← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -13.2%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#300 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳9,182

Net return -90.8% · drawdown 91.0% · 281 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳73,630

Net return -26.4% · drawdown 42.2% · 47 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳30,307

Net return -69.7% · drawdown 69.7% · 36 closed positions

Variant 3; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit stop/time only; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳45
Unsettled৳9,137
Holdings৳0
NAV৳9,182
Realized P&L৳-90,818
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳86,870
Friction৳40,106

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳4.37e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #300

562 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2013-05-08BUY368147.2238.35116.83-54,524.780
2013-05-13SELL368150.48243.66119.6155,013.37488.59
2013-05-20BUY329166.2240.59115.4-55,035.790
2013-05-26SELL329163.7236.97112.2553,508.08-1,527.71
2013-05-30BUY306173.7233.87109.63-53,495.70
2013-06-04SELL306177.41238.86111.5753,936.41440.71
2013-06-09BUY304176.5236.09109.38-54,001.460
2013-06-12SELL304178.1238.23110.0953,794.08-207.38
2013-06-17BUY300177.8234.7108.38-53,683.070
2013-06-24SELL300189.6250.27115.4256,514.312,831.24
2013-06-30BUY314178.9247.17113.75-56,535.520
2013-07-04SELL314188.1259.88119.6258,683.92,148.38
2013-07-14BUY276211.5256.85117.62-58,748.470
2013-07-17SELL276232.5282.35129.0763,758.585,010.11
2013-07-22BUY350180.9278.59127.2-63,720.790
2013-07-25SELL350178.4274.74125.4362,039.83-1,680.96
2013-08-26BUY293210.5271.38124.43-62,072.30
2013-09-01SELL293221.3285.3130.7264,424.882,352.58
2013-09-04BUY298214.6281.38128.74-64,360.920
2013-09-09SELL298204.3267.88122.4760,491.05-3,869.87
2013-09-12BUY306196.3264.3120.77-60,452.870
2013-09-17SELL306195.3262.95120.1359,378.72-1,074.15
2013-10-29BUY316187.2260.28122.08-59,537.560
2013-11-03SELL316190.97265.53124.659,956.71419.15
2013-11-06BUY303196.5261.97122.53-59,9240
2013-11-11SELL303196.4261.84121.7759,125.59-798.41
2013-11-14BUY300195.6258.19119.79-59,057.990
2013-11-19SELL300206.5272.58126.2161,551.212,493.22
2013-11-24BUY296206.6269.08123.85-61,546.530
2013-11-27SELL296205.6267.77123.0660,466.76-1,079.76
2013-12-02BUY298201.8264.6121.62-60,522.620
2013-12-05SELL298206.02270.13124.1660,999.37476.75
2013-12-10BUY296204.6266.47122.52-60,950.60
2013-12-18SELL296200.2260.74119.9758,878.49-2,072.1
2014-01-09BUY280208.7257.12119.29-58,812.410
2014-01-15SELL280204.5251.94116.8456,891.22-1,921.19
2014-01-20BUY273207.1248.77115.2-56,902.270
2014-01-23SELL273210.67253.06117.0657,143.34241.07
2014-01-28BUY270210.9250.55115.65-57,309.20
2014-02-02SELL270211.4251.14115.7556,711.1-598.09
2014-02-05BUY274205.4247.63114.07-56,641.30
2014-02-10SELL274206248.35114.356,081.35-559.96
2014-03-03BUY253220.3245.24112.63-56,093.770
2014-03-06SELL253214.7239109.6553,970.44-2,123.32
2014-03-11BUY252212.8235.95108.27-53,969.820
2014-03-19SELL252211.3234.29107.5452,905.77-1,064.05
2014-04-09BUY212247.9231.24105.92-52,891.960
2014-04-15SELL212259.38241.95110.6954,635.921,743.96
2014-04-20BUY217250.3238.99109.22-54,663.30
2014-04-23SELL217265.2253.21115.7357,179.462,516.16
2014-04-28BUY216262.8249.77114.01-57,128.580
2014-05-04SELL216262.9249.86114.0356,422.51-706.06
2014-05-07BUY203276.4246.88112.67-56,468.750
2014-05-15SELL203264.5236.25107.8753,349.37-3,119.37
2014-06-05BUY185285.9232.72106.51-53,230.730
2014-06-10SELL185286.3233.05106.7152,625.75-604.98
2014-06-16BUY171305.4229.78105.08-52,558.270
2014-06-19SELL171300.1225.8103.2250,988.09-1,570.18
2014-06-24BUY169300.9223.75102.23-51,178.080
2014-07-02SELL169296.1220.18100.6249,720.1-1,457.99
2014-08-12BUY149330.9216.9499.08-49,620.120
2014-08-18SELL149335.8220.15100.549,713.5593.43
2014-08-21BUY150330.321899.47-49,862.470
2014-08-26SELL150317.4209.4895.5647,304.95-2,557.52
2014-09-23BUY123380.7206.0394.11-47,126.240
2014-09-28SELL123395.8214.2197.8348,371.61,245.36
2014-10-01BUY125384.2211.3196.45-48,332.760
2014-10-15SELL125379.1208.5195.1147,083.88-1,248.88
2014-12-07BUY134350.3206.5494.85-47,241.590
2014-12-10SELL134358.08211.1397.0447,674.96433.37
2014-12-18BUY135350.8208.3895.82-47,662.190
2014-12-23SELL135354.92210.8297.1147,605.59-56.6
2014-12-29BUY132356.5207.0695.46-47,360.520
2015-01-07SELL132364211.4197.6647,738.93378.41
2015-01-12BUY134355.9209.8497.01-47,997.440
2015-01-15SELL134360212.2698.3247,929.43-68.02
2015-02-11BUY137347.9209.7196.84-47,968.860
2015-02-16SELL137349.6210.7497.2347,587.23-381.62
2015-02-22BUY142333.1208.1295.97-47,604.290
2015-02-25SELL142340212.4397.9847,969.59365.3
2015-03-18BUY140340209.4496.5-47,905.940
2015-03-25SELL140338208.2195.8647,015.93-890.01
2015-03-31BUY131354.9204.5693.86-46,790.330
2015-04-07SELL131348.3200.7691.9645,334.58-1,455.75
2015-04-12BUY129349.6198.4390.87-45,387.70
2015-04-20SELL129340192.9888.443,578.62-1,809.08
2015-05-20BUY129335190.1587.48-43,492.630
2015-05-27SELL129329.9187.2586.142,283.75-1,208.88
2015-05-28BUY1327.91.440.66-3300
2015-06-04SELL1329.11.450.66326.99-3
2015-06-07BUY127328.5183.5784.08-41,987.150
2015-06-14SELL127335187.285.6742,272.13284.98
2015-06-15BUY13361.480.67-338.150
2015-06-22SELL1328.91.450.66326.8-11.36
2015-06-23BUY129326.3185.2184.73-42,362.640
2015-06-30SELL129326185.0484.7241,784.25-578.39
2015-07-02BUY1330.11.450.66-332.210
2015-07-09SELL1333.51.470.67331.37-0.85
2015-07-12BUY122340.1182.5783.58-41,758.340
2015-07-21SELL122340182.5183.5641,213.93-544.41