← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -15.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#310 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳5,307

Net return -94.7% · drawdown 94.8% · 292 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳61,415

Net return -38.6% · drawdown 55.2% · 60 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳35,369

Net return -64.6% · drawdown 69.7% · 41 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳17
Unsettled৳5,290
Holdings৳0
NAV৳5,307
Realized P&L৳-94,693
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳78,016
Friction৳35,960

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳5.46e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #310

584 fills, including partial sales. Page 5.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2021-03-23BUY38341.757.1326.1-13,067.830
2021-03-31SELL38334.555.9325.5612,629.51-438.32
2021-04-11BUY3832854.8425.08-12,543.930
2021-04-15SELL3834257.1826.1812,912.64368.72
2021-04-20BUY39336.357.7126.43-13,199.840
2021-04-27SELL3934058.3426.7513,174.9-24.94
2021-05-02BUY3834157.0226.17-13,041.190
2021-05-09SELL3833556.0125.6912,648.3-392.88
2021-05-16BUY36346.654.925.14-12,557.640
2021-05-23SELL36342.954.3224.8412,265.24-292.4
2021-05-27BUY35344.853.124.28-12,145.380
2021-06-03SELL35346.953.4224.4112,063.67-81.71
2021-06-08BUY3534553.1324.28-12,152.410
2021-06-15SELL35347.453.524.4512,081.05-71.36
2021-07-05BUY35349.453.8124.6-12,307.410
2021-07-13SELL35357.455.0425.1712,428.79121.38
2021-07-18BUY3435853.5624.48-12,250.040
2021-07-28SELL3436554.624.9512,330.4580.41
2021-08-03BUY3337254.0124.66-12,354.670
2021-08-11SELL33357.1251.8523.6511,709.46-645.21
2021-09-07BUY31372.550.8123.18-11,621.490
2021-09-13SELL31388.8653.0424.211,977.54356.05
2021-09-16BUY32379.253.3924.35-12,212.150
2021-09-23SELL32383.954.0524.6512,206.1-6.05
2021-11-09BUY34355.553.1824.32-12,164.50
2021-11-16SELL34361.954.1424.812,225.6661.17
2021-11-21BUY33360.552.3424-11,972.840
2021-11-28SELL3336052.2724.0311,803.69-169.15
2021-12-05BUY3335952.1323.95-11,923.080
2021-12-12SELL3336052.2724.0511,803.67-119.41
2022-01-10BUY34350.152.3724.02-11,979.790
2022-01-13SELL34357.153.4224.4912,063.4983.7
2022-01-18BUY3336052.2723.96-11,956.230
2022-01-25SELL3335952.1323.911,770.97-185.26
2022-02-09BUY32359.550.6223.24-11,577.850
2022-02-16SELL3235750.2723.0911,350.64-227.21
2022-03-20BUY3532650.222.97-11,483.180
2022-03-23SELL3532850.5123.1311,406.36-76.82
2022-03-28BUY34329.949.3522.62-11,288.570
2022-03-31SELL34329.749.3222.6111,137.87-150.7
2022-04-05BUY35325.150.0722.98-11,451.550
2022-04-10SELL35324.7502311,291.5-160.05
2022-04-13BUY3432648.7722.45-11,155.220
2022-04-19SELL3432047.8722.0210,810.11-345.11
2022-04-24BUY33324.147.0621.6-10,763.960
2022-04-27SELL33326.447.3921.7510,702.06-61.9
2022-05-08BUY33320.146.4821.29-10,631.070
2022-05-11SELL33320.546.5421.310,508.67-122.4
2022-05-31BUY3431046.3821.2-10,607.580
2022-06-05SELL34306.945.9121.0110,367.68-239.9
2022-06-08BUY3330844.7220.45-10,229.170
2022-06-13SELL3330744.5820.4110,066.01-163.16
2022-06-16BUY33304.544.2120.28-10,112.990
2022-06-21SELL33304.144.1620.259,970.9-142.09
2022-06-26BUY33304.544.2120.27-10,112.990
2022-06-29SELL33302.843.9720.149,928.3-184.69
2022-07-25BUY34286.942.9219.58-9,817.10
2022-07-28SELL34289.443.2919.759,776.56-40.55
2022-08-02BUY33298.943.419.8-9,926.90
2022-08-07SELL3330043.5619.899,836.55-90.35
2022-08-14BUY3428843.0819.67-9,854.750
2022-08-21SELL3428742.9419.599,695.48-159.28
2022-08-30BUY32295.241.5618.96-9,506.930
2022-09-04SELL3229541.5418.959,379.52-127.41
2022-09-07BUY33288.541.8919.11-9,581.50
2022-09-12SELL33286.941.6619.019,407.03-174.47
2022-09-15BUY3228740.4118.45-9,242.860
2022-09-20SELL32287.240.4418.479,131.49-111.37
2022-09-25BUY32286.640.3518.44-9,229.990
2022-10-02SELL32286.640.3518.459,112.39-117.6
2024-04-01BUY37242.839.5318.03-9,041.160
2024-04-04SELL37239.639.0117.818,808.39-232.77
2024-04-15BUY3724139.2317.94-8,974.170
2024-04-18SELL37236.138.4417.588,679.68-294.49
2024-04-23BUY36233.63716.96-8,463.560
2024-04-28SELL3623537.2217.078,405.71-57.85
2024-05-02BUY3623637.3817.14-8,550.520
2024-05-07SELL36241.838.317.568,648.9498.42
2024-05-12BUY3623937.8617.33-8,659.190
2024-05-15SELL36238.537.7817.38,530.92-128.26
2024-06-05BUY37225.136.6516.81-8,382.160
2024-06-10SELL3723037.4417.268,455.373.14
2024-06-12BUY12220.980.44-223.420
2024-06-20SELL1223.90.990.45222.47-0.95
2024-06-23BUY36228.836.2416.63-8,289.670
2024-06-26SELL36229.936.4216.78,223.28-66.39
2024-06-27BUY1236.21.040.47-237.710
2024-07-03SELL1239.91.060.48238.360.65
2024-07-04BUY34240.235.9316.45-8,219.190
2024-07-09SELL34248.837.2217.038,404.95185.76
2024-07-10BUY12501.10.5-251.60
2024-07-15SELL1245.91.080.49244.33-7.27
2024-07-16BUY3424736.9516.9-8,451.850
2024-07-25SELL34248.137.1216.978,381.32-70.54
2024-07-28BUY1254.11.120.51-255.730
2024-07-31SELL12481.090.5246.41-9.31
2024-08-01BUY33254.736.9816.91-8,458.990
2024-08-11SELL33345.650.1822.9611,331.662,872.67
2024-08-15BUY3038150.2922.89-11,503.180
2024-08-20SELL3035346.621.210,522.21-980.97