← Strategy Research Lab
Experiment log · GP

Searching for profit that survives costs

1,105,920 unique configurations in this batch; 352 finalists received full and recent stress replays. Starting cash: ৳100,000. Data through 2026-10-13. Compute: local connected computer.

Full historical period: 2009-11-16 → 2026-10-13 (16.9 years). Selected finalist annualized return: -18.9%. This annualized figure describes the historical raw-price simulation.

All settings were tested for 6 fixed rule sets in the declared grid. The maximum is proven only within that finite historical grid. Full and recent-period results were used to select finalists, so those returns are in-sample. No global maximum across all possible strategies has been established. Corporate-action adjustments remain incomplete.

Verified finite search

Does the winner survive small changes?

Grid maximum NAV৳443,253
Nearby profitable settings25/25
Neighbour median NAV৳376,531
One extra session delay৳260,512

Stops and maximum holding periods varied by ±10% and ±20%. 25/25 nearby settings also had positive recent stress returns. Nearby full-history NAV ranged from ৳262,794 to ৳443,253. This is parameter sensitivity on the same historical data, not independent validation.

1× modeled trading costs৳443,253
1.5× modeled trading costs৳408,239
2× modeled trading costs৳377,450
3× modeled trading costs৳322,271

1,105,920 grid accounts and 352 detailed finalist ledgers checked. Reconciliation failures: 0.

Choose profit with more trades

Jump to the highest historical NAV that meets a minimum completed-position count. The saved frontier covers this trade-off.

Profit versus completed positions

Each dot is a finalist. Horizontal = full-history completed positions; vertical = full-history net return. Select a dot to inspect it.

0% return343.3% net return0 positions465 positions

Teal: positive recent stress return. Rose: zero or negative recent stress return.

The trade count–profit frontier

These 72 grid candidates cannot be beaten on both historical NAV and completed positions by another grid candidate. More positions often reduce profit.

Compare every trade-off and open its fills
Completed positionsFull-history NAVRecent stress NAVInspect
465৳479৳19,237Rules & trades →
459৳570৳19,289Rules & trades →
455৳608৳30,525Rules & trades →
454৳696৳29,045Rules & trades →
452৳696৳19,289Rules & trades →
415৳713৳19,289Rules & trades →
411৳717৳19,289Rules & trades →
405৳1,133৳19,289Rules & trades →
404৳1,549৳19,289Rules & trades →
402৳1,771৳19,289Rules & trades →
372৳2,015৳19,289Rules & trades →
371৳2,622৳19,289Rules & trades →
363৳2,910৳19,289Rules & trades →
343৳2,924৳20,089Rules & trades →
335৳3,181৳47,792Rules & trades →
333৳4,607৳37,882Rules & trades →
329৳5,476৳37,882Rules & trades →
313৳5,574৳30,360Rules & trades →
310৳6,173৳43,102Rules & trades →
303৳8,989৳39,010Rules & trades →
300৳9,801৳38,916Rules & trades →
295৳12,981৳32,156Rules & trades →
292৳13,676৳41,873Rules & trades →
260৳13,883৳26,610Rules & trades →
259৳15,710৳26,610Rules & trades →
257৳15,781৳30,307Rules & trades →
256৳16,033৳45,581Rules & trades →
255৳19,080৳30,307Rules & trades →
208৳20,877৳36,159Rules & trades →
198৳22,131৳53,195Rules & trades →
196৳25,143৳33,095Rules & trades →
187৳33,566৳58,245Rules & trades →
186৳34,489৳53,071Rules & trades →
167৳35,171৳40,802Rules & trades →
165৳37,440৳37,845Rules & trades →
161৳42,263৳74,918Rules & trades →
158৳44,043৳78,126Rules & trades →
157৳53,519৳74,918Rules & trades →
154৳56,264৳44,128Rules & trades →
153৳62,778৳49,942Rules & trades →
147৳65,022৳64,084Rules & trades →
137৳73,649৳47,943Rules & trades →
136৳78,632৳50,001Rules & trades →
135৳80,826৳50,473Rules & trades →
129৳99,944৳52,622Rules & trades →
128৳100,941৳52,622Rules & trades →
119৳100,995৳43,038Rules & trades →
118৳101,946৳46,575Rules & trades →
117৳110,155৳49,557Rules & trades →
103৳133,375৳48,996Rules & trades →
102৳136,102৳55,284Rules & trades →
101৳138,379৳53,456Rules & trades →
98৳145,520৳54,043Rules & trades →
79৳150,242৳115,900Rules & trades →
78৳159,180৳120,816Rules & trades →
77৳160,935৳120,816Rules & trades →
76৳161,019৳120,816Rules & trades →
74৳181,538৳116,988Rules & trades →
73৳199,142৳121,853Rules & trades →
60৳200,452৳118,366Rules & trades →
48৳211,201৳128,871Rules & trades →
44৳221,072৳119,591Rules & trades →
39৳242,605৳130,354Rules & trades →
38৳272,593৳130,354Rules & trades →
37৳278,807৳126,439Rules & trades →
33৳291,973৳126,422Rules & trades →
32৳298,043৳122,630Rules & trades →
25৳341,394৳127,207Rules & trades →
24৳389,702৳129,084Rules & trades →
22৳402,891৳133,960Rules & trades →
17৳411,464৳119,509Rules & trades →
15৳443,253৳124,915Rules & trades →

