← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

9,400,320 unique configurations in this batch; 3315 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer, 4 CPU threads.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -18.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 51 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Every individual rule family

Which indicators produce the strongest historical settings?

51/51 families complete · 184,320 parameter configurations per family · full declared single-rule grid finished

Grid complete
FamilyMaximum historical NAVClosed positionsSame setting: recent stress NAVProfitable settingsInspect
Flow: Ease of Movement৳450,0338৳127,18330,526 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: NVI৳390,12711৳105,74743,689 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Accumulation persistence৳359,22441৳120,38032,640 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: RVOL percentile৳353,24413৳162,50818,868 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Volume confirmation৳347,78115৳129,3399,274 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Breakout confirmation৳337,45242৳110,70011,997 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Bollinger breakout৳315,96014৳116,34611,999 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: OBV slope৳301,20730৳140,57715,991 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Signed imbalance৳301,20730৳140,57715,991 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Turnover shock৳297,22242৳89,71313,754 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Volume z-score৳292,51834৳95,59614,055 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: VWAP pressure৳291,6579৳101,36469,788 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Price-volume divergence৳289,52628৳113,66818,692 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Support rebound৳283,53522৳80,64542,237 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Force Index৳279,66935৳105,55818,844 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: RVOL৳277,16035৳96,50211,370 / 184,320Rules & fills →
RSI corridor৳275,88338৳133,93625,111 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Traded value৳275,36617৳101,29921,390 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: VPT৳271,29524৳114,09912,350 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Volume Profile POC৳270,86413৳92,24917,592 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Amihud৳268,87743৳69,58638,276 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: OBV৳264,87329৳145,58114,391 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Donchian breakout৳260,34639৳123,36137,063 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: VWAP৳255,90534৳111,0529,010 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Gap pressure৳250,90313৳118,6079,064 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Klinger Oscillator৳244,05835৳101,2024,692 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Accumulation streak৳241,06141৳88,56912,536 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: PVI৳239,64125৳119,99510,240 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: CMF৳239,18643৳150,06410,679 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: OBV divergence৳238,33163৳88,80411,528 / 184,320Rules & fills →
MFI corridor৳234,74053৳106,7794,697 / 184,320Rules & fills →
EMA 50/200৳231,49621৳108,89921,101 / 184,320Rules & fills →
EMA 8/128৳226,69720৳110,1418,947 / 184,320Rules & fills →
MACD৳221,59838৳122,15910,659 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Volume concentration৳213,15317৳77,56512,055 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Anchored VWAP৳210,42944৳114,9925,071 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: VPT acceleration৳210,38542৳96,2666,600 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: ADL slope৳204,89811৳121,8697,206 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Chaikin Oscillator৳202,03057৳99,6888,676 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Pressure regime৳200,55730৳106,8271,588 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: MFI৳199,75130৳62,4787,420 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Compression breakout৳199,4399৳90,49450,276 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Volatility adjusted flow৳198,61366৳84,3153,069 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Custom DMI৳197,47158৳123,08713,788 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: Range flow৳192,20145৳105,29419,188 / 184,320Rules & fills →
AO momentum৳188,23226৳125,53811,268 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Kalman milestone৳180,09571৳114,16911,008 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Candle confirmation৳171,37223৳81,2315,016 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Five-year profile POC৳151,2747৳75,61810,384 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Flow: ADL৳143,85424৳85,5512,441 / 184,320Rules & fills →
Confluence৳100,0000৳100,0000 / 184,320Rules & fills →

Each family is ranked using its own maximum full-history NAV. These settings were chosen retrospectively. The count of profitable settings is not a probability of future profit. Combination strategies are a separate search space.

Verification and duplicate signals

9,400,320 stored configurations checked across 51 families. 509 selected configurations were replayed serially; maximum difference: 0. All 3,315 detailed finalist ledgers reconciled. Recorded failures: 0.

The 51 catalog families produced 50 distinct GP signal-mask sets. Flow: OBV slope = Flow: Signed imbalance had identical observed signals. Parameter counts are not counts of independent ideas.

Challenge the profit leader

Flow: Ease of Movement: how concentrated are the gains?

