Net return 83.8% · drawdown 26.0% · 47 closed positions
Searching for profit that survives costs
77,233 unique configurations in this batch; 70 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.
Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 3.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.
Selection used earlier periods; 2024–2026 was replayed afterward. That period was already exposed in earlier research, so it is not a pristine holdout. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.
Choose profit with more trades
Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.
Profit versus completed positions
Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.
Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.
#31 · MACD
Net return -21.5% · drawdown 23.7% · 8 closed positions
Net return -38.8% · drawdown 40.1% · 8 closed positions
Variant 1; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 90 sessions; gate EMA 50; fresh signal only; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).
Account reconciliation
NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.46e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.
All fills for finalist #31
103 fills, including partial sales. Page 1.
| Date | Side | Shares | Price | Fees | Friction | Cash flow | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-01-13 | BUY | 423 | 234.8 | 437.01 | 199.79 | -99,957.2 | 0 |
| 2011-01-18 | SELL | 423 | 228.7 | 425.66 | 194.63 | 96,119.81 | -3,837.39 |
| 2011-11-21 | BUY | 581 | 164.3 | 420.02 | 194.31 | -96,072.62 | 0 |
| 2011-11-24 | SELL | 581 | 166.3 | 425.13 | 196.08 | 95,999.09 | -73.53 |
| 2011-12-26 | BUY | 593 | 160.8 | 419.56 | 196.57 | -95,970.53 | 0 |
| 2011-12-29 | SELL | 593 | 163.5 | 426.6 | 200.69 | 96,328.21 | 357.67 |
| 2012-06-04 | BUY | 470 | 203.6 | 421.04 | 195.13 | -96,308.17 | 0 |
| 2012-06-25 | SELL | 470 | 195.46 | 404.2 | 188.91 | 91,271.21 | -5,036.96 |
| 2012-06-28 | BUY | 434 | 208.8 | 398.72 | 185.81 | -91,203.73 | 0 |
| 2012-07-04 | SELL | 434 | 200.45 | 382.78 | 178.05 | 86,433.61 | -4,770.12 |
| 2012-07-22 | BUY | 431 | 199.4 | 378.14 | 175.29 | -86,494.83 | 0 |
| 2012-07-25 | SELL | 431 | 205.5 | 389.71 | 180.41 | 88,000.38 | 1,505.54 |
| 2012-12-03 | BUY | 520 | 168.1 | 384.61 | 181.73 | -87,978.34 | 0 |
| 2012-12-06 | SELL | 520 | 167.6 | 383.47 | 181.23 | 86,587.3 | -1,391.04 |
| 2013-06-12 | BUY | 483 | 178.1 | 378.5 | 176.61 | -86,577.41 | 0 |
| 2013-07-10 | SELL | 241 | 220.7 | 234.03 | 107.39 | 52,847.28 | 9,648.2 |
| 2013-07-11 | SELL | 242 | 216.87 | 230.93 | 105.75 | 52,146.83 | 8,768.51 |
| 2013-12-10 | BUY | 510 | 204.6 | 459.12 | 212.85 | -105,017.97 | 0 |
| 2014-04-07 | SELL | 255 | 240.7 | 270.07 | 124.29 | 60,984.14 | 8,475.15 |
| 2014-04-09 | SELL | 255 | 247.9 | 278.14 | 127.59 | 62,808.76 | 10,299.77 |
| 2014-04-27 | BUY | 463 | 265.8 | 541.49 | 248.45 | -123,855.34 | 0 |
| 2014-05-22 | SELL | 463 | 255.17 | 519.83 | 239.1 | 117,383.86 | -6,471.48 |
