-4,307.49
2020-06-01BUY133258.5151.2769.6-34,601.380
2020-07-09SELL133238.8139.7569.2831,551.37-3,050.01
2020-07-14BUY130240.6137.6264.24-31,479.860
2020-07-27SELL130253.72145.1366.732,772.031,292.17
2020-07-30BUY128255143.6265.88-32,849.50
2020-08-09SELL128255143.6265.7332,430.66-418.85
2020-08-13BUY111290141.6464.76-32,396.40
2020-09-02SELL111318.6155.671.0735,137.712,741.3
2020-09-07BUY109320.6153.7670.22-35,169.380
2020-09-10SELL109344.9165.4175.637,353.092,183.71
2020-09-15BUY106350.6163.5274.75-37,401.870
2020-09-20SELL106341159.0472.7135,914.24-1,487.62
2020-11-10BUY107333156.7872.45-35,860.230
2020-11-15SELL107330.2155.4671.8835,104.06-756.17
2020-12-08BUY106327.8152.8970.7-34,970.390
2020-12-17SELL106350.74163.5975.3636,939.711,969.32
2020-12-22BUY108341.4162.2374.7-37,108.130
2021-01-05SELL108368.48175.180.4239,540.322,432.19
2021-01-10BUY107366.3172.4579.09-39,445.650
2021-01-19SELL107383.18180.482.7140,737.151,291.5
2021-03-10BUY115352178.1181.91-40,740.030
2021-03-31SELL115334.5169.2678.238,220.04-2,519.99
2021-04-11BUY116328167.4177.56-38,292.970
2021-04-20SELL116336.3171.6579.7938,759.36466.39
2021-04-25BUY114337.3169.1978.75-38,700.140
2021-05-09SELL114335168.0478.4237,943.55-756.59
2021-05-16BUY109346.6166.2377.28-38,022.910
2021-06-14SELL109352.8169.278.2738,207.72184.81
2021-07-05BUY108349.4166.0376.85-37,978.090
2021-08-02SELL108372.4176.9681.6739,960.561,982.48
2021-09-07BUY107372.5175.3780.74-40,113.620
2021-09-13SELL107388.86183.0884.3541,341.021,227.41
2021-09-16BUY108379.2180.282.88-41,216.680
2021-09-23SELL108383.9182.4383.8441,194.93-21.75
2021-11-09BUY115355.5179.8883.38-41,145.770
2021-12-01SELL115359181.658641,017.34-128.42
2021-12-06BUY113362.8180.3885.12-41,261.90
2021-12-15SELL113357.3177.6583.8840,113.37-1,148.53
2022-01-10BUY113350.1174.0781.45-39,816.820
2022-01-30SELL113352175.0181.7339,519.25-297.57
2022-02-09BUY110359.517481.8-39,800.80
2022-02-22SELL110355.8172.2180.9138,884.88-915.92
2022-03-20BUY118326169.2678.67-38,715.930
2022-04-18SELL118323.1167.7579.637,878.44-837.48
2022-04-21BUY117322.1165.8278.02-37,929.540
2022-05-12SELL117316162.6875.6536,733.67-1,195.87
2022-05-31BUY118310160.9574.66-36,815.610
2022-06-28SELL118303.1157.3773.5935,534.84-1,280.77
2022-07-25BUY123286.9155.2771.51-35,515.480
2022-08-07SELL123295.47159.9173.8736,109.03593.55
2022-08-14BUY125288158.473.16-36,231.560
2022-08-21SELL125287157.8572.7335,644.42-587.15
2022-08-30BUY119295.2154.5771.21-35,354.570
2022-09-11SELL119288150.869.4834,051.72-1,302.85
2022-09-13BUY12871.260.57-288.840
2024-03-04SELL1246.31.080.49244.72-44.11
2024-04-01BUY140242.8149.5668.86-34,210.420
2024-05-06SELL140241.9149.0170.2433,646.75-563.68
2024-05-09BUY139239.9146.7268.59-33,561.420
2024-05-20SELL139224.9137.5564.231,059.35-2,502.06
2024-06-05BUY137225.1135.6963.76-31,038.150
2024-06-30SELL137237.16142.9667.0732,280.891,242.74