← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -7.8%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#273 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳25,143

Net return -74.9% · drawdown 75.2% · 196 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳57,569

Net return -42.4% · drawdown 43.2% · 43 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳33,095

Net return -66.9% · drawdown 66.9% · 28 closed positions

Variant 3; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 120 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 0.0%, distance 0.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳121
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳25,022
NAV৳25,143
Realized P&L৳-74,304
Unrealized P&L৳-553
Fees৳77,869
Friction৳36,165

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳7.28e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #273

393 fills, including partial sales. Page 3.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2018-11-12BUY126379210.1297.79-48,061.910
2018-11-15SELL126368204.0294.8746,069.11-1,992.79
2018-12-26BUY127360.5201.4594.48-46,079.430
2019-01-02SELL127368205.6496.2746,434.09354.66
2019-01-07BUY123375202.9594.84-46,422.790
2019-01-10SELL123383.2207.3996.1746,830.04407.25
2019-01-15BUY120390205.9295.19-47,101.110
2019-01-20SELL12037519891.3844,710.62-2,390.48
2019-01-23BUY113391194.4189.59-44,466.990
2019-02-13SELL113388192.9188.343,562.78-904.21
2019-03-24BUY109398190.8887.77-43,660.650
2019-04-07SELL109385184.6584.7441,695.61-1,965.04
2019-05-29BUY118350181.7284.7-41,566.420
2019-06-10SELL118355.1184.3786.141,631.3464.92
2019-06-13BUY115360.3182.3185.17-41,701.980
2019-06-18SELL115358.3181.384.7540,938.45-763.53
2019-06-23BUY113359.6178.7983.52-40,897.120
2019-06-26SELL113360178.9983.4440,417.57-479.55
2019-07-02BUY110365176.6682.19-40,408.850
2019-07-07SELL110358.8173.6680.839,213.54-1,195.31
2019-08-06BUY121321.8171.3379.15-39,188.280
2019-08-18SELL121318169.378.238,230.5-957.78
2019-08-21BUY117327168.3477.88-38,505.220
2019-08-26SELL117316.7163.0475.4936,815.37-1,689.85
2019-08-29BUY115316.8160.374.23-36,666.530
2019-09-03SELL115300151.870.2234,277.98-2,388.55
2019-09-16BUY111306.6149.7469.26-34,251.60
2019-09-19SELL111320156.2972.3635,291.351,039.75
2019-09-24BUY96363.9153.7170.69-35,158.80
2019-09-29SELL96360152.0669.8134,338.13-820.67
2019-10-02BUY98349150.4969.08-34,421.570
2019-10-07SELL98345.1148.8168.3433,602.65-818.92
2019-10-13BUY101331.2147.1967.61-33,665.990
2019-10-16SELL101330146.6567.3533,116-549.99
2019-11-21BUY101325144.4366.54-33,035.970
2019-11-26SELL101306135.9962.5330,707.49-2,328.48
2019-12-01BUY96318134.3261.7-30,724.030
2019-12-04SELL96310130.9460.1329,568.93-1,155.1
2020-01-22BUY108272.8129.6359.63-29,651.670
2020-01-27SELL108273129.7359.6529,294.62-357.05
2020-01-30BUY111262.9128.458.94-29,369.240
2020-02-04SELL111273133.3361.1530,108.51739.27
2020-02-09BUY115260.7131.9160.47-30,172.880
2020-02-12SELL115261.9132.5260.7429,925.24-247.64
2020-02-19BUY111266.8130.3159.74-29,804.840
2020-02-24SELL111319.8156.1971.535,270.115,465.27
2020-02-27BUY122288.1154.6570.74-35,373.590
2020-03-03SELL122273.9147.0367.2333,201.54-2,172.05
2020-06-11BUY138238.814566.81-33,166.210
2020-07-09SELL138238.814572.1132,737.29-428.92
2020-07-14BUY135240.6142.9266.78-32,690.70
2020-07-19SELL135243144.3466.9132,593.75-96.94
2020-07-22BUY131246.5142.0865.56-32,499.150
2020-07-27SELL131259.9149.8168.8733,828.221,329.08
2020-07-30BUY132255148.167.96-33,876.070
2020-08-09SELL132255148.167.833,444.1-431.97
2020-08-13BUY115290146.7467.11-33,563.850
2021-02-03SELL115369.7187.0785.9542,242.488,678.62
2021-04-15BUY122342183.5985.34-41,992.930
2021-10-21SELL122362.1194.3889.643,892.231,899.3
2021-11-15BUY121360.2191.7789.48-43,865.450
2021-12-01SELL121359191.1390.6843,157.19-708.26
2021-12-06BUY119362.8189.9689.81-43,452.970
2021-12-15SELL119357.3187.0888.542,243.11-1,209.86
2022-01-11BUY119350183.2685.83-41,919.090
2022-01-16SELL119359.9188.4488.1442,551.52632.43
2022-01-19BUY118358.6186.1987.21-42,588.20
2022-01-30SELL118352182.7685.4541,267.79-1,320.4
2022-02-02BUY116355181.1984.81-41,446.010
2022-02-22SELL116355.8181.685.4841,005.72-440.28
2022-03-28BUY123329.9178.5483.54-40,839.790
2022-03-31SELL123329.7178.4383.5340,291.13-548.65
2022-04-05BUY124325.1177.3783.44-40,573.220
2022-04-10SELL124324.7177.1683.8940,001.76-571.46
2022-04-13BUY121326173.5682.43-39,701.990
2022-04-19SELL121320170.3780.7538,468.89-1,233.1
2022-04-24BUY118324.1168.2779.14-38,491.210
2022-04-27SELL118326.4169.4779.6638,266.07-225.14
2022-05-08BUY119320.1167.678.26-38,337.770
2022-05-11SELL119320.5167.8178.1737,893.52-444.25
2022-06-01BUY122308165.3376.77-37,818.10
2022-06-06SELL122313.4168.2378.337,988.27170.16
2022-06-09BUY123308166.6977.56-38,128.250
2022-06-14SELL123306165.6177.5337,394.86-733.39
2022-06-19BUY121307163.4576.75-37,387.20
2022-06-22SELL121306.9163.3976.636,894.91-492.29
2022-06-27BUY120305.5161.375.69-36,896.990
2022-06-30SELL120294.9155.7172.4935,159.8-1,737.19
2022-07-26BUY121289.4154.0870.95-35,242.420
2022-07-31SELL121287.3152.9670.4434,539.91-702.52
2022-08-03BUY114301.2151.0869.57-34,557.450
2022-08-08SELL114302.9151.9370.1434,308.52-248.93
2022-08-14BUY118288149.5369.01-34,202.530
2022-08-21SELL118287149.0168.6133,648.38-554.15
2022-08-30BUY113295.2146.7767.57-33,571.950
2022-09-04SELL113295146.6767.5133,120.82-451.13
2022-09-07BUY114288.5144.7166.63-33,100.340
2022-09-12SELL114286.9143.9166.2832,496.41-603.93
2022-09-15BUY113287142.765.89-32,639.580
2022-09-20SELL113287.2142.866.0432,244.76-394.82