| 2014-06-01 | BUY | 423 | 275.4 | 512.57 | 236.95 | -117,243.73 | 0 |
| 2014-08-07 | SELL | 211 | 323.9 | 300.71 | 137.78 | 67,904.41 | 9,421.13 |
| 2014-08-11 | SELL | 212 | 330.06 | 307.88 | 140.98 | 69,524.71 | 10,764.26 |
| 2014-09-04 | BUY | 404 | 338.1 | 601.01 | 276.26 | -137,469.67 | 0 |
| 2014-09-22 | SELL | 202 | 388.82 | 345.58 | 158.43 | 78,036.62 | 9,301.79 |
| 2014-09-29 | SELL | 202 | 392.2 | 348.59 | 159.64 | 78,716.18 | 9,981.34 |
| 2014-10-29 | BUY | 416 | 374.6 | 685.67 | 315.65 | -156,834.92 | 0 |
| 2014-11-05 | SELL | 416 | 358.5 | 656.2 | 302.23 | 148,177.57 | -8,657.35 |
| 2014-12-29 | BUY | 413 | 356.5 | 647.83 | 307.65 | -148,189.98 | 0 |
| 2015-01-25 | SELL | 413 | 342.24 | 621.92 | 297.1 | 140,426.1 | -7,763.88 |
| 2015-06-14 | BUY | 416 | 335 | 613.18 | 284.99 | -140,258.17 | 0 |
| 2015-06-22 | SELL | 416 | 328.9 | 602.02 | 279.43 | 135,940.95 | -4,317.22 |
| 2015-07-02 | BUY | 409 | 330.1 | 594.05 | 276.67 | -135,881.62 | 0 |
| 2015-07-08 | SELL | 409 | 328 | 590.27 | 274.92 | 133,286.81 | -2,594.81 |
| 2016-05-10 | BUY | 523 | 253.4 | 583.12 | 291.51 | -133,402.83 | 0 |
| 2016-05-15 | SELL | 523 | 251.1 | 577.83 | 287.1 | 130,460.37 | -2,942.46 |
| 2016-05-24 | BUY | 505 | 256.7 | 570.39 | 283.57 | -130,487.45 | 0 |
| 2016-05-29 | SELL | 505 | 255.2 | 567.05 | 283.41 | 128,025.53 | -2,461.92 |
| 2016-06-30 | BUY | 506 | 251.7 | 560.38 | 282.45 | -128,203.04 | 0 |
| 2016-07-12 | SELL | 506 | 255.8 | 569.51 | 286.32 | 128,578.97 | 375.93 |
| 2016-09-06 | BUY | 476 | 268 | 561.3 | 275.76 | -128,405.06 | 0 |
| 2016-09-20 | SELL | 476 | 262 | 548.73 | 276.51 | 123,886.76 | -4,518.3 |
| 2016-09-25 | BUY | 461 | 267.1 | 541.79 | 274.36 | -123,949.24 | 0 |
| 2017-01-24 | SELL | 230 | 307.17 | 310.85 | 144.19 | 70,192.91 | 8,352.72 |
| 2017-02-02 | SELL | 231 | 306.5 | 311.53 | 143.99 | 70,345.98 | 8,236.93 |
| 2017-02-12 | BUY | 455 | 307.1 | 614.81 | 289.71 | -140,635.03 | 0 |
| 2017-06-22 | SELL | 455 | 338.8 | 678.28 | 331.83 | 153,143.89 | 12,508.86 |
| 2017-07-16 | BUY | 416 | 365.1 | 668.28 | 311.87 | -152,861.75 | 0 |
| 2017-09-10 | SELL | 208 | 419.87 | 384.26 | 178.57 | 86,769.09 | 10,338.21 |
| 2017-09-11 | SELL | 208 | 426.3 | 390.15 | 180.89 | 88,099.36 | 11,668.49 |
| 2017-10-10 | BUY | 412 | 422 | 765 | 361.15 | -174,990.15 | 0 |
| 2017-11-13 | SELL | 206 | 485.3 | 439.88 | 204.22 | 99,327.7 | 11,832.62 |
| 2017-11-15 | SELL | 206 | 496.76 | 450.27 | 208.14 | 101,674.56 | 14,179.49 |
| 2017-12-06 | BUY | 410 | 487 | 878.55 | 409.24 | -200,957.79 | 0 |
| 2017-12-14 | SELL | 410 | 467.52 | 843.41 | 395.85 | 190,443.94 | -10,513.85 |
| 2017-12-28 | BUY | 403 | 469.4 | 832.34 | 392.78 | -190,393.32 | 0 |
| 2018-05-13 | SELL | 403 | 466 | 826.31 | 390.47 | 186,581.22 | -3,812.1 |
| 2019-01-24 | BUY | 474 | 391.3 | 816.1 | 391.13 | -186,683.43 | 0 |
| 2019-02-13 | SELL | 474 | 388 | 809.21 | 378.66 | 182,724.13 | -3,959.3 |
