← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -10.4%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#289 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳15,710

Net return -84.3% · drawdown 87.2% · 259 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳71,479

Net return -28.5% · drawdown 42.4% · 46 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳26,610

Net return -73.4% · drawdown 73.4% · 38 closed positions

Variant 2; fixed stop 8.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit any bearish; trailing arms at 12.0%, distance 4.5%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳82
Unsettled৳15,628
Holdings৳0
NAV৳15,710
Realized P&L৳-84,290
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳115,736
Friction৳53,810

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳4.37e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #289

518 fills, including partial sales. Page 4.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2019-01-20BUY94375155.171.34-35,476.440
2019-01-27SELL94397164.275.4237,078.381,601.93
2019-01-30BUY89414.4162.2874.32-37,118.20
2019-02-06SELL89403.6158.0572.2735,690.08-1,428.12
2019-02-11BUY88405156.8271.71-35,868.520
2019-02-14SELL88395152.9469.934,537.16-1,331.37
2019-03-24BUY86398150.669.08-34,447.690
2019-04-01SELL86409.2154.8471.1234,965.24517.56
2019-04-04BUY87399152.7470.02-34,935.750
2019-04-09SELL87373142.7865.3432,242.88-2,692.88
2019-05-29BUY92350141.6865.67-32,407.350
2019-06-12SELL92365147.7568.733,363.55956.2
2019-06-17BUY92358.1144.9667.29-33,157.450
2019-06-24SELL92359.2145.467.6132,833.39-324.06
2019-06-27BUY90363.5143.9566.74-32,925.690
2019-07-07SELL90358.8142.0865.8332,084.08-841.6
2019-08-01BUY96333140.6664.84-32,173.50
2019-08-08SELL96318.8134.6662.0230,408.12-1,765.38
2019-08-20BUY93324.9132.9561.23-30,409.880
2019-08-27SELL93314.5128.6959.3429,060.47-1,349.42
2019-09-01BUY92312.1126.3458.27-28,897.810
2019-09-04SELL92294.7119.2954.9426,938.17-1,959.64
2019-09-16BUY88306.6118.7254.71-27,154.230
2019-09-23SELL88361139.7864.331,563.924,409.69
2019-09-26BUY87360137.8163.24-31,521.050
2019-10-03SELL87343.5131.4960.2929,692.71-1,828.34
2019-10-09BUY86341129.0359.18-29,514.210
2019-10-14SELL86325122.9856.3927,770.63-1,743.58
2019-11-20BUY86323.1122.2656.3-27,965.160
2019-11-27SELL86306.5115.9853.2226,189.8-1,775.36
2019-12-02BUY84310.1114.6152.57-26,215.590
2019-12-05SELL84306113.151.8625,539.04-676.55
2020-01-21BUY90279.9110.8450.96-25,352.810
2020-01-28SELL90272.4107.8749.524,358.63-994.17
2020-01-30BUY1262.91.160.53-264.580
2020-02-06SELL12631.160.53261.32-3.27
2020-02-09BUY92260.7105.5348.29-24,138.220
2020-02-16SELL92261.4105.8148.4223,894.57-243.66
2020-02-19BUY90266.8105.6548.36-24,166.010
2020-02-24SELL90306.94121.5555.5527,447.233,281.22
2020-02-27BUY95288.1120.4355.01-27,544.930
2020-03-05SELL95270112.8651.5425,485.6-2,059.34
2020-06-08BUY106238.8111.3851.09-25,475.270
2020-07-09SELL106238.8111.3854.2925,147.14-328.13
2020-07-14BUY104240.6110.151.12-25,183.620
2020-07-21SELL104245.9112.5251.825,409.28225.66
2020-07-26BUY100251110.4450.67-25,261.110
2020-08-03SELL100259113.9652.1525,733.89472.78
2020-08-09BUY101255113.3251.79-25,920.110
2020-08-17SELL101292.4129.9459.3729,343.093,422.98
2020-08-20BUY102285127.9158.41-29,256.320
2020-08-27SELL102317142.2764.9832,126.752,870.43
2020-09-02BUY99322140.2664.03-32,082.30
2020-09-09SELL99339147.6767.4333,345.91,263.6
2020-09-14BUY94354146.4166.88-33,489.30
2020-09-21SELL94336.7139.2663.6131,446.93-2,042.37
2020-12-09BUY93334.1136.7163.06-31,271.080
2020-12-17SELL93356.7145.9667.1432,9601,688.92
2020-12-22BUY96341.4144.2166.3-32,984.910
2020-12-29SELL96353149.1168.4933,670.4685.49
2021-01-04BUY93360.1147.3567.6-33,704.250
2021-01-11SELL93373.6152.8870.0534,521.88817.63
2021-01-14BUY93370151.469.37-34,630.770
2021-01-21SELL93377154.2770.6334,836.11205.34
2021-03-16BUY100346152.2470-34,822.240
2021-03-22SELL100339149.1668.6333,682.21-1,140.02
2021-04-13BUY101330146.6567.84-33,544.50
2021-04-21SELL101340.2151.1870.1834,138.83594.34
2021-04-26BUY100339149.1669.29-34,118.450
2021-05-03SELL100342150.4870.2833,979.24-139.21
2021-05-06BUY101335148.8769.5-34,053.370
2021-05-17SELL101344.5153.171.0234,570.39517.02
2021-05-20BUY100343150.9269.79-34,520.710
2021-05-30SELL100348.4153.370.8134,615.995.18
2021-06-02BUY99346.5150.9469.63-34,524.060
2021-06-09SELL99346.9151.1169.7834,122.21-401.85
2021-06-14BUY96352.8149.0268.79-34,086.620
2021-06-17SELL96343.6145.1466.9632,773.5-1,313.12
2021-07-06BUY94348.4144.166.59-32,960.290
2021-07-14SELL94358.2148.1568.4133,454.24493.95
2021-07-19BUY91364145.7567.26-33,3370
2021-07-29SELL91375150.1569.233,905.65568.64
2021-08-05BUY92368148.9768.48-34,073.450
2021-08-16SELL92365.9148.1267.9433,446.75-626.7
2021-09-08BUY87381145.8566.98-33,359.820
2021-09-15SELL87379145.0866.6132,761.31-598.51
2021-09-20BUY86380143.7965.96-32,889.750
2021-09-27SELL86379.2143.4965.7832,401.93-487.82
2021-11-14BUY89361.9141.7265.63-32,416.450
2021-11-21SELL89360.5141.1765.6431,877.69-538.76
2021-11-24BUY88359.6139.2465.01-31,849.050
2021-12-01SELL8835913965.231,387.8-461.25
2021-12-06BUY86362.8137.2864.21-31,402.30
2021-12-13SELL86358135.4763.4630,589.07-813.23
2022-01-10BUY86350.1132.4861.57-30,302.650
2022-01-17SELL86360136.2263.1930,760.59457.94
2022-01-20BUY85359.2134.3462.43-30,728.770
2022-01-27SELL85351.4131.4261.0329,676.54-1,052.23
2022-01-30BUY13521.550.7-354.250
2022-02-06SELL1354.51.560.71352.23-2.02