← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -15.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#310 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳5,307

Net return -94.7% · drawdown 94.8% · 292 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳61,415

Net return -38.6% · drawdown 55.2% · 60 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳35,369

Net return -64.6% · drawdown 69.7% · 41 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳17
Unsettled৳5,290
Holdings৳0
NAV৳5,307
Realized P&L৳-94,693
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳78,016
Friction৳35,960

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.46e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #310

584 fills, including partial sales. Page 4.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2018-07-29BUY64386.2108.7549.75-24,875.30
2018-08-01SELL64392.9110.6450.6624,984.3109
2018-08-27BUY66377.7109.6850.34-25,088.220
2018-08-30SELL66385.2111.8651.3625,259.98171.76
2018-09-05BUY64389109.5450.27-25,055.820
2018-09-10SELL64380107.0149.0924,163.9-891.92
2018-09-13BUY64378106.4448.85-24,347.30
2018-09-18SELL64368.1103.6647.6523,407.09-940.21
2018-10-01BUY62372.4101.5946.62-23,237.010
2018-10-04SELL62374.9102.2746.9223,094.61-142.41
2018-10-14BUY63365.5101.3246.43-23,174.250
2018-10-17SELL63362.6100.5146.0722,697.22-477.03
2018-10-22BUY62363.899.2445.56-22,700.40
2018-10-25SELL62381103.9447.723,470.36769.96
2018-10-30BUY61383102.847.14-23,512.940
2018-11-04SELL61382102.5347.0323,152.44-360.5
2018-11-07BUY61375100.6546.23-23,021.880
2018-11-12SELL61379101.7246.7722,970.5-51.38
2018-12-24BUY64360101.3846.83-23,188.210
2019-01-01SELL64370104.1948.0823,527.73339.52
2019-01-06BUY63367.7101.9347.01-23,314.040
2019-01-09SELL63382105.8948.6823,911.43597.39
2019-01-14BUY61391104.9448.13-24,004.080
2019-01-17SELL61382102.5346.9823,152.49-851.58
2019-01-22BUY60384101.3846.43-23,187.810
2019-01-27SELL60397104.8147.9623,667.23479.43
2019-01-30BUY57414.4103.9347.47-23,772.20
2019-02-04SELL5739699.3245.3122,427.37-1,344.83
2019-03-21BUY5639998.3144.94-22,487.250
2019-03-31SELL56407100.2845.8822,645.84158.58
2019-04-03BUY5540798.4945.02-22,528.520
2019-04-08SELL5537690.9941.5520,547.46-1,981.06
2019-05-21BUY59347.190.1141.47-20,610.480
2019-05-26SELL5934088.2640.6119,931.13-679.35
2019-05-29BUY5635086.2439.67-19,725.910
2019-06-10SELL56355.187.540.2919,757.8231.9
2019-06-13BUY55360.387.1940.16-19,943.850
2019-06-18SELL55358.386.7139.9519,579.84-364.01
2019-06-23BUY54359.685.4439.35-19,543.190
2019-06-26SELL5436085.5439.3519,315.11-228.08
2019-07-02BUY5236583.5138.38-19,101.90
2019-07-07SELL52358.882.0937.7318,537.77-564.12
2019-07-31BUY57325.181.5437.37-18,649.60
2019-08-06SELL57321.880.7136.9718,224.92-424.68
2019-08-18BUY5731879.7536.53-18,242.280
2019-08-21SELL5732782.0137.618,519.39277.1
2019-08-26BUY58316.780.8237.08-18,486.50
2019-08-29SELL58316.880.8537.118,256.46-230.04
2019-09-15BUY6030580.5236.92-18,417.440
2019-09-18SELL60313.482.7437.9718,683.29265.85
2019-09-23BUY5136181.0137.08-18,529.090
2019-09-26SELL5136080.7836.9318,242.29-286.8
2019-10-01BUY52352.480.6336.84-18,442.270
2019-10-06SELL5234779.3936.2817,928.32-513.95
2019-11-20BUY55323.178.1935.84-17,884.530
2019-11-25SELL5531275.534.5617,049.94-834.59
2019-11-28BUY5332074.6234.12-17,068.750
2019-12-03SELL53311.472.6233.216,398.38-670.36
2020-01-21BUY58279.971.4332.71-16,338.340
2020-01-26SELL5827469.9231.9915,790.09-548.25
2020-01-29BUY58269.768.8331.46-15,742.890
2020-02-03SELL58258.565.9730.1314,896.9-845.99
2020-02-06BUY5626364.829.58-14,822.380
2020-02-11SELL5626064.0629.2414,466.7-355.68
2020-02-16BUY55261.463.2628.87-14,469.130
2020-02-19SELL55266.864.5729.4714,579.96110.83
2020-02-24BUY46319.864.7329.51-14,805.040
2020-02-27SELL46288.158.3126.5713,167.72-1,637.32
2020-06-01BUY50258.556.8725.97-13,007.840
2020-06-04SELL50238.952.5623.9911,868.45-1,139.39
2020-06-11BUY50238.852.5424-12,016.530
2020-07-09SELL50238.852.5424.6911,862.77-153.76
2020-07-14BUY49240.651.8723.82-11,865.090
2020-07-19SELL4924352.3923.9811,830.62-34.47
2020-07-22BUY47246.550.9823.3-11,659.770
2020-07-27SELL47259.953.7524.5312,137.02477.25
2020-07-30BUY4825553.8624.57-12,318.420
2020-08-09SELL4825553.8624.5412,161.6-156.82
2020-08-13BUY4129052.3223.83-11,966.150
2020-08-18SELL41278.450.2222.8711,341.3-624.84
2020-08-23BUY4028750.5123-11,553.520
2020-08-31SELL4031555.4425.2512,519.31965.8
2020-09-03BUY3832253.8424.51-12,314.350
2020-09-09SELL38337.1256.3725.6712,728.53414.18
2020-09-14BUY3635456.0725.54-12,825.610
2020-09-20SELL36339.8453.8324.5212,155.89-669.72
2020-11-10BUY3633352.7524.11-12,064.860
2020-11-17SELL3632952.1123.8411,768.05-296.81
2020-12-08BUY36327.851.9223.74-11,876.460
2020-12-15SELL3635155.625.412,555.01678.54
2020-12-21BUY36341.154.0324.67-12,358.30
2020-12-28SELL36350.555.5225.3512,537.13178.84
2021-01-03BUY3634855.1225.15-12,608.270
2021-01-06SELL3637659.5627.1613,449.28841.01
2021-01-11BUY36373.659.1826.98-13,535.760
2021-01-18SELL3637759.7227.2313,485.05-50.71
2021-01-21BUY3537758.0626.46-13,279.520
2021-01-28SELL35384.459.226.9913,367.8188.29
2021-03-10BUY3835258.8526.86-13,461.710
2021-03-18SELL38344.857.6526.3213,018.43-443.28