← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -18.1%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#319 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳3,426

Net return -96.6% · drawdown 96.6% · 307 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳62,912

Net return -37.1% · drawdown 54.1% · 59 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳35,369

Net return -64.6% · drawdown 69.7% · 41 closed positions

Variant 0; fixed stop 4.0%; maximum 5 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳60
Unsettled৳3,366
Holdings৳0
NAV৳3,426
Realized P&L৳-96,574
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳76,059
Friction৳35,053

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳9.87e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #319

614 fills, including partial sales. Page 4.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2017-10-25BUY4944094.8643.33-21,698.20
2017-10-30SELL4944295.343.5421,519.17-179.03
2017-11-02BUY49438.294.4843.17-21,609.450
2017-11-07SELL49443.6295.6443.721,597.99-11.46
2017-11-12BUY47457.594.6143.21-21,640.320
2017-11-15SELL47500103.447.1823,349.421,709.1
2017-11-20BUY47489.5101.2346.17-23,153.90
2017-11-27SELL47479.299.145.1922,378.11-775.79
2018-01-03BUY4648197.3544.47-22,267.830
2018-01-10SELL4647295.5343.6421,572.82-695
2018-01-17BUY45477.294.4943.15-21,611.640
2018-01-24SELL45503.899.7545.5422,525.7914.07
2018-01-29BUY44505.397.8344.63-22,375.660
2018-02-05SELL4449696.0343.7921,684.19-691.47
2018-04-04BUY4547894.6443.32-21,647.970
2018-04-11SELL45483.295.6743.7921,604.53-43.43
2018-04-16BUY45484.295.8743.89-21,928.760
2018-04-22SELL4549097.0244.4121,908.57-20.19
2018-04-25BUY46474.996.1243.97-21,985.490
2018-05-07SELL46464.193.9342.9121,211.76-773.73
2018-06-24BUY5240592.6642.29-21,194.950
2018-06-27SELL5240091.5241.7420,666.74-528.21
2018-07-03BUY5438190.5341.28-20,705.810
2018-07-08SELL5438791.9541.9420,764.1158.3
2018-07-11BUY5438090.2941.18-20,651.470
2018-07-16SELL5439092.6642.2820,925.06273.59
2018-07-19BUY52401.591.8641.91-21,011.770
2018-07-24SELL52395.490.4741.320,429.03-582.74
2018-07-29BUY52386.288.3640.37-20,211.130
2018-08-01SELL52392.989.941.120,299.888.67
2018-08-27BUY54377.789.7441.12-20,526.660
2018-08-30SELL54385.291.5241.9420,667.33140.68
2018-09-05BUY523898940.77-20,357.780
2018-09-10SELL5238086.9439.8219,633.24-724.54
2018-09-13BUY5237886.4939.62-19,782.110
2018-09-18SELL52368.184.2238.6419,018.34-763.77
2018-10-01BUY51372.483.5738.29-19,114.250
2018-10-04SELL51374.984.1338.5318,997.24-117.01
2018-10-14BUY52365.583.6338.27-19,127.90
2018-10-17SELL52362.682.9637.9718,734.27-393.63
2018-10-22BUY51363.881.6437.41-18,672.850
2018-10-25SELL5138185.539.1719,306.33633.49
2018-10-30BUY5038384.2638.58-19,272.840
2018-11-04SELL5038284.0438.4918,977.47-295.37
2018-11-07BUY5037582.537.82-18,870.320
2018-11-12SELL5037983.3838.2618,828.36-41.96
2018-12-24BUY5236082.3737.94-18,840.30
2019-01-01SELL5237084.6638.9519,116.39276.09
2019-01-06BUY52367.784.1338.71-19,243.240
2019-01-09SELL5238287.440.119,736.49493.26
2019-01-14BUY5039186.0239.39-19,675.410
2019-01-17SELL5038284.0438.4518,977.51-697.9
2019-01-22BUY4938482.7937.87-18,936.660
2019-01-27SELL4939785.5939.1219,328.29391.63
2019-01-30BUY46414.483.8738.27-19,184.550
2019-02-04SELL4639680.1536.5418,099.31-1,085.24
2019-03-21BUY453997936.07-18,070.070
2019-03-27SELL45406.480.4736.7518,170.56100.48
2019-04-01BUY44409.279.2236.2-18,120.220
2019-04-04SELL4439977.2535.2617,443.49-676.73
2019-05-21BUY51347.177.8935.79-17,815.780
2019-05-26SELL5134076.335.0517,228.66-587.12
2019-05-29BUY4835073.9233.95-16,907.870
2019-06-10SELL48355.17534.4716,935.3327.47
2019-06-13BUY47360.374.5134.25-17,042.860
2019-06-18SELL47358.374.134.0716,731.93-310.93
2019-06-23BUY46359.672.7833.46-16,647.840
2019-06-26SELL4636072.8633.4616,453.67-194.17
2019-07-02BUY4536572.2733.17-16,530.440
2019-07-07SELL45358.871.0432.616,042.35-488.08
2019-07-31BUY49325.170.0932.09-16,032.080
2019-08-06SELL49321.869.3831.7515,667.07-365
2019-08-18BUY4931868.5631.37-15,681.930
2019-08-21SELL4932770.532.2815,920.21238.29
2019-08-26BUY50316.769.6731.92-15,936.60
2019-08-29SELL50316.869.731.9415,738.37-198.23
2019-09-15BUY5130568.4431.34-15,654.780
2019-09-18SELL51313.470.3332.2315,880.84226.06
2019-09-23BUY4436169.8931.96-15,985.850
2019-09-26SELL4436069.731.8315,738.47-247.38
2019-10-01BUY44352.468.2231.15-15,604.970
2019-10-06SELL4434767.1830.6815,170.14-434.83
2019-11-20BUY47323.166.8230.59-15,283.110
2019-11-25SELL4731264.5229.514,569.98-713.13
2019-11-28BUY4532063.3628.95-14,492.310
2019-12-03SELL45311.461.6628.1613,923.18-569.13
2020-01-21BUY50279.961.5828.17-14,084.750
2020-01-26SELL5027460.2827.5513,612.17-472.58
2020-01-29BUY50269.759.3327.1-13,571.430
2020-02-03SELL50258.556.8725.9612,842.17-729.26
2020-02-06BUY4926356.725.87-12,969.570
2020-02-11SELL4926056.0625.5712,658.37-311.2
2020-02-16BUY48261.455.2125.18-12,627.590
2020-02-19SELL48266.856.3525.7112,724.3496.76
2020-02-24BUY39319.854.8825.01-12,552.080
2020-02-27SELL39288.149.4422.5211,163.94-1,388.14
2020-06-01BUY43258.548.9122.32-11,186.730
2020-06-04SELL43238.945.220.6210,206.88-979.85
2020-06-11BUY43238.845.1820.62-10,334.210
2020-07-09SELL43238.845.1821.1410,202.08-132.13