← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

77,233 unique configurations in this batch; 70 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: 3.7%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

Selection used earlier periods; 2024–2026 was replayed afterward. That period was already exposed in earlier research, so it is not a pristine holdout. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return148.6% net return0 positions462 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

#31 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳183,778

Net return 83.8% · drawdown 26.0% · 47 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳78,534

Net return -21.5% · drawdown 23.7% · 8 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳61,230

Net return -38.8% · drawdown 40.1% · 8 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 90 sessions; gate EMA 50; fresh signal only; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 18.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳183,778
Unsettled৳0
Holdings৳0
NAV৳183,778
Realized P&L৳83,778
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳67,378
Friction৳32,605

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳1.46e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #31

103 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2026-02-19SELL701267823.53407.83185,935.64-10,227.45
2026-07-28BUY711259.8812.76408.29-185,938.850
2026-08-02SELL711260813.38413.72183,632.9-2,305.96