#324 · MACD

Full-history NAV৳2,920

Net return -97.1% · drawdown 97.1% · 309 closed positions

2024 onward NAV৳41,812

Net return -58.2% · drawdown 58.2% · 58 closed positions

2024 stress NAV৳27,144

Net return -72.9% · drawdown 72.9% · 42 closed positions

Variant 1; fixed stop 6.0%; maximum 15 sessions; gate None; continuous signal; exit EMA 200 break; trailing arms at 2.0%, distance 1.0%; partial sale at 0.0% (0 = off).

Account reconciliation

Cash৳34
Unsettled৳2,885
Holdings৳0
NAV৳2,920
Realized P&L৳-97,080
Unrealized P&L৳0
Fees৳68,040
Friction৳31,284

NAV = cash + unsettled proceeds + marked holdings. Maximum reconciliation error: ৳6.55e-11. Normal replay: 0.44% commission plus 0.2% base friction per side, modeled impact and T+3. Stress doubles commission/base friction and uses T+5. These are research assumptions.

All fills for finalist #324

618 fills, including partial sales. Page 4.

DateSideSharesPriceFeesFrictionCash flowRealized P&L
2017-12-28BUY51469.4105.3348.11-24,092.840
2018-01-04SELL51482.33108.2349.4924,441348.16
2018-01-09BUY51472.6106.0548.48-24,257.140
2018-01-25SELL51504.9113.351.7425,584.861,327.72
2018-01-30BUY50511112.4251.31-25,713.730
2018-02-22SELL50494.9108.8849.6724,586.45-1,127.27
2018-03-07BUY50487.9107.3449.08-24,551.420
2018-03-29SELL50462.2101.6846.5622,961.75-1,589.67
2018-04-03BUY48477100.7446.14-23,042.880
2018-04-15SELL48484.8102.3946.8823,121.1378.25
2018-04-18BUY47487.5100.8246.17-23,059.480
2018-04-23SELL47484.1100.1145.8122,606.78-452.71
2018-05-15BUY4846698.4244.96-22,511.380
2018-05-20SELL4844593.9842.9221,223.1-1,288.28
2018-05-30BUY50428.494.2543.09-21,557.340
2018-06-04SELL5040589.140.7320,120.17-1,437.17
2018-06-21BUY5238588.0940.21-20,148.30
2018-06-26SELL5240492.4442.1720,873.4725.1
2018-07-02BUY53390.190.9741.49-20,807.760
2018-07-05SELL5337888.1540.219,905.65-902.1
2018-07-10BUY50390.685.9339.19-19,655.120
2018-07-15SELL5039085.839.1319,375.07-280.05
2018-07-18BUY48401.984.8838.71-19,414.790
2018-07-23SELL48396.983.8338.2518,929.12-485.67
2018-07-26BUY4839182.5837.71-18,888.290
2018-07-31SELL48388.181.9737.4518,509.38-378.91
2018-08-20BUY5037482.2837.64-18,819.920
2018-08-28SELL50383.584.3738.6419,051.99232.07
2018-09-03BUY4838781.7337.43-18,695.160
2018-09-06SELL48388.582.0537.5618,528.38-166.78
2018-09-27BUY51366.282.1837.64-18,796.010
2018-10-02SELL5137283.4838.2318,850.2954.28
2018-10-07BUY51365.181.9337.51-18,739.540
2018-10-10SELL5136381.4637.2818,394.26-345.28
2018-10-15BUY5036480.0836.64-18,316.720
2018-10-18SELL5036480.0836.6518,083.27-233.45
2018-10-23BUY5036580.336.8-18,367.10
2018-10-28SELL5038384.2638.5819,027.16660.06
2018-10-31BUY49380.582.0437.55-18,764.090