Completed positions8
Largest win: share of realized gains34.9%
Top three wins: share of realized gains78.5%

Shares use the sum of realized gains on winning positions; they do not describe the return of a strategy with those trades removed. All diagnostics reuse the exposed historical data.

full normal৳450,033Drawdown 35.9%
full double costs / T+5৳414,663Drawdown 35.9%
full triple costs / T+5৳381,630Drawdown 36.1%
full half participation cap৳386,768Drawdown 35.9%
recent normal৳128,853Drawdown 28.5%
recent double costs / T+5৳127,183Drawdown 28.4%
full extra-session signal delay৳449,962Drawdown 35.9%
What if you started later?

Each row starts a separate ৳100,000 account and ends on 13 October 2026. The rows cannot be added into one portfolio.

Start 2009-11-16৳450,0338 closed positions
Start 2012-01-01৳383,4147 closed positions
Start 2015-01-01৳217,0005 closed positions
Start 2018-01-01৳125,9183 closed positions
Start 2021-01-03৳122,4972 closed positions
Start 2024-01-01৳128,8531 closed positions

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return350.0% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 93 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
427৳787৳25,792Rules & trades →
424৳1,097৳25,792Rules & trades →
421৳1,228৳25,792Rules & trades →
413৳1,783৳23,499Rules & trades →
407৳2,302৳23,499Rules & trades →
406৳2,320৳23,499Rules & trades →
404৳2,549৳23,499Rules & trades →
403৳2,646৳23,499Rules & trades →
401৳2,945৳23,499Rules & trades →
399৳3,250৳23,499Rules & trades →
393৳3,275৳23,499Rules & trades →
381৳3,641৳29,502Rules & trades →
379৳3,718৳27,745Rules & trades →
373৳3,724৳30,351Rules & trades →
371৳3,732৳28,986Rules & trades →
370৳3,748৳28,986Rules & trades →
369৳4,354৳28,986Rules & trades →
368৳4,894৳30,824Rules & trades →
365৳4,990৳32,033Rules & trades →
357৳4,997৳32,033Rules & trades →
356৳5,218৳28,837Rules & trades →
354৳5,221৳25,150Rules & trades →
334৳5,329৳30,036Rules & trades →
333৳5,419৳36,559Rules & trades →
332৳5,784৳36,559Rules & trades →
330৳6,774৳24,060Rules & trades →
322৳8,326৳23,926Rules & trades →
318৳9,371৳58,936Rules & trades →
310৳10,141৳51,727Rules & trades →
307৳10,511৳51,727Rules & trades →
304৳15,178৳58,936Rules & trades →
279৳20,779৳54,998Rules & trades →
278৳21,564৳54,275Rules & trades →
275৳21,636৳63,154Rules & trades →
274৳26,273৳63,206Rules & trades →
273৳29,419৳62,712Rules & trades →
256৳29,590৳55,742Rules & trades →
255৳31,882৳55,742Rules & trades →
254৳33,027৳71,757Rules & trades →
253৳43,846৳60,759Rules & trades →
243৳50,962৳61,920Rules & trades →
222৳51,791৳67,184Rules & trades →
211৳53,155৳38,370Rules & trades →
182৳53,269৳73,871Rules & trades →
180৳57,215৳80,303Rules & trades →
179৳61,425৳67,612Rules & trades →
178৳64,345৳78,839Rules & trades →
174৳71,910৳75,863Rules & trades →
168৳76,436৳74,795Rules & trades →
164৳76,786৳83,870Rules & trades →
151৳78,693৳48,065Rules & trades →
149৳81,870৳48,065Rules & trades →
147৳83,715৳51,784Rules & trades →
146৳84,726৳50,158Rules & trades →
145৳85,728৳51,194Rules & trades →
144৳91,007৳49,551Rules & trades →
143৳96,356৳49,551Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
122৳102,600৳91,283Rules & trades →
120৳105,023৳82,755Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
114৳112,924৳52,842Rules & trades →
113৳126,750৳90,739Rules & trades →
109৳138,974৳102,356Rules & trades →
106৳146,851৳95,338Rules & trades →
105৳153,643৳95,031Rules & trades →
104৳160,541৳98,869Rules & trades →
103৳163,825৳101,081Rules & trades →
100৳171,166৳100,173Rules & trades →
99৳174,900৳102,408Rules & trades →
93৳176,438৳104,720Rules & trades →
91৳185,425৳103,784Rules & trades →
89৳203,081৳106,103Rules & trades →
78৳216,647৳117,604Rules & trades →
72৳219,750৳116,611Rules & trades →
70৳248,900৳121,502Rules & trades →
57৳287,506৳123,512Rules & trades →
47৳307,724৳112,431Rules & trades →
44৳310,063৳67,382Rules & trades →
43৳336,818৳116,030Rules & trades →
42৳337,452৳110,700Rules & trades →
41৳359,224৳120,380Rules & trades →
20৳361,179৳129,192Rules & trades →
18৳364,644৳142,912Rules & trades →
17৳388,758৳142,912Rules & trades →
16৳401,243৳142,912Rules & trades →
8৳450,033৳127,183Rules & trades →

