← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -17.4%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#317 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳3,987

Net return -96.0% · drawdown 96.1% · 301 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳48,028

Net return -52.0% · drawdown 52.0% · 58 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳24,105

Net return -75.9% · drawdown 75.9% · 43 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 10 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 5.0%, distance 2.0%; partial sale at 15.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳139
Unsettled৳3,847
Holdings৳0
NAV৳3,987
Realized P&L৳-96,013
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳72,725
Friction৳33,466

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳2.22e-10. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #317

603 fills, including partial sales. Page 5.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2020-08-09SELL12551.120.51253.37-7.29
2020-08-10BUY43271.551.3723.4-11,749.270
2020-08-16SELL4329455.6225.3412,561.03811.76
2020-08-17BUY1292.41.290.58-294.270
2020-08-20SELL12851.250.57283.18-11.1
2020-08-24BUY4229554.5224.83-12,469.340
2020-09-02SELL42318.658.8826.8113,295.43826.08
2020-09-03BUY13221.420.64-324.060
2020-09-09SELL1337.121.480.67334.9610.9
2020-09-10BUY38344.957.6726.26-13,190.130
2020-09-21SELL38331.155.3625.2112,501.38-688.75
2020-10-14BUY3933357.1426.09-13,070.230
2020-10-29SELL39329.556.5425.8412,768.12-302.12
2020-11-08BUY37336.254.7325.02-12,519.150
2020-11-22SELL3732753.2424.3412,021.42-497.73
2020-12-07BUY37325.152.9324.21-12,105.830
2020-12-17SELL37350.7457.126.0812,894.28788.44
2020-12-29BUY3635355.9225.52-12,789.430
2021-01-05SELL36368.4858.3726.6213,180.29390.86
2021-01-10BUY36366.358.0226.45-13,271.280
2021-01-19SELL36383.1860.727.6713,706.11434.84
2021-02-07BUY3538559.2927.04-13,561.330
2021-02-10SELL35377.758.1726.5313,134.81-426.53
2021-03-07BUY39340.358.426.65-13,356.740
2021-03-10SELL39351.8260.3727.5513,633.06276.31
2021-03-15BUY3934759.5527.18-13,619.730
2021-03-31SELL39334.557.426.2412,961.86-657.87
2021-04-08BUY4032557.226.15-13,083.350
2021-04-13SELL4033058.0826.5913,115.3331.98
2021-04-19BUY38341.957.1726.17-13,075.540
2021-05-03SELL3834257.1826.2612,912.55-162.99
2021-05-12BUY37346.256.3625.82-12,891.580
2021-05-30SELL37348.456.7225.9412,808.14-83.44
2021-06-02BUY36346.554.8925.08-12,553.970
2021-06-16SELL3634855.1225.212,447.68-106.29
2021-06-29BUY36346.254.8425.08-12,543.120
2021-07-18SELL3635856.7125.9312,805.36262.24
2021-07-26BUY35363.555.9825.59-12,804.060
2021-08-12SELL3536656.3625.7112,727.93-76.14
2021-08-25BUY34369.955.3425.24-12,657.180
2021-09-09SELL34384.357.4926.2412,982.47325.29
2021-09-14BUY34385.257.6326.3-13,180.730
2021-09-28SELL34384.957.5826.2613,002.76-177.97
2021-11-03BUY36356.656.4925.8-12,919.890
2021-11-08SELL3635556.2325.7212,698.05-221.84
2021-11-11BUY36354.756.1825.72-12,851.110
2021-11-25SELL36360.157.0426.2512,880.3129.21
2021-11-30BUY3536355.925.77-12,786.680
2021-12-05SELL3535955.2925.4212,484.29-302.38
2021-12-08BUY34362.254.1924.92-12,393.910
2021-12-15SELL34357.353.4524.5812,070.17-323.74
2022-01-02BUY3435052.3624.06-11,976.420
2022-01-05SELL34350.352.424.0811,833.72-142.7
2022-01-10BUY34350.152.3724.02-11,979.790
2022-01-13SELL34357.153.4224.4912,063.4983.7
2022-01-18BUY3336052.2723.96-11,956.230
2022-01-30SELL3335251.1123.4211,541.47-414.76
2022-02-07BUY33355.351.5923.68-11,800.170
2022-02-22SELL33355.851.6623.7211,666.02-134.16
2022-03-14BUY35329.950.823.25-11,620.560
2022-03-20SELL3532650.222.9711,336.82-283.73
2022-03-23BUY3432849.0722.46-11,223.530
2022-03-28SELL34329.949.3522.6211,144.63-78.9
2022-03-31BUY34329.749.3222.61-11,281.730
2022-04-05SELL34325.148.6322.3210,982.45-299.28
2022-04-18BUY33323.146.9121.59-10,730.80
2022-04-21SELL33322.146.7721.4710,561.06-169.74
2022-04-26BUY3332747.4821.79-10,860.270
2022-05-05SELL33320.146.4821.2910,495.54-364.73
2022-05-30BUY3331045.0120.58-10,295.590
2022-06-02SELL33309.544.9420.5510,148.01-147.58
2022-06-07BUY33307.344.6220.4-10,205.920
2022-06-12SELL3330644.4320.3310,033.24-172.69
2022-06-15BUY32307.843.3419.86-9,912.80
2022-06-20SELL3230643.0819.769,729.16-183.64
2022-06-23BUY3230542.9419.69-9,822.630
2022-06-28SELL32303.142.6819.559,636.97-185.66
2022-07-18BUY33289.842.0819.2-9,624.680
2022-07-21SELL33287.541.7519.049,426.71-197.97
2022-07-26BUY33289.442.0219.17-9,611.390
2022-07-31SELL33287.341.7219.039,420.15-191.23
2022-08-03BUY31301.241.0818.74-9,397.020
2022-08-08SELL31302.941.3218.869,329.72-67.3
2022-08-30BUY31295.240.2718.37-9,209.830
2022-09-04SELL3129540.2418.359,086.41-123.42
2022-09-15BUY3128739.1517.87-8,954.020
2022-09-20SELL31287.239.1717.898,846.13-107.88
2022-09-25BUY31286.639.0917.86-8,941.550
2022-10-02SELL31286.639.0917.878,827.63-113.92
2024-03-21BUY3724139.2317.91-8,974.140
2024-03-27SELL3724439.7218.128,970.15-3.99
2024-04-01BUY36242.838.4617.54-8,796.80
2024-04-04SELL36239.637.9517.328,570.32-226.47
2024-04-15BUY3624138.1717.45-8,731.620
2024-04-18SELL36236.137.417.118,445.1-286.53
2024-04-23BUY36233.63716.96-8,463.560
2024-04-28SELL3623537.2217.078,405.71-57.85
2024-05-02BUY3523636.3416.66-8,3130
2024-05-07SELL35241.837.2417.078,408.795.69
2024-05-12BUY3523936.8116.84-8,418.650