← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -11.2%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#294 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳13,313

Net return -86.7% · drawdown 86.9% · 265 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳77,780

Net return -22.2% · drawdown 36.6% · 45 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳30,307

Net return -69.7% · drawdown 69.7% · 36 closed positions

Variant 3; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 8.0%, distance 3.5%; partial sale at 20.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳89
Unsettled৳13,224
Holdings৳0
NAV৳13,313
Realized P&L৳-86,687
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳91,483
Friction৳42,278

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳8.37e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #294

531 fills, including partial sales. Page 4.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2018-10-18SELL88364140.9464.8331,826.23-260.96
2018-10-23BUY86365138.1263.67-31,591.790
2018-10-30SELL86383144.9366.732,726.371,134.58
2018-11-04BUY85382142.8765.77-32,678.640
2018-11-11SELL85376.7140.8965.0631,813.55-865.09
2018-11-14BUY84376.5139.1564.26-31,829.420
2018-11-19SELL84361.44133.5961.6130,165.76-1,663.66
2018-12-26BUY84360.5133.2461.84-30,477.080
2019-01-06SELL84367.7135.962.9930,687.91210.83
2019-01-09BUY79382132.7861.22-30,372.010
2019-01-16SELL79387.1134.5661.8330,384.5212.51
2019-01-21BUY78387132.8260.99-30,379.810
2019-01-28SELL78398136.5962.6130,844.8464.99
2019-01-31BUY74414134.861.63-30,832.430
2019-02-05SELL74403131.2259.9429,630.85-1,201.58
2019-02-10BUY73405.7130.3159.53-29,805.940
2019-02-13SELL73388124.6356.9128,142.47-1,663.47
2019-03-24BUY70398122.5856.14-28,038.720
2019-04-01SELL70409.2126.0357.7728,460.19421.47
2019-04-04BUY71399124.6557.05-28,510.70
2019-04-09SELL71373116.5353.2626,313.22-2,197.48
2019-05-29BUY75350115.553.35-26,418.850
2019-06-12SELL75365120.4555.7727,198.78779.93
2019-06-17BUY75358.1118.1754.65-27,030.320
2019-06-24SELL75359.2118.5454.8926,766.58-263.74
2019-06-27BUY73363.5116.7653.93-26,706.190
2019-07-07SELL73358.8115.2553.2126,023.95-682.24
2019-07-08BUY1351.71.550.7-353.950
2019-07-11SELL13331.470.67330.87-23.08
2019-08-06BUY81321.8114.6952.7-26,233.190
2019-08-20SELL81324.9115.7953.2426,147.86-85.33
2019-08-25BUY81319.7113.9452.46-26,062.10
2019-09-01SELL81312.1111.2351.2125,117.65-944.45
2019-09-16BUY82306.6110.6250.93-25,302.760
2019-09-23SELL82361130.2559.8729,411.894,109.13
2019-09-26BUY81360128.358.84-29,347.150
2019-10-02SELL81345.6123.1756.4427,813.99-1,533.16
2019-10-07BUY80345.1121.4855.68-27,785.160
2019-10-13SELL80331.2116.5853.4326,325.98-1,459.17
2019-11-21BUY80325114.452.56-26,166.960
2019-11-26SELL80306107.7149.4124,322.88-1,844.08
2019-12-01BUY76318106.3448.74-24,323.080
2019-12-05SELL76305.28102.0946.7723,052.42-1,270.66
2020-01-22BUY84272.8100.8346.26-23,062.290
2020-01-28SELL84261.8996.7944.3721,857.43-1,204.86
2020-01-29BUY1269.71.190.54-271.430
2020-02-03SELL1258.51.140.52256.85-14.58
2020-02-04BUY7927394.8943.41-21,705.310
2020-02-09SELL79260.790.6241.4320,463.25-1,242.05
2020-02-10BUY1261.91.150.52-263.580
2020-02-19SELL1266.81.170.53265.091.52
2020-02-20BUY7328089.9441.12-20,571.050
2020-02-25SELL7329293.7942.821,179.41608.35
2020-02-26BUY1292.41.290.58-294.270
2020-03-02SELL12731.20.55271.25-23.02
2020-03-03BUY76273.991.5941.79-20,949.780
2020-03-08SELL76263.588.1140.219,897.68-1,052.1
2020-06-11BUY84238.888.2640.45-20,187.910
2020-07-09SELL84238.888.2642.4219,928.52-259.39
2020-07-14BUY83240.687.8740.63-20,098.290
2020-07-21SELL83245.989.841.2320,278.66180.37
2020-07-26BUY8025188.3540.46-20,208.810
2020-08-03SELL8025991.1741.6720,587.17378.35
2020-08-09BUY8025589.7640.98-20,530.740
2020-08-13SELL80290102.0846.623,051.322,520.58
2020-08-18BUY80288101.3846.26-23,187.630
2020-08-25SELL80301.7106.248.4523,981.35793.72
2020-08-31BUY75315103.9547.41-23,776.360
2020-09-07SELL75320.6105.848.2523,890.96114.59
2020-09-10BUY69344.9104.7147.76-23,950.570
2020-09-17SELL69340.7103.4447.223,357.67-592.9
2020-12-09BUY70334.1102.947.3-23,537.20
2020-12-17SELL70356.7109.8650.3924,808.751,271.55
2020-12-22BUY72341.4108.1649.59-24,738.540
2020-12-29SELL72353111.8351.2425,252.93514.39
2021-01-04BUY69360.1109.3350.03-25,006.260
2021-01-11SELL69373.6113.4251.8625,613.11606.85
2021-01-14BUY69370112.3351.36-25,693.690
2021-01-21SELL69377114.4652.325,846.24152.55
2021-04-15BUY75342112.8652.02-25,814.880
2021-04-22SELL75337.1111.2451.3625,119.89-694.98
2021-04-27BUY74340110.751.16-25,321.860
2021-05-04SELL74339.5110.5451.3524,961.11-360.75
2021-05-09BUY74335109.0850.44-24,949.520
2021-05-18SELL74342.2111.4251.3625,160.02210.51
2021-05-23BUY73342.9110.1450.69-25,192.530
2021-05-31SELL73345.5110.9751.0325,059.49-133.03
2021-06-03BUY71346.9108.3749.78-24,788.060
2021-06-10SELL71347.1108.4349.8324,485.83-302.22
2021-06-15BUY70347.410749.18-24,474.180
2021-06-22SELL70344.9106.2348.8523,987.92-486.26
2021-07-06BUY69348.4105.7748.67-24,194.040
2021-07-14SELL69358.2108.7550.0124,557.04363
2021-07-19BUY67364107.3149.32-24,544.630
2021-07-29SELL67375110.5550.7724,963.68419.05
2021-08-05BUY67368108.4949.72-24,814.210
2021-08-16SELL67365.9107.8749.3624,358.08-456.13
2021-09-08BUY64381107.2949.14-24,540.430
2021-09-15SELL64379106.7348.8724,100.4-440.02
2021-09-20BUY63380105.3448.2-24,093.540