#3201 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳2,920

Net return -97.1% · drawdown 97.1% · 309 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳41,812

Net return -58.2% · drawdown 58.2% · 58 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳27,144

Net return -72.9% · drawdown 72.9% · 42 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 15 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳34
Unsettled৳2,885
Holdings৳0
NAV৳2,920
Realized P&L৳-97,080
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳68,040
Friction৳31,284

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳6.55e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #3201

618 fills, including partial sales. Page 2.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2013-02-11BUY231165.9168.6278.14-38,569.660
2013-02-14SELL231167.9170.6578.938,535.35-34.31
2013-03-14BUY262145.9168.1978.72-38,472.710
2013-03-20SELL262145.6167.8578.9737,900.38-572.33
2013-03-27BUY26214416678.6-37,972.60
2013-04-01SELL262146.2168.5480.1738,055.6983.09
2013-04-04BUY256147.4166.0378.8-37,979.230
2013-04-09SELL256146.5165.0278.337,260.68-718.55
2013-04-15BUY253146.7163.3177.42-37,355.820
2013-04-18SELL253145.1161.5376.636,472.18-883.65
2013-04-30BUY252143.8159.4575.98-36,473.020
2013-05-06SELL252145.9161.7777.4936,527.5354.51
2013-05-09BUY245148.3159.8776.48-36,569.850
2013-05-14SELL245157.4169.6880.9938,312.331,742.48
2013-05-20BUY229166.2167.4679.05-38,306.310
2013-05-26SELL229163.7164.9477.1737,245.19-1,061.12
2013-05-30BUY213173.7162.7975.61-37,236.50
2013-06-04SELL213177.41166.2777.0337,544.61308.11
2013-06-09BUY211176.5163.8675.48-37,480.840
2013-06-12SELL211178.1165.3576.0337,337.72-143.12
2013-06-26BUY194191.6163.5575.02-37,408.970
2013-07-02SELL194183.9156.9871.9135,447.71-1,961.26
2013-07-14BUY166211.5154.4870.53-35,334.010
2013-07-17SELL166232.5169.8277.4638,347.733,013.71
2013-08-21BUY194196.1167.3976.41-38,287.20
2013-08-26SELL194210.5179.6882.1440,575.172,287.97
2013-09-02BUY188214.7177.681.1-40,622.30
2013-09-05SELL188212175.3780.0339,600.61-1,021.7
2013-10-06BUY212185.7173.2279.38-39,6210
2013-10-10SELL212181.4169.2177.8438,209.75-1,411.25
2013-10-23BUY207183.2166.8677.2-38,166.460
2013-10-28SELL207189.3172.4179.9738,932.71766.26
2013-10-31BUY202192170.6579.25-39,033.90
2013-11-05SELL202194.6172.9680.1339,056.1122.21
2013-11-10BUY197196.8170.5978.75-39,018.940
2013-11-13SELL197194.6168.6877.7438,089.78-929.15
2013-11-21BUY180209.9166.2476.21-38,024.450
2013-11-26SELL180200158.472.535,769.1-2,255.34
2013-12-10BUY174204.6156.6471.69-35,828.730
2014-01-06SELL174206.4158.0272.7535,682.83-145.89
2014-01-09BUY170208.7156.1171.85-35,706.960
2014-01-15SELL170204.5152.9770.3834,541.65-1,165.31
