← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -10.3%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#288 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳15,781

Net return -84.2% · drawdown 85.0% · 257 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳77,673

Net return -22.3% · drawdown 36.5% · 45 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳30,307

Net return -69.7% · drawdown 69.7% · 36 closed positions

Variant 3; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳152
Unsettled৳15,628
Holdings৳0
NAV৳15,781
Realized P&L৳-84,219
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳107,053
Friction৳49,636

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳8.37e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #288

517 fills, including partial sales. Page 4.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2019-01-28SELL89398155.8671.5235,194.62530.38
2019-01-31BUY85414154.8470.85-35,415.690
2019-02-07SELL85407152.2269.5934,373.19-1,042.5
2019-02-12BUY86397150.2268.67-34,360.90
2019-02-19SELL86376142.2864.9832,128.74-2,232.16
2019-03-24BUY80398140.164.22-32,044.320
2019-04-01SELL80409.2144.0466.1132,525.86481.54
2019-04-04BUY81399142.265.15-32,526.350
2019-04-09SELL81373132.9460.8130,019.26-2,507.1
2019-05-29BUY85350130.960.59-29,941.490
2019-06-12SELL85365136.5163.3630,825.13883.64
2019-06-17BUY86358.1135.5162.82-30,994.920
2019-06-24SELL86359.2135.9263.1130,692.17-302.75
2019-06-27BUY84363.5134.3562.21-30,730.560
2019-07-07SELL84358.8132.6161.3729,945.22-785.34
2019-08-06BUY92321.8130.2659.95-29,795.810
2019-08-18SELL92318128.7359.2329,068.04-727.77
2019-08-21BUY88327126.6158.32-28,960.940
2019-08-28SELL88320.1123.9457.1427,987.72-973.22
2019-09-01BUY1312.11.370.62-314.10
2019-09-04SELL1294.71.30.59292.81-21.28
2019-09-16BUY91306.6122.7656.6-28,079.970
2019-09-22SELL4536472.0733.0416,274.892,389.19
2019-09-23SELL4636173.0733.4216,499.512,305.24
2019-09-25BUY4535870.8832.38-16,213.270
2019-10-02SELL4534969.131.5515,604.34-608.92
2019-10-03BUY48343.572.5533.14-16,593.680
2019-10-13SELL48331.269.9531.9515,795.7-797.99
2019-11-21BUY96325137.2863.21-31,400.490
2019-11-26SELL96306129.2559.429,187.35-2,213.14
2019-12-01BUY91318127.3358.46-29,123.790
2019-12-04SELL91310124.1256.9728,028.91-1,094.88
2020-01-22BUY102272.8122.4356.28-28,004.320
2020-01-29SELL102269.7121.0455.5627,332.8-671.51
2020-02-03BUY106258.5120.5655.28-27,576.850
2020-02-10SELL106261.9122.1555.9527,583.36.45
2020-02-13BUY105259119.6654.79-27,369.450
2020-02-20SELL105280129.3659.2929,211.351,841.9
2020-02-25BUY100292128.4858.72-29,387.20
2020-03-01SELL100277.4122.0655.7527,562.19-1,825.01
2020-03-04BUY101271120.4355.02-27,546.450
2020-03-09SELL101262.1116.4853.2126,302.42-1,244.03
2020-06-11BUY109238.8114.5352.62-26,196.350
2020-07-09SELL109238.8114.5355.9325,858.74-337.61
2020-07-14BUY107240.6113.2752.63-25,910.10
2020-07-21SELL107245.9115.7753.3126,142.22232.11
2020-07-26BUY103251113.7552.21-26,018.960
2020-08-03SELL103259117.3853.7326,505.89486.93
2020-08-09BUY104255116.6953.34-26,690.020
2020-08-13SELL52293.2567.130.5815,151.321,806.31
2020-08-17SELL52292.466.930.4915,107.411,762.4
2020-08-18BUY5228865.8930.03-15,071.920
2020-08-25SELL52301.769.0331.4515,587.92516
2020-08-26BUY4831566.5330.31-15,216.840
2020-09-03SELL4832268.0130.9815,357.02140.18
2020-09-06BUY4832368.2231.07-15,603.290
2020-09-13SELL48347.673.4133.4516,577.94974.65
2020-09-14BUY4335466.9830.51-15,319.490
2020-09-21SELL43336.763.729.0214,385.37-934.12
2020-12-09BUY92334.1135.2462.38-30,934.820
2020-12-17SELL92356.7144.3966.4132,605.61,670.78
2020-12-22BUY95341.4142.7165.61-32,641.310
2020-12-29SELL95353147.5567.7733,319.67678.36
2021-01-04BUY92360.1145.7766.86-33,341.830
2021-01-11SELL92373.6151.2369.2934,150.68808.85
2021-01-14BUY91370148.1567.86-33,886.010
2021-01-21SELL91377150.9569.134,086.95200.94
2021-04-15BUY99342148.9868.96-34,075.940
2021-04-22SELL99337.1146.8468.1333,157.92-918.02
2021-04-27BUY97340145.1167.4-33,192.510
2021-05-04SELL97339.5144.967.7532,718.85-473.67
2021-05-09BUY97335142.9866.47-32,704.440
2021-05-18SELL97342.2146.0567.6132,979.74275.29
2021-05-23BUY96342.9144.8466.91-33,130.160
2021-05-31SELL96345.5145.9467.3532,954.71-175.45
2021-06-03BUY94346.9143.4866.14-32,818.220
2021-06-10SELL94347.1143.5666.2132,417.63-400.59
2021-06-15BUY93347.4142.1665.58-32,515.940
2021-06-20SELL93344.1140.8165.0131,795.48-720.46
2021-07-06BUY91348.4139.564.43-31,908.330
2021-07-14SELL91358.2143.4266.232,386.58478.25
2021-07-19BUY88364140.9465.01-32,237.950
2021-07-29SELL88375145.266.8932,787.91549.96
2021-08-05BUY89368144.1166.23-32,962.330
2021-08-16SELL89365.9143.2965.732,356.11-606.22
2021-09-08BUY84381140.8264.64-32,209.460
2021-09-15SELL84379140.0864.2931,631.63-577.83
2021-09-20BUY83380138.7863.64-31,742.410
2021-09-27SELL83379.2138.4863.4731,271.65-470.77
2021-11-15BUY86360.2136.363.12-31,176.620
2021-11-22SELL86360136.2263.3230,760.46-416.17
2021-11-25BUY85360.1134.6863-30,806.180
2021-12-02SELL85355132.7762.1229,980.11-826.07
2021-12-07BUY82361.9130.5761-29,867.380
2021-12-14SELL82358129.1760.3929,166.45-700.93
2022-01-11BUY83350127.8259.33-29,237.150
2022-01-18SELL83360131.4761.0129,687.52450.36
2022-01-23BUY83356.2130.0860.41-29,755.090
2022-01-30SELL83352128.5559.6129,027.84-727.25
2022-02-02BUY81355126.5258.71-28,940.230