← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -10.4%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#289 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳15,710

Net return -84.3% · drawdown 87.2% · 259 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳71,479

Net return -28.5% · drawdown 42.4% · 46 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳26,610

Net return -73.4% · drawdown 73.4% · 38 closed positions

Variant 2; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳82
Unsettled৳15,628
Holdings৳0
NAV৳15,710
Realized P&L৳-84,290
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳115,736
Friction৳53,810

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳4.37e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #289

518 fills, including partial sales. Page 3.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2016-05-03BUY200247217.36103.09-49,720.450
2016-05-10SELL200253.4222.99105.2350,351.78631.33
2016-05-15BUY199251.1219.86103.48-50,292.240
2016-05-22SELL199255.2223.45105.2750,456.07163.83
2016-05-26BUY198254221.28104.43-50,617.710
2016-06-02SELL198256.7223.64105.7250,497.25-120.47
2016-07-13BUY195256.8220.33104.79-50,401.120
2016-07-19SELL195259.4222.57104.9150,255.52-145.6
2016-07-24BUY190263219.87102.84-50,292.710
2016-07-31SELL190276.5231.15106.7352,197.121,904.41
2016-08-03BUY187276.3227.34104.97-52,000.40
2016-08-10SELL187267.9220.43101.649,775.27-2,225.13
2016-09-27BUY184269.2217.94103.51-49,854.250
2016-10-04SELL184271219.4104.1149,540.49-313.77
2016-10-09BUY182270.4216.54102.18-49,531.520
2016-10-18SELL182270.7216.78102.3248,948.3-583.22
2016-10-23BUY176277.5214.9100.6-49,155.490
2016-10-30SELL176277214.5199.9348,437.56-717.93
2016-11-02BUY172278.5210.7798.14-48,210.90
2016-11-09SELL172281.3212.8998.9448,071.77-139.13
2016-11-20BUY169282.5210.0797.34-48,049.90
2016-11-27SELL169288214.1698.9648,358.89308.98
2016-11-30BUY166289.9211.7497.79-48,432.930
2016-12-05SELL166284207.4395.7646,840.8-1,592.13
2017-01-09BUY161290205.4495.14-46,990.580
2017-01-16SELL161290205.4494.9946,389.58-601
2017-01-19BUY155297202.5593.45-46,3310
2017-01-26SELL155302205.9694.6546,509.38178.38
2017-01-31BUY153301202.6393.06-46,348.690
2017-02-07SELL153303.8204.529446,182.88-165.81
2017-02-12BUY150307.1202.6993.24-46,360.930
2017-02-19SELL150320211.297.1647,691.641,330.7
2017-02-26BUY150315.2208.0395.79-47,583.820
2017-03-01SELL150309.2204.0794.0246,081.91-1,501.92
2017-03-30BUY139330201.8393.41-46,165.240
2017-04-06SELL139346.5211.9297.6247,853.961,688.72
2017-04-11BUY138344.5209.1896.45-47,846.630
2017-04-18SELL138335203.4193.7645,932.83-1,913.8
2017-06-07BUY135337.9200.7194.04-45,911.260
2017-06-12SELL135330.9196.5591.8444,383.11-1,528.15
2017-06-22BUY130338.8193.7990.01-44,327.80
2017-07-04SELL130351.1200.8392.7745,349.41,021.6
2017-07-09BUY132340.5197.7690.96-45,234.720
2017-07-16SELL132365.1212.0597.247,883.952,649.22
2017-07-19BUY131365.1210.4496.38-48,134.920
2017-07-26SELL131371213.8497.9148,289.25154.33
2017-07-31BUY127376.2210.2296.18-48,083.80
2017-08-07SELL127379.4212.0197.0547,874.74-209.06
2017-08-17BUY123388209.9996.3-48,030.290
2017-08-24SELL123388.4210.296.4547,466.54-563.74
2017-09-10BUY115408206.4594.97-47,221.420
2017-09-17SELL115418211.5197.0947,761.4539.99
2017-09-20BUY115412208.4795.64-47,684.120
2017-09-25SELL115410.4207.6695.346,893.03-791.08
2017-10-12BUY109430206.2394.75-47,170.980
2017-10-18SELL109422.1202.4493.1845,713.28-1,457.69
2017-10-25BUY103440199.4191.58-45,610.990
2017-11-01SELL103439.8199.3291.6245,008.47-602.52
2017-11-09BUY98457197.0690.48-45,073.540
2017-11-16SELL98484208.795.5747,127.732,054.19
2017-11-21BUY97480204.8693.76-46,858.620
2017-11-27SELL97479.2204.5293.646,184.27-674.35
2018-01-04BUY95487.6203.8293.68-46,619.50
2018-01-09SELL95472.6197.5590.7644,608.69-2,010.81
2018-01-18BUY91482.5193.1988.73-44,189.430
2018-01-25SELL91505.8202.5292.8245,732.451,543.03
2018-01-30BUY89511200.1191.62-45,770.720
2018-02-06SELL89495193.8488.6743,772.49-1,998.24
2018-04-08BUY91479.9192.1588.61-43,951.660
2018-04-15SELL91484.8194.1189.4743,833.22-118.44
2018-04-18BUY89487.5190.9188.01-43,666.410
2018-04-25SELL89474.9185.9785.5741,994.56-1,671.85
2018-06-25BUY102408.9183.5184.04-41,975.360
2018-07-03SELL102381170.9978.2138,612.8-3,362.55
2018-07-04BUY13781.660.76-380.420
2018-07-11SELL13801.670.76377.57-2.85
2018-07-12BUY99385167.7176.73-38,359.440
2018-07-19SELL99401.5174.8980.0539,493.561,134.12
2018-07-22BUY14041.780.81-406.590
2018-07-29SELL1386.21.70.77383.73-22.86
2018-07-30BUY101390.2173.479.67-39,663.280
2018-08-07SELL101376167.0976.7737,732.14-1,931.14
2018-08-08BUY1381.51.680.76-383.940
2018-08-13SELL1353.91.560.71351.63-32.31
2018-08-27BUY100377.7166.1976.65-38,012.840
2018-09-04SELL100385.6169.6678.2838,312.05299.22
2018-09-09BUY99384167.2777.14-38,260.410
2018-09-16SELL99373162.4875.0336,689.49-1,570.92
2018-10-01BUY98372.4160.5874.1-36,729.880
2018-10-08SELL98364.8157.372.5135,520.59-1,209.29
2018-10-14BUY96365.5154.3971.06-35,313.450
2018-10-21SELL96363.2153.4270.7434,643.05-670.4
2018-10-24BUY93372152.2270.22-34,818.440
2018-10-31SELL93380.5155.771.7335,159.07340.63
2018-11-05BUY92380153.8270.92-35,184.740
2018-11-12SELL92379153.4270.9534,643.63-541.11
2018-12-24BUY96360152.0670.81-34,782.870
2019-01-03SELL96365154.1871.734,814.1331.25
2019-01-08BUY92374151.470.04-34,629.440
2019-01-15SELL92390157.8772.6935,649.431,020