2014-01-20BUY166207.1151.2769.54-34,599.410
2014-01-23SELL166210.67153.8770.6934,746.98147.58
2014-01-28BUY163210.9151.2669.4-34,597.350
2014-02-02SELL163211.4151.6269.534,237.09-360.27
2014-02-26BUY162210.4149.9768.65-34,303.420
2014-03-03SELL162220.3157.0371.8535,459.721,156.3
2014-03-06BUY164214.7154.9370.85-35,436.580
2014-03-11SELL164212.8153.5670.2334,675.42-761.16
2014-04-01BUY160215.7151.8569.56-34,733.410
2014-04-06SELL160224.73158.2172.5135,726.08992.68
2014-04-09BUY143247.9155.9871.27-35,676.940
2014-04-15SELL143259.38163.274.5136,853.631,176.69
2014-04-20BUY146250.3160.7973.35-36,777.950
2014-04-23SELL146265.2170.3677.7238,471.111,693.17
2014-04-28BUY146262.8168.8276.96-38,614.580
2014-05-04SELL146262.9168.8976.9738,137.54-477.04
2014-06-01BUY137275.4166.0175.88-37,971.690
2014-06-04SELL137295.9178.3781.4940,278.442,306.76
2014-06-09BUY139289.3176.9480.87-40,470.510
2014-06-15SELL139299.97183.4683.8341,428.54958.03
2014-06-18BUY135303.3180.1682.26-41,207.920
2014-07-10SELL135297.3176.680.739,878.2-1,329.72
2014-08-04BUY128310.8175.0480.01-40,037.460
2014-08-10SELL128327.69184.5684.2841,675.481,638.02
2014-08-13BUY122339.2182.0883.08-41,647.560
2014-08-19SELL122338.2181.5582.8140,996.05-651.52
2014-09-04BUY120338.1178.5281.42-40,831.930
2014-09-16SELL120345.7182.5383.3641,218.11386.18
2014-09-23BUY108380.7180.9182.58-41,379.090
2014-09-28SELL108395.8188.0985.8542,472.681,093.59
2014-10-01BUY110384.2185.9584.84-42,532.790
2014-10-29SELL110374.6181.3182.6940,942-1,590.79
2014-12-04BUY115352.6178.4281.8-40,809.210
2014-12-10SELL115358.08181.1983.1540,915.21105.99
2014-12-18BUY116350.8179.0582.2-40,954.050
2014-12-23SELL116354.92181.1583.2940,905.7-48.34
2014-12-29BUY114356.5178.8282.29-40,902.110
2015-01-07SELL114364182.5884.1641,229.26327.15
2015-02-05BUY120340179.5282.75-41,062.270
2015-02-10SELL120343181.183.4640,895.43-166.84
2015-02-15BUY117350180.1882.96-41,213.140
2015-03-04SELL117329169.3777.9238,245.71-2,967.43
2015-03-16BUY113334166.0676.39-37,984.460
2015-03-22SELL113337.5167.8177.0737,892.62-91.84
2015-03-25BUY112338166.5776.49-38,099.060
2015-03-31SELL112354.9174.8980.1439,493.761,394.7
2015-04-05BUY112348171.4978.48-39,225.970
2015-04-08SELL112352173.4779.3639,171.17-54.8
2015-05-06BUY117333.9171.8978.93-39,317.120
2015-05-11SELL117330169.8878.0138,362.11-955.01
2015-05-14BUY117326.9168.2977.29-38,492.880
2015-05-19SELL117333.8171.847938,803.76310.88
2015-05-24BUY118326169.2677.78-38,715.040
2015-05-27SELL118329.9171.2878.6838,678.23-36.81
2015-06-04BUY117329.1169.4277.57-38,751.690
2015-06-09SELL117324.3166.9576.4237,699.73-1,051.96
2015-06-14BUY112335165.0975.49-37,760.580
2015-06-22SELL112328.9162.0874.0936,600.62-1,159.96