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Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -7.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#274 · Kalman milestone + Flow: NVI

Full-history NAV৳24,753

Net return -75.2% · drawdown 75.7% · 122 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳79,524

Net return -20.5% · drawdown 23.7% · 15 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳71,163

Net return -28.8% · drawdown 31.3% · 12 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳24,753
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳24,753
Realized P&L৳-75,247
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳60,425
Friction৳27,982

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #274

244 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2010-12-23BUY376263.8436.43199.91-99,825.140
2010-12-28SELL376251.9416.74190.6494,107.02-5,718.12
2011-07-04BUY577162.1411.54191.14-94,134.380
2011-07-07SELL577167.9426.26197.6896,254.352,119.97
2011-07-12BUY550174421.08194.52-96,315.60
2011-07-17SELL550177.1428.58197.5796,778.85463.26
2011-07-25BUY468205.6423.37193.97-96,838.140
2011-08-01SELL468181.6373.95170.9384,443.92-12,394.22
2011-10-30BUY540155.2368.76170.87-84,347.630
2011-11-02SELL540163387.29179.2787,453.443,105.82
2011-11-20BUY522166.6382.65176.85-87,524.690
2011-11-23SELL522163.7375.99173.2784,902.15-2,622.55
2011-12-27BUY519162.6371.31173.62-84,934.330
2012-01-03SELL519174.1397.57185.4689,774.874,840.54
2012-01-08BUY494180.4392.12181.85-89,691.570
2012-01-12SELL494174.7379.73175.1885,746.89-3,944.68
2012-03-20BUY493172.8374.84173.34-85,738.570
2012-03-25SELL493184.3399.78184.7890,275.344,536.77
2012-04-01BUY458196394.98181.82-90,344.80
2012-04-08SELL458194.2391.35179.7688,372.49-1,972.31
2012-04-15BUY406216.1386.04176.77-88,299.410
2012-04-18SELL406217.9389.26178.0887,900.07-399.34
2012-04-25BUY395221.2384.45175.74-87,934.180
2012-04-30SELL395214.7373.15170.5584,262.8-3,671.39
2012-06-10BUY409204.4367.84170.66-84,138.10
2012-06-13SELL409203.3365.86169.8882,613.96-1,524.14
2012-11-01BUY472174.2361.78170.12-82,754.30
2012-11-06SELL472168.4349.73164.778,970.37-3,783.93
2012-11-19BUY456172.1345.3161.79-78,984.690
2012-11-22SELL456169.1339.28158.6776,611.65-2,373.04
2013-02-06BUY440172.8334.54159.22-76,525.760
2013-02-13SELL440166.6322.54151.5572,829.91-3,695.85
2013-05-15BUY468154.7318.56157.83-72,875.990
2013-05-20SELL468166.2342.24167.7977,271.574,395.58
2013-05-26BUY469163.7337.81162.76-77,275.870
2013-05-29SELL469173.9358.86172.3681,027.883,752.01
2013-06-04BUY453177.7354.19167.59-81,019.880
2013-06-09SELL453176.5351.8164.579,438.2-1,581.68
2013-06-12BUY443178.1347.15161.64-79,407.090
2013-06-17SELL443177.8346.57161.2378,257.6-1,149.49
2013-06-26BUY406191.6342.27158.56-78,290.430
2013-07-02SELL406183.9328.52151.7674,183.12-4,107.31
2013-07-14BUY348211.5323.85148.59-74,074.440
2013-07-17SELL348232.5356162.9980,391.016,316.57
2013-07-18BUY1193.10.850.39-194.340
2013-07-23SELL11750.770.35173.88-20.46
2013-08-22BUY393203.4351.72161.46-80,449.380
2013-08-27SELL393209.8362.79166.7981,921.831,472.44
2013-09-02BUY379214.7358.03164.27-81,893.60
2013-09-05SELL379212353.53161.9879,832.49-2,061.12
2013-09-10BUY388204.5349.12159.84-79,854.960
2013-09-15SELL388204.3348.78159.6278,760-1,094.96
2013-10-31BUY408192344.68163.55-78,844.230
2013-11-05SELL408194.6349.35164.9578,882.538.27
2013-11-10BUY398196.8344.64161.6-78,832.640
2013-11-13SELL398194.6340.78159.2476,950.77-1,881.86
2013-11-18BUY382199.9335.99156.41-76,854.20
2013-11-21SELL382209.9352.8163.2579,665.752,811.55
2013-11-26BUY396200348.48160.81-79,709.290
2013-12-01SELL396200.5349.35161.0878,887.57-821.72
2014-01-09BUY376208.7345.27161.31-78,977.780
2014-01-15SELL376204.5338.32157.9676,395.71-2,582.07
2014-01-20BUY366207.1333.51155.41-76,287.530
2014-01-23SELL366210.67339.27157.8676,608.83321.3
2014-02-02BUY360211.4334.86155.05-76,593.90
2014-02-09SELL360207.9329.31152.2274,362.47-2,231.44
2014-03-03BUY336220.3325.69150.08-74,496.570
2014-03-10SELL336214.4316.97145.8971,575.54-2,921.03
2014-04-02BUY323220312.66144.58-71,517.240
2014-04-07SELL323240.7342.08157.9677,246.065,728.82
2014-04-16BUY300255.8337.66154.74-77,232.40
2014-04-21SELL300252.7333.56152.7475,323.7-1,908.7
2014-04-27BUY282265.8329.8150.77-75,436.180
2014-05-04SELL282262.9326.21149.0573,662.54-1,773.63
2014-05-07BUY264276.4321.07146.7-73,437.360
2014-05-14SELL264267310.15141.8170,036.04-3,401.32
2014-06-05BUY244285.9306.94140.78-70,207.320
2014-06-10SELL244286.3307.37141.0669,408.77-798.56
2014-06-16BUY226305.4303.69139.15-69,463.240
2014-06-19SELL226300.1298.42136.6667,387.52-2,075.72
2014-06-24BUY222300.9293.92134.51-67,228.230
2014-07-02SELL222296.1289.23132.465,312.57-1,915.66
2014-07-17BUY228285.1286.01131.45-65,420.260
2014-07-22SELL228293.5294.44135.466,488.161,067.89
2014-08-04BUY212310.8289.91133.01-66,312.530
2014-08-10SELL212327.69305.67140.0269,024.592,712.06
2014-08-13BUY202339.2301.48137.9-68,957.780
2014-08-19SELL202338.2300.59137.4167,878.39-1,079.39
2014-09-02BUY199338.9296.74135.6-67,873.440
2014-09-07SELL199333.4291.93133.4765,921.2-1,952.23
2014-09-16BUY190345.7289.01132.34-66,104.350
2014-09-21SELL190377.9315.92144.7571,340.335,235.98
2014-09-29BUY181392.2312.35142.93-71,443.480
2014-10-13SELL181374.7298.41136.3967,385.89-4,057.58
2014-10-28BUY176379.7294.04134.38-67,255.620
2014-11-02SELL176370.7287.07131.2164,824.92-2,430.7
2015-01-12BUY181355.9283.44131.8-64,833.140
2015-01-15SELL181360286.7133.6764,739.62-93.52
2015-02-12BUY182352.5282.28130.96-64,568.240
2015-02-22SELL182333.1266.75123.4960,233.96-4,334.28