2018-11-05SELL4938081.9337.5218,500.55-263.54
2018-11-29BUY50366.780.6737.03-18,452.70
2018-12-04SELL50360.179.2236.3717,889.41-563.29
2018-12-09BUY49363.678.3935.97-17,930.770
2018-12-12SELL49355.576.6535.1517,307.7-623.07
2018-12-18BUY48360.576.1434.92-17,415.060
2018-12-23SELL48356.175.2134.5816,983.01-432.05
2018-12-27BUY4736174.6534.34-17,075.990
2019-01-03SELL4736575.4834.717,044.82-31.17
2019-01-08BUY4537474.0533.95-16,938.010
2019-01-13SELL4539077.2235.3417,437.44499.43
2019-01-16BUY45387.176.6535.06-17,531.20
2019-01-21SELL4538776.6335.0417,303.34-227.86
2019-01-24BUY44391.375.7634.61-17,327.560
2019-01-29SELL4441179.5736.3217,968.11640.55
2019-02-03BUY45398.278.8435.95-18,033.790
2019-02-06SELL45403.679.9136.4318,045.6511.86
2019-02-27BUY45394.578.1135.59-17,866.20
2019-03-05SELL4539478.0135.5717,616.42-249.78
2019-03-13BUY45391.777.5635.39-17,739.450
2019-03-19SELL4538977.0235.1617,392.81-346.64
2019-03-24BUY4339875.334.39-17,223.690
2019-03-28SELL4341077.5735.4217,517.01293.32
2019-04-02BUY4241777.0635.19-17,626.250
2019-04-07SELL4238571.1532.4616,066.39-1,559.86
2019-04-23BUY43372.470.4632.13-16,115.790
2019-04-28SELL4336569.0631.5115,594.43-521.36
2019-05-06BUY42362.166.9230.56-15,305.670
2019-05-09SELL42358.766.2930.314,968.81-336.86
2019-05-20BUY43350.166.2430.37-15,150.910
2019-05-23SELL43349.466.1130.3214,927.77-223.14
2019-05-28BUY43341.864.6729.66-14,791.730
2019-06-09SELL43355.167.1830.8415,171.27379.54
2019-06-12BUY4236567.4530.98-15,428.430
2019-06-17SELL42358.166.1830.3714,943.65-484.78
2019-06-20BUY41360.465.0229.85-14,871.270
2019-06-25SELL41360.965.1129.8914,701.9-169.37
2019-06-30BUY4036564.2429.45-14,693.690
2019-07-04SELL4036464.0629.3714,466.57-227.13
2019-07-28BUY44324.662.8428.74-14,373.990
2019-07-31SELL44325.162.9428.7914,212.67-161.32
2019-08-06BUY44321.862.328.49-14,249.990
2019-08-18SELL4431861.5628.1513,902.29-347.7
2019-08-21BUY4232760.4327.64-13,822.070
2019-08-26SELL42316.758.5326.7813,216.09-605.98
2019-08-29BUY42316.858.5426.79-13,390.940
2019-09-03SELL4230055.4425.3612,519.2-871.74
2019-09-11BUY40309.954.5424.94-12,475.480
2019-09-16SELL40306.653.9624.6812,185.36-290.13
2019-09-23BUY3336152.4223.93-11,989.350
2019-09-26SELL3336052.2723.8511,803.88-185.47
2019-10-01BUY34352.452.7224.05-12,058.360
2019-10-06SELL3434751.9123.6811,722.41-335.96
2019-10-27BUY35327.650.4523.04-11,539.490
2019-10-30SELL35321.249.4622.6111,169.92-369.57
2019-11-13BUY36314.649.8322.79-11,398.220
2019-11-18SELL36310.749.2122.5211,113.47-284.76
2019-11-21BUY3432548.6222.2-11,120.820
2019-11-26SELL3430645.7820.8910,337.33-783.49
2019-12-01BUY3231844.7720.42-10,241.20
2019-12-04SELL3231043.6519.919,856.44-384.75