← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -9.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#282 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳19,080

Net return -80.9% · drawdown 82.4% · 255 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳73,240

Net return -26.8% · drawdown 40.3% · 45 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳30,307

Net return -69.7% · drawdown 69.7% · 36 closed positions

Variant 3; fixed stop 12.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 8.0%, distance 3.5%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳85
Unsettled৳18,994
Holdings৳0
NAV৳19,080
Realized P&L৳-80,920
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳109,190
Friction৳50,669

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳7.28e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #282

512 fills, including partial sales. Page 4.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2019-02-07SELL88407157.5972.0635,586.35-1,079.32
2019-02-12BUY89397155.4771.08-35,559.550
2019-02-19SELL89376147.2467.2633,249.5-2,310.05
2019-03-24BUY83398145.3566.65-33,2460
2019-04-01SELL83409.2149.4468.6133,745.55499.55
2019-04-04BUY84399147.4767.58-33,731.050
2019-04-11SELL84364134.5361.5130,379.95-3,351.1
2019-05-29BUY86350132.4461.31-30,293.750
2019-06-12SELL86365138.1264.1231,187.76894.01
2019-06-17BUY87358.1137.0863.56-31,355.340
2019-06-24SELL87359.2137.563.8631,049.04-306.3
2019-06-27BUY84363.5134.3562.21-30,730.560
2019-07-07SELL84358.8132.6161.3729,945.22-785.34
2019-07-08BUY1351.71.550.7-353.950
2019-07-15SELL1344.71.520.69342.49-11.46
2019-08-06BUY93321.8131.6860.61-30,119.690
2019-08-20SELL93324.9132.9561.2330,021.52-98.17
2019-08-25BUY93319.7130.8260.35-29,923.270
2019-09-01SELL93312.1127.7158.9128,838.68-1,084.59
2019-09-16BUY94306.6126.8158.5-29,005.710
2019-09-22SELL4736475.2834.5216,998.212,495.35
2019-09-23SELL4736174.6534.1516,858.192,355.34
2019-09-25BUY4735874.0333.83-16,933.860
2019-10-02SELL4734972.1732.9616,297.86-636
2019-10-03BUY49343.574.0633.83-16,939.390
2019-10-13SELL49331.271.4132.6216,124.77-814.62
2019-11-21BUY99325141.5765.21-32,381.780
2019-11-28SELL99320139.3964.0631,476.55-905.23
2019-12-03BUY100311.4137.0262.96-31,339.980
2019-12-10SELL100304133.7661.4430,204.8-1,135.18
2020-01-22BUY110272.8132.0460.75-30,200.790
2020-01-29SELL110269.7130.5359.9629,476.51-724.28
2020-01-30BUY1262.91.160.53-264.580
2020-02-06SELL12631.160.53261.32-3.27
2020-02-09BUY112260.7128.4758.88-29,385.750
2020-02-16SELL112261.4128.8259.0329,088.96-296.79
2020-02-19BUY109266.8127.9658.65-29,267.810
2020-02-24SELL109310.15148.7568.0733,589.644,321.83
2020-02-27BUY116288.1147.0567.24-33,633.890
2020-03-05SELL116270137.816331,119.19-2,514.7
2020-06-11BUY130238.8136.5962.89-31,243.480
2020-07-09SELL130238.8136.5967.5930,839.81-403.67
2020-07-14BUY127240.6134.4562.72-30,753.370
2020-07-21SELL127245.9137.4163.4331,028.46275.09
2020-07-26BUY123251135.8462.46-31,071.30
2020-08-03SELL123259140.1764.2531,652.58581.28
2020-08-09BUY123255138.0163.14-31,566.150
2020-08-13SELL123290156.9571.8135,441.243,875.09
2020-08-18BUY122288154.670.69-35,361.290
2020-08-25SELL122301.7161.9574.0336,571.421,210.13
2020-08-31BUY116315160.7873.47-36,774.240
2020-09-07SELL116320.6163.6374.7536,951.21176.97
2020-09-10BUY106344.9160.8673.5-36,793.770
2020-09-17SELL106340.7158.972.6535,882.64-911.12
2020-12-09BUY107334.1157.2972.72-35,978.710
2020-12-17SELL107356.7167.9377.3937,921.581,942.87
2020-12-22BUY110341.4165.2476.1-37,795.340
2020-12-29SELL110353170.8578.638,580.55785.21
2021-01-04BUY107360.1169.5477.88-38,778.110
2021-01-11SELL107373.6175.8980.6939,718.62940.51
2021-01-14BUY106370172.5779.15-39,471.720
2021-01-21SELL106377175.8380.5839,705.59233.87
2021-04-15BUY116342174.5681.06-39,927.610
2021-04-22SELL116337.1172.0680.1138,851.43-1,076.18
2021-04-27BUY113340169.0578.8-38,667.840
2021-05-04SELL113339.5168.879.2938,115.41-552.44
2021-05-09BUY113335166.5677.71-38,099.280
2021-05-18SELL113342.2170.147938,419.46320.18
2021-05-23BUY111342.9167.4777.57-38,306.940
2021-05-31SELL111345.5168.7478.0638,103.7-203.24
2021-06-03BUY110346.9167.977.58-38,404.480
2021-06-10SELL110347.116877.6737,935.33-469.15
2021-06-15BUY108347.4165.0876.34-37,760.630
2021-06-22SELL108344.9163.975.8437,009.46-751.16
2021-07-06BUY106348.4162.4975.25-37,168.140
2021-07-14SELL106358.2167.0677.337,724.83556.69
2021-07-19BUY103364164.9676.28-37,733.240
2021-07-29SELL103375169.9578.4738,376.58643.34
2021-08-05BUY103368166.7876.77-38,147.550
2021-08-16SELL103365.9165.8376.1437,445.73-701.82
2021-09-08BUY98381164.2975.54-37,577.830
2021-09-15SELL98379163.4275.1236,903.45-674.38
2021-09-20BUY96380160.5173.71-36,714.220
2021-09-27SELL96379.2160.1773.536,169.52-544.7
2021-11-15BUY100360.2158.4973.62-36,252.110
2021-11-22SELL100360158.473.8935,767.71-484.4
2021-11-25BUY99360.1156.8673.72-35,880.480
2021-12-02SELL99355154.6472.6934,917.67-962.81
2021-12-07BUY96361.9152.8771.75-34,967.010
2021-12-14SELL96358151.2271.0334,145.75-821.27
2022-01-11BUY97350149.3869.58-34,168.960
2022-01-18SELL97360153.6571.5534,694.8525.84
2022-01-23BUY96356.2150.4670.1-34,415.760
2022-01-30SELL96352148.6869.1633,574.16-841.6
2022-02-02BUY94355146.8368.35-33,585.180
2022-02-09SELL94359.5148.6969.5633,574.75-10.43
2022-02-14BUY94358148.0769.65-33,869.720
2022-02-22SELL94355.8147.1668.8233,229.22-640.5
2022-03-28BUY100329.9145.1667.56-33,202.710
2022-04-04SELL100329.9145.1667.832,777.04-425.67