| 2019-02-27 | BUY | 460 | 394.5 | 798.47 | 371.93 | -182,640.4 | 0 |
| 2019-03-05 | SELL | 460 | 394 | 797.46 | 373.73 | 180,068.81 | -2,571.58 |
| 2019-03-13 | BUY | 457 | 391.7 | 787.63 | 372.33 | -180,166.86 | 0 |
| 2019-03-19 | SELL | 457 | 389 | 782.2 | 371.52 | 176,619.28 | -3,547.58 |
| 2019-06-27 | BUY | 483 | 363.5 | 772.51 | 388.92 | -176,731.93 | 0 |
| 2019-07-03 | SELL | 483 | 364.9 | 775.49 | 388.07 | 175,083.14 | -1,648.79 |
| 2020-08-09 | BUY | 682 | 255 | 765.2 | 360.56 | -175,035.76 | 0 |
| 2020-08-13 | SELL | 682 | 290 | 870.23 | 410.09 | 196,499.68 | 21,463.92 |
| 2020-08-24 | BUY | 662 | 295 | 859.28 | 402.72 | -196,551.99 | 0 |
| 2020-09-08 | SELL | 331 | 339.25 | 494.08 | 228.09 | 111,569.58 | 13,293.58 |
| 2020-09-14 | SELL | 331 | 346.72 | 504.97 | 233.49 | 114,027.19 | 15,751.19 |
| 2020-10-14 | BUY | 673 | 333 | 986.08 | 483.36 | -225,578.44 | 0 |
| 2020-11-23 | SELL | 673 | 319.68 | 946.64 | 476.47 | 213,721.53 | -11,856.9 |
| 2020-12-07 | BUY | 653 | 325.1 | 934.08 | 470.93 | -213,695.31 | 0 |
| 2021-01-04 | SELL | 326 | 373.87 | 536.27 | 251.93 | 121,091.78 | 14,407.75 |
| 2021-01-06 | SELL | 327 | 376 | 540.99 | 253.31 | 122,157.7 | 15,146.42 |
| 2021-01-19 | BUY | 629 | 384.2 | 1,063.31 | 508.03 | -243,233.14 | 0 |
| 2021-01-25 | SELL | 629 | 368.83 | 1,020.78 | 486.4 | 230,488.15 | -12,744.99 |
| 2021-02-07 | BUY | 595 | 385 | 1,007.93 | 484.92 | -230,567.85 | 0 |
| 2021-02-10 | SELL | 595 | 377.7 | 988.82 | 475.14 | 223,267.55 | -7,300.31 |
| 2021-05-12 | BUY | 640 | 346.2 | 974.9 | 504.32 | -223,047.22 | 0 |
| 2021-10-04 | SELL | 640 | 380 | 1,070.08 | 516.69 | 241,613.23 | 18,566.01 |
| 2021-12-06 | BUY | 435 | 362.8 | 694.4 | 361.95 | -158,874.34 | 0 |
| 2021-12-15 | SELL | 435 | 357.3 | 683.87 | 357.18 | 154,384.44 | -4,489.9 |
| 2022-02-07 | BUY | 663 | 355.3 | 1,036.48 | 565.59 | -237,165.97 | 0 |
| 2022-02-22 | SELL | 663 | 355.8 | 1,037.94 | 567.61 | 234,289.85 | -2,876.12 |
| 2024-07-24 | BUY | 938 | 248.2 | 1,024.37 | 540.45 | -234,376.42 | 0 |
| 2024-07-29 | SELL | 938 | 257 | 1,060.69 | 558.63 | 239,446.68 | 5,070.25 |
| 2024-08-15 | BUY | 624 | 381 | 1,046.07 | 486.98 | -239,277.05 | 0 |
| 2024-08-20 | SELL | 624 | 353 | 969.2 | 447.5 | 218,855.31 | -20,421.75 |
| 2024-09-25 | BUY | 627 | 347.1 | 957.58 | 445.39 | -219,034.66 | 0 |
| 2024-10-06 | SELL | 627 | 333.22 | 919.28 | 427.2 | 207,579.96 | -11,454.71 |
| 2024-12-18 | BUY | 644 | 320 | 906.75 | 453.59 | -207,440.34 | 0 |
| 2025-04-27 | SELL | 644 | 307.2 | 870.48 | 481.8 | 196,484.52 | -10,955.82 |
| 2025-07-21 | BUY | 644 | 303 | 858.58 | 452.71 | -196,443.29 | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | SELL | 644 | 306 | 867.08 | 423.82 | 195,773.1 | -670.19 |
| 2025-08-31 | BUY | 634 | 307 | 856.41 | 433.34 | -195,927.75 | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | SELL | 634 | 311.5 | 868.96 | 438.04 | 196,184 | 256.25 |
| 2026-02-16 | BUY | 701 | 278 | 857.46 | 427.63 | -196,163.09 | 0 |