← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -8.5%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#278 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳22,131

Net return -77.9% · drawdown 78.2% · 198 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳84,461

Net return -15.5% · drawdown 37.8% · 33 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳53,195

Net return -46.8% · drawdown 53.9% · 31 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 10 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 20.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳208
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳21,924
NAV৳22,131
Realized P&L৳-77,384
Unrealized P&L৳-485
Fees৳73,126
Friction৳33,792

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.91e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #278

398 fills, including partial sales. Page 4.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2021-08-11SELL94360148.968.3433,622.77-907.81
2021-09-07BUY90372.5147.5167.78-33,740.290
2021-09-21SELL90381150.8869.2434,069.88329.6
2021-11-09BUY95355.5148.668.65-33,989.750
2021-11-23SELL95359150.0670.0133,884.93-104.82
2021-11-28BUY93360147.3169.13-33,696.450
2021-12-01SELL93359146.969.0233,171.08-525.37
2021-12-06BUY91362.8145.2768.06-33,228.120
2021-12-15SELL91357.3143.0667.0632,304.18-923.94
2022-01-10BUY92350.1141.7265.96-32,416.880
2022-01-24SELL92359.8145.6567.8132,888.14471.26
2022-01-27BUY93351.4143.7966.91-32,890.90
2022-02-01SELL93356.9146.0467.9632,977.786.8
2022-02-09BUY91359.5143.9467.28-32,925.730
2022-02-22SELL91355.8142.4666.5632,168.78-756.95
2022-03-20BUY98326140.5765.09-32,153.660
2022-04-03SELL98328.9141.8266.0632,024.32-129.34
2022-04-06BUY99323.3140.8365.91-32,213.440
2022-04-21SELL99322.1140.3165.6731,681.92-531.52
2022-04-26BUY96327138.1264.54-31,594.660
2022-05-12SELL96316133.4861.8230,140.7-1,453.96
2022-05-31BUY96310130.9460.51-29,951.460
2022-06-14SELL96306129.2560.1329,186.62-764.84
2022-06-19BUY95307128.3359.85-29,353.170
2022-06-30SELL95294.72123.1957.0727,818.13-1,535.04
2022-07-25BUY96286.9121.1955.65-27,719.240
2022-08-08SELL96302.9127.9458.9328,891.531,172.29
2022-08-14BUY100288126.7258.34-28,985.060
2022-08-21SELL100287126.2858.0328,515.69-469.37
2022-08-30BUY96295.2124.6957.3-28,521.190
2022-09-11SELL96288121.6555.927,470.44-1,050.75
2022-09-14BUY95286.6119.855.07-27,401.870
2022-10-02SELL95286.6119.855.4527,051.76-350.11
2024-04-01BUY111242.8118.5854.45-27,123.840
2024-04-21SELL111234.7114.6353.2825,883.79-1,240.04
2024-04-24BUY111232.5113.5552.99-25,974.040
2024-05-09SELL111239.9117.1754.4726,457.26483.22
2024-05-14BUY110239115.6853.77-26,459.450
2024-05-19SELL110229.44111.0551.5725,075.78-1,383.67
2024-06-05BUY110225.1108.9550.86-24,920.810
2024-06-24SELL110228.9110.7951.8125,016.495.59
2024-06-27BUY106236.2110.1651.37-25,198.730
2024-07-14SELL106246114.7353.1325,908.13709.4
2024-07-24BUY103248.2112.4852.03-25,729.120
2024-08-11SELL103345.6156.6372.6335,367.559,638.43
2024-08-15BUY92381154.2370.35-35,276.580
2024-08-20SELL92353142.8965.132,268-3,008.58
2024-08-25BUY91354141.7464.55-32,420.290
2024-08-29SELL91348.9139.763.6131,546.59-873.7
2024-11-10BUY97324138.2863.41-31,629.690
2024-11-24SELL97316.1134.9161.8830,464.91-1,164.79
2024-11-27BUY94320132.3560.76-30,273.110
2024-12-11SELL94318131.5260.5729,699.91-573.21
2024-12-18BUY92320129.5459.73-29,629.260
2025-01-05SELL92321.5130.1460.0729,387.79-241.47
2025-01-08BUY90326129.159.65-29,528.740
2025-01-22SELL90336.9133.4161.3630,126.23597.49
2025-02-04BUY88340.1131.6960.44-30,120.930
2025-02-11SELL88338130.8760.2329,552.9-568.03
2025-02-18BUY84347.9128.5858.96-29,411.150
2025-03-02SELL84327.4121.0155.3227,325.28-2,085.87
2025-04-08BUY85322.5120.6256.12-27,589.230
2025-04-23SELL85319.6119.5355.7626,990.71-598.52
2025-05-21BUY91294.3117.8455.09-26,954.230
2025-05-25SELL91273.6109.5551.0824,736.97-2,217.26
2025-06-02BUY85288.5107.950.68-24,681.080
2025-06-24SELL85297111.0852.5125,081.42400.34
2025-06-29BUY82302.7109.2151.54-24,982.160
2025-07-15SELL82299107.8850.4424,359.68-622.47
2025-07-21BUY80303106.6649.44-24,396.10
2025-08-04SELL80320112.6451.825,435.561,039.46
2025-09-03BUY81311.5111.0251.17-25,393.680
2025-09-10SELL81301107.2849.5124,224.21-1,169.47
2025-11-06BUY85283.8106.1450.86-24,2800
2025-11-12SELL85278.7104.2350.0623,535.2-744.79
2025-11-25BUY84277.7102.6448.86-23,478.30
2025-12-09SELL84278.8103.0449.1223,267.03-211.27
2026-01-11BUY91254.1101.7447.21-23,272.060
2026-01-25SELL91265106.1149.0623,959.84687.78
2026-01-28BUY89267.7104.8348.37-23,978.510
2026-02-16SELL89278108.8650.0924,583.04604.53
2026-02-19BUY92267108.0849.7-24,721.790
2026-02-24SELL92266.4107.8449.6924,351.27-370.51
2026-03-25BUY96251.1106.0648.87-24,260.530
2026-03-31SELL96245.5103.747.7823,416.52-844.01
2026-04-12BUY95245.9102.7947.59-23,510.880
2026-04-27SELL95247.8103.5848.1923,389.23-121.65
2026-04-30BUY94247102.1647.55-23,367.710
2026-05-13SELL94239.799.1446.1322,386.53-981.17
2026-05-24BUY92241.497.7245.47-22,351.990
2026-06-14SELL92248100.3946.5522,669.06317.07
2026-06-17BUY90250.999.3646.02-22,726.380
2026-07-02SELL90259.6102.847.2423,213.96487.58
2026-07-07BUY89259101.4246.62-23,199.040
2026-07-12SELL89256.6100.4846.1822,690.74-508.3
2026-09-20BUY94240.499.4346.7-22,743.730
2026-10-04SELL94241.799.9747.1322,572.7-171.02
2026-10-11BUY9224297.9646.31